[quote]rundymc wrote:
[quote]UrbanSavage wrote:
humble, I enjoyed your posts about Dutch style kickboxing as opposed to the training done in Thailand. I’d be interested in hearing more about it.
[quote]ZEB wrote:
If you look closely at the physicality of a GSP/Silva match it makes no sense at all. GSP is 5’ 10" and Silva 6’ 2". Look at the bone structure each is fair to good size for their weight. The only chance that GSP has is if they fight at a catch weight below what Silva is used to fighting at. Then GSP will be the guy who is able to eat and train without sucking any weight and Silva will be in a position to have to drop additional weight beyond the 185lbs. Other than that GSP has absolutely no chance of beating Silva. And GSP is one of my favorite fighters and Silva is going away my least favorite, but facts are facts.
GSP will have a very hard time taking him down and then actually holding him down. And GSP has ZERO chance in a striking war based on reach alone. This fight is one of the most stupid match ups of all time. Fans want to see it because many of them don’t really understand mma. But I’m sure GSP will jump to take the fight based on what Dana White has promised to pay him. I heard it was in the neighborhood of 3 million (sure that could be bull).
If this is true which one of us would not take a beating for 3 million?[/quote]
Facts are facts? Based on this post, you’re the one who doesn’t understand MMA.
The fact that Silva is 6’2" and has a reach advantage won’t matter much when he spends the entire fight on his back. You’re delusional if you think GSP will have a “very hard time” taking Anderson down, he’s the best wrestler in MMA. If he wants you down, you’re getting taken down. Anderson has weak wrestling and the only shots he can stuff are the ones attempted by BJJ fighters that shoot with no set-up like Maia and Leites.
For every flashy strike Anderson lands, he throws plenty more that do nothing but put him in a vulnerable position. Against Vitor, Silva ended up slammed against the mat when they clinched up. You think he would have stood up as if that had never happened had he been fighting GSP? He wouldn’t, that would have been all GSP needed to take that round. There’s no reason at all to believe that GSP would be anything other than completely dominant over Silva. [/quote]
I agree that GSP will more than likely take this fight down, but length can be a factor on the ground too, especially when there is a significance difference like we see here. Silva has 4 inches on GSP, so if anything he’ll need to be sparring guys like Jones to get used to it. Anderson will also likely have a strength advantage, and may be inclined to use it (see GSP vs Alves. It may not look quite like that though).
Also, if and when Silva gets up, we know he could rock, or KO GSP with a single shot. He’s the best striker in MMA. So yes, if the fight goes to a decision, GSP will probably be the winner. A finish would probably go to Anderson.[/quote]
There are two factors that make me say Silva takes it.
A.) Size. He is the longer and heavier fighter. I know GSP supposedly out wrestles light-heavies in training, but I don’t know if it will happen for 5 rounds. The added length on the ground makes me think Silva will have a much better chance of threatening submissions from the bottom or elbowing GSP and forcing enough space to stand up. I know plenty of powerful grapplers who are stocky and can do a huge amount of damage from inside the guard (I am thinking Fedor as the ultimate here) but it has been a while since we have seen GSP do any serious ground and pound against someone who was his height or taller (he tuned up BJ and Serra, but they are both much shorter). On the feet Silva’s range and use of angles means GSP likely will not be as capable of setting up his double leg, which is in my opinion the best in MMA currently (even over Randleman).
B.) The clinch. GSP’s wrestling and size have let him smother and press up against the cage fighters who wound him standing. This is not new. It is how he decisioned BJ the first time. In this case he would be putting himself at risk of Silva’s knees. I know Couture has made a career out of smothering taller fighters so it can be done, but I see a risk of GSP eating too many knees. I like GSP and am a fan, but clinching puts him at serious risk of winding up in Silva’s collar tie where Silva’s skill set and size are both advantages.