There is no short term game plan, it’s just “lock down”, “save lives” without accounting for the preventable deaths associated with locking down, without accounting for all those unemployed, for those who have to shut up shop for good pertaining to businesses, without accounting for the HUGE budget cuts in colleges/schools, without accounting for the fact youth psychiatrists in my area are getting booked out at unprecedented rates. We have vaccination quotas now, 70% just to START easing lockdowns over single digit case numbers, then 80% to travel, acquire near full freedoms with lockdowns only being implemented in exceptional cases. That being said, one premier has come out and said “I’ll still reserve my right to lockdown whenever at 70%”.
At some point the public support for lockdowns MIGHT wear thin. Hysteria and political fear mongering can only work for so long. At which point perhaps a different approach might be trailed. But given police blockades, mass arrests and fines etc associated with lockdowns or even for posting anti-lockdown rhetoric on social media it appears federal and state governments alike are looking to abuse power in effort too quash dispelling rhetoric over lockdowns and draconian restrictions.
“lockdowns are a last resort”
locking down over single digit case numbers before hospitals reach a fraction of their capacity. To my knowledge there are tens of thousands of covid specific ICU beds within the country… The only reason hospitals take strain is because you shut off public healthcare systems whenever you lock down. Otherwise it wouldn’t be an issue unless we were dealing with say, 20,000 cases/day for a LONG time.
We have poor vaccination rates, but over 40% of those aged 16+ have had one shot, around 20% for both. One shot provides a degree of protection, those with 1-2 shots are less infectious, far less likely to fall severely ill.
You mentioned it can’t be that bad, you’d feel more free in China… China is undoubtedly more authoritarian, however there is very little sense of freedom in Aus at the moment. Civil liberties aren’t a commodity respected at this point. I’m very curious too see Australia’s ranking on the democratic index. We’ve always been a full democracy up until last year wherein Aus was downgraded to a narrowed democracy. This year has seen near unprecedented autocratic action by state and federal premiers alike, wouldn’t be surprised if we fell down to “flawed democracy” akin to how the US has been placed over the past four years. Before then it was considered a full/narrowed democracy depending on the year. Perhaps we might even be downgraded to “hybrid regime”.
I take it back, read the guidelines over quotas. Lockdowns will still be used “as necessary” come 70%, which means when we reach say… 100 cases/day a frenzied, hysterical media narrative will likely ensue despite mortality rates likely being akin to or lower than influenza at that point. Come 80% only “targeted lockdowns” will occur… with that being said, it looks like lockdowns will be with us for the foreseeable future.
I actually have a way of getting out of Aus, but I’m putting that off until I’ve finished my studies and have a decent bit of money with me and/or acquire a job overseas. I don’t really want to leave my family, but if the absolute WORST case scenario ensues and we remain cut off from the rest of the developed world for years on end… I’d rather not be a part of Australian society. Particularly if our political/media narratives manage to quasi indoctrinate the population to the point alternate bodies of ideological beliefs are shunned or even worse, penalised.
All in all, I’m trying not to think about this now. I’ve stopped watching the news here, it’s all about the 200 cases of coronavirus in NSW. It’s absolutely nuts, straight out of some dystopian science fiction novel! Media narratives at this point are only serving to impart fear, anxiety and dare I say complacency within the general population.
Obviously I’m not going to come out and advocate for anti-lockdown rhetoric in person. I don’t thrive on chaos and dysfunction, I can’t stand the thought of our society disintegrating into a mass state of civil and political unrest. Another worry is that the pendulum eventually swings so far in the other direction we go from “nanny state” to anarchist state when/if the disillusioned become a majority and vote a malevolent leader into power who promises “freedom” but has ulterior motives at heart.