AC: I agree with all points above.
As tasteless as it is to quote oneself, allow me to post a conversation Pushharder, Chushin and I were having earlier over on the Stupid Thread, in which I made a couple of similar points:
Varq: [do] you believe that the people of the United States do, at this time, have the ability to overthrow their government with the weapons they now possess?
Push:[quote]That’s kinda like wondering about the chances of a four year old with a Swiss Army knife going up against two dozen Crips vs you and the six cartridges in your Colt Python against the same hypothetical gang. Either way it’s not looking good but who’d you rather be?[/quote]
Varq: More like me and my Colt Python against the entire Los Angeles branch of the Crips, with the intent of replacing their leadership.
It’s a numbers game. I just don’t think that the number of qualified, mentally and physically proficient, politically aware, gun-owning American citizens is sufficient to prevail against the United States military and bring down the government, any more than the Colonists, all by themselves, could have prevailed against the entire might of the British army and navy, and replaced King George on the throne.
I mean, look: in the 1860s this country fielded the most credible opposition force against the central government in our nation’s history. It was led by senior military officers, many of whom were distinguished graduates of West Point and Annapolis. Its ranks held officers and enlisted men who were combat veterans from the Mexican War. It had a well-developed political structure, an elected leader, and even printed its own currency. It controlled the railroads and factories in its territory, and had the support of the people. Moreover, it was armed with the exact same weaponry as the Federal Government: armoured ships, howitzers, mortars, gatling guns (toward the end, anyway), single-shot and repeating rifles and pistols.
What about today?
How many West Point generals and Annapolis admirals do you know of who would unquestionably lead the Patriots’ rebellion today? Active field grade generals, mind you, not retirees. How many active duty NCOs and officers would risk losing their citizenship or even execution for treason by bearing arms against their lawfully elected government? How many state governors would risk the same by committing their National Guard units to fight the Federal Government?
How many Abrams tank battalions would you say the Patriots could field? How many bombers and fighter jets could they count on for air support? How many destroyers and battleships could they float to blockade the Hudson and the Potomac? And how many nuclear warheads could they launch against Washington?
And finally, how long do you think Joe Six-Pack Gun Owner would last in a real live shooting war before he scuttled back to his safe, comfortable middle-class life in front of his Plasma TV?
Sorry, Push. As much as I’d love to see a rag-tag rebel band of pot-bellied patriots with M4 Tacticool carbines take on the evil Imperial Stormtroopers of the Federal Government…and win, with or without Ewoks, I just don’t see it happening this decade.
Chushin: [quote]The probabilities of those things would climb sharply after the first few thousand American citizens were butchered by the US military. [/quote]
Varq: The US military isn’t going to start butchering civilians until those civilians are waaaay more disarmed, demoralised and, most importantly, demonised, than they are now.
Mutiny is serious business. How many ATF and FBI agents disobeyed their orders during Ruby Ridge and Waco? At least half of them? A quarter?
None at all?
The Army and the Marines (and more likely, the Air Force, using drone strikes) would easily kill a million civilians if their higher-ups told them they were targeting “domestic terrorists” or “insurgents”. If tomorrow the President issued an executive order declaring martial law in every major city, commanding the military to fire on all looters and rioters, I can assure you those orders would be carried out. Would there be a civilian backlash? Probably. But not nearly as severe as the counter-backlash by the military against the civilians.
Why should any high-ranking combat officers jeopardise their careers, disobey orders, and commandeer personnel and materiel to fight against their own side? On principle? Because they feel sorry for the poor civilians? Because they care about Freedom? Don’t make me laugh.
The only reason…the ONLY reason a general would turn and bear arms against his masters is if he thought he had a chance of seizing political power for himself once they were deposed.
History tells us this is inevitably so. America is no exception.
Thoughts?