Not left with many options at this point in the game. We may have had some like other countries with a different reaction. But now we’re stuck in this boat in wave filled water until the storm passes.
I ran across the web site www.worldometers.info/coronavirus here on T-Nation. they tend to have figures higher than other sources, but I wonder what anyone thinks of their having listed infections to date passing over 1 million, with over 51k dead.
This anything to get excited about?
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If we are all just hiding in our homes and not really developing herd immunity, are we going to have to quarantine again?
It sounds like that’s a real probability.
My guess is that a “soft” quarantine will go into effect e.g. mandatory telecommuting for work, canceled mass gatherings of 100+ people, limited capacities in restaurants and bars etc. But not the SIP orders in place now.
People getting sick isn’t the issue. Too many getting sick all at once and overwhelming the healthcare system is the reason for quarantine… So theoretically, future outbreaks won’t have as much potential to overwhelm the system.
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As I understand it, cautious optimism is warranted. There are a couple of possible vaccines out there already, but you have to test them and then produce them.
I’d agree. I use Johns Hopkins coronavirus center. A lot of the higher count comes from being updated in near real-time as opposed to once a day or something.
This is from March 27/28, but first I’ve heard of it (can’t be the only one either, can it?):
You got it right the second time around
I also put this in the other thread, but I believe it to be a useful guide on how to think about all these models people are seeing spread around the news and media so I wanted to put it here as well.
I think this is a good layperson article on how to approach thinking about and using models. It’s not written by an epidemiologist, but it does represent the general strategy we need to use.
Also, it explains (very briefly and tangentially) why I get so pissed about things this administration has done/not done lol.
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You beat me to it, but since I already copied it,
This is better than rooting for the Steelers!
Go Pitt!
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Well they did have extra time since the Steelers weren’t in the playoffs…
I kid the Steelers are one of the most successful franchises in history and the Chiefs aren’t. But sonubabitch we were the most successful last year!
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Are you assuming that developing herd immunity has to happen at a particular speed? What would you call 200,000 cases and 6,000 deaths with 11,000 recoveries (that we know of)?
The problem is a bunch of people are using a term, herd immunity, when they lack any real scientific understanding of it.
Population of 329,450,000
Even if we have 2,000,000 cases that leaves 327,000,000 people walking around susceptible ot the disease.
No idea. Don’t you think it is worth quarantining now (or in the future) to keep hospitals from being completely overwhelmed? I mean look at where our cases are at now and how they have exploded. Even if you ended all shelter at home orders today a lot of people would stay in for fear of infecting loved ones.
I do think it is a good idea. I’m just wondering why the government isn’t telling us now that we are going to have to do this again at some point.
They’re hoping we learn from this and they don’t have to shut down life again. If they can win in November, additional deaths will be celebrated-finding solutions to overcrowding, you know?
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How would we know that? I mean it’s certainly a possibility. But we don’t know and we don’t know the duration. The President went from April 12-April 30 in a short time frame. I don’t think a rush to say that is necessary. I’m not sure how it will help.
What would we say? We might do this again at an unknown time and for an unknown length of time? I’m just not sure how President Trump should or would say something that would be helpful here.
Once we finally fire Tomlin… 
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