[quote]therajraj wrote:
[quote]scj119 wrote:
[quote]DBCooper wrote:
[quote]scj119 wrote:
[quote]DBCooper wrote:
[quote]scj119 wrote:
[quote]DBCooper wrote:
All this arguing over what stat means more to the MVP vote and all that is a bunch of bullshit. OBP is important to top of the order hitters. Avg w/ RISP, which removes the amount of runners actually on base in front of a hitter from the equation, is the most important hitting statistic for a middle of the lineup hitter like Adrian Gonzalez or Jose Bautista.
The most important thing Bautista could do for his team is not get on base and leave it up to others to drive him in. He isn’t paid for that. He’s paid to hit home runs and drive runs in. And at this he’s an utter failure, batting .240 with RISP as opposed to .315 without them in scoring position. You guys can argue all you want about total runs scored or RBI’s but it doesn’t change the fact that if Bautista DID hit well with RISP he would compare much more favorably to Granderson or Gonzalez. He does NOT compare favorably because he hits about 100 points lower than Adrian Gonzalez does with RISP and THAT is why his RBI total is significantly lower.
Bautista is not the MVP for that simple fact. He does not drive in runs at the same pace that Gonzalez does because he doesn’t hit well in the clutch. Toronto’s #1 and #2 hitters get on base and/or advance runners into scoring position. For who? Bautista. He isn’t being paid to get on base, period. The Blue Jays don’t give a shit about his high OBP because it doesn’t help them win games. Bautista driving in runs helps them win games, period. He doesn’t do it that well, period.[/quote]
So he should swing at pitches in the dirt just to make sure he never walks? I hate that argument.
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Not once did I make that argument.
My point is that Bautista doesn’t deserve any special recognition AT ALL for having a high OBP. Half the reason he gets on base so much is due to the fact he gets pitched around a lot. But since when does that make him valuable to his team? It would be one thing if he were hitting .300 with RISP, but he’s not. He’s hitting .240. So it’s ridiculous to sit here and say that IF he got pitched to more often he would drive in significantly more runs and it’s equally ridiculous to sit here and say IF he hit with more runners on base he would also drive in significantly more runs.
Would he have more RBI’s? Sure, but probably not that much more since he doesn’t hit well with runners on base. Should he start swinging at everything? Of course not. But maybe he should be much more aggressive at the plate in these situations. There’s a reason why he gets pitched around: the opposing team has a much better chance of winning by putting him on base rather than going right after him. THIS is why his OBP doesn’t mean shit and why he isn’t the MVP. All too often he comes to the plate with RISP and does not drive them in. It’s unfortunate that he gets pitched around, but the fact remains that even if he didn’t get pitched around it’s dubious to say he would be driving in runs at the pace that Adrian Gonzalez and his .345 avg w/ RISP does. The fact that Bautista does get pitched around with men on makes each at-bat in which he IS pitched to that much more important for his team’s chances of success. And in these KEY moments for his team’s chances of success, he shrinks up to the tune of a .240 avg. That is NOT how an MVP performs.[/quote]
For the life of me I can’t figure out how you can care about batting average and not OBP. You’ll use a stat that counts a HR the same as a single, but not a stat that counts a walk the same as a single? There is a much bigger difference between a HR and a single than between a single and a walk.
Put it another way: The definition of batting average is how often you get on base given that you didn’t walk or get hit by pitch. It’s basically OBP with 10-15% of your plate appearances removed from the denominator. This is a fact that is not arguable.[/quote]
I don’t place universal value on a stat as it pertains from player to player. For top of the lineup hitters, OBP is more important than RBI’s or avg w/ RISP. For middle of the lineup hitters, the opposite is true. So to me, a really high OBP doesn’t have nearly the same value to a team if it’s in lieu of hitting well with RISP regarding the cleanup hitter. That’s all I’m saying. [/quote]
Right but batting average is the same thing as on base percentage just with walks removed from the denominator. If singles are counting the same as HR’s, then it’s valuing all hits as just “not being an out”… which is just the likelihood of being safe given that it’s not a walk.
If you’re measuring that way I just don’t see the point of removing a large set of plate appearances from the denominator.[/quote]
Don’t bother. They don’t have an argument. I’ve pointed out Bautista earns RBI with RISP at basically the same rate as A-Gon yet he hasn’t addressed that because he can’t.
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It has been addressed.
And even so, Im not sure he’s not able to address it but rather doesnt want to because it’s a retarded argument.
You are saying that three players have nearly identical numbers for a specific stat. Yet Gonzalez and Granderson are blowing Bautista away in raw production.
You are back to making the claim that the player on the “bad team” (4th in offense), should be rewarded for his comparable numbers. Thats simply absurd. Ive mentioned this once already and you didnt have a valid response to it.
If Bautista was the MOST valuable player he’d be driving in runs at a HIGHER clip than those less valuable than him. A guy having similar raw stats (total RBI), on a ‘bad team’, to a guy on a good team should be valued higher because it required better performance to amass the same numbers with less to work with. I understand logic is not everyone’s forte but please tell me you understand this at this point.
You have completely overlooked the fact that Bautista’s batting average drops markedly with RISP while Granderson’s remains pretty close to his season average. Address that.