This guy may disagree:
Which is why I said
Kinda only proving my point that people buy into media fluff without knowing better. Not meant as a slight either. People that aren’t “on the ground” as it were have very little way of knowing what’s actually happening.
One person’s stupidly low chance is another person’s ruined life…
Agreed. I’m not trying to short change the impact stuff like this has on an individual person, just that statistically, you don’t have to worry about it actually happening to you.
At least no more than being afraid to drive to the grocery store for fear of being struck and killed by a drunk driver.
During a week in mid-November, when sexual misconduct scandals were a top focus of these Kremlin-linked accounts, a majority of the content they pushed on the topic was in defense of Moore, according to the cyber security research project Hamilton 68: “Among pro-Moore articles, close to 70% attacked the credibility of the accuser(s), 38% attacked the media in general or the Washington Post in particular, and one story attacked Lindsey Graham for not defending Moore.”
The pro-Moore push has continued apace; this past weekend, #alabamasenaterace was among the top trending hashtags tracked on the Hamilton 68 dashboard, which is operated by the nonpartisan Alliance for Securing Democracy and monitors approximately 600 Twitter accounts linked to Russian influence operations. Those accounts push out 20,000 to 25,000 tweets every day, according to Bret Schafer, an analyst with the group. “The fact that this has continued for so many weeks means that this is clearly something the accounts have latched onto,” Schafer says of the Moore-related content.
The Kremlin’s ongoing “active measures” campaign on social media has aimed to sow confusion and chaos by supporting both far-right and far-left interests in American politics. The Alabama election presented a ripe opportunity, according to former senior CIA official John Sipher, now an expert with the national security group Cipher Brief. “In the case of Moore, the Russians certainly assess that the hyper-partisan and heated campaign is pitting Americans against each other and they want to do all they can to add fuel to the fire,” he says. “They likely assess that a Moore victory will bring the fight to Washington and further weaken the strained US political system.”
I remember that case. Unreal. I didn’t realize that the young woman who lied about the rape, and let that innocent young man sit in prison ended up keeping all this money from a civil suit against the school district. Just unbelievable.
Have to disagree there. Companies have entire courses they make HR and management take to record/investigate/validate allegations of misconduct.
I know a $3M/year CEO who won’t close the door when talking to a female employee if nobody else is there.
The threat of false allegations is a genuine concern.
I know a $3M/year ophthalmologist who does the exact same thing.
(Just kidding of course. About the $3M, that is.)
Like I said,
But by all means, if you have a stat showing false misconduct reports going up or something, I’m happy to eat my words.
Also Pat’s comment was about being fearful of being in the dating pool. It’s simply not a legitimate fear to have for the extreme vast majority of the population.
I thought the discussion was about the risk involved with false accusations and if anyone takes that risk seriously. My bad.
You’d be right for the most part, with a major exception being college campuses. Girl decides 3 weeks later that the consensual sex she had with a boy was rape. Boy’s life ruined. No presumption of innocence, no fair hearing (for all intents and purposes). The accusations go on page 1 and the retractions on page 16.
Even this one. As someone who fairly recently attended college, as well as having quite a few people my age that attended college on speed dial, it’s pretty damn rare on college campuses as well. For every one of these fake reports there 800 bros getting laid without a peep.
Just more news fluff tbh.
Roy Moore has a Jewish lawyer so… haha that’s like saying I have a black friend and he is great at basketball so I’m not racist hahaha
This was an interesting breakdown.
Please pardon wall of text. Paywall.
Tuesday’s special election to fill a vacant Alabama Senate seat seems close enough to provide real drama.
Polls show the race narrowed last month after Republican nominee Roy Moore was repeatedly accused of sexual misconduct with teenagers, which he has denied. Even before that, Mr. Moore’s strength in a statewide race was in doubt. In 2012, when Republican Mitt Romney drew 61% in the presidential race in Alabama, Mr. Moore drew a smaller 52% share in his successful race for chief justice of the state’s Supreme Court. Mr. Moore’s opponent, Doug Jones, if successful, would be the first Alabama Democrat elected to the U.S. Senate in 25 years.
As the votes roll in, here are some key places and constituencies to watch for:
The Romney/Not-Moore Counties: In 2012, nine counties in Alabama voted for Mr. Romney for president while rejecting Mr. Moore for the state Supreme Court on the same ballot. They were Butler, Chambers, Choctaw, Clarke, Madison, Mobile, Pickens Pike and Tuscaloosa.
Some of those counties have large African-American populations (Choctaw and Clarke), while others have large populations of young voters (Tuscaloosa)—two groups that have the potential to help Democrats balance the Republican tilt of the electorate. If Mr. Moore struggles in those counties again on Tuesday, that’s a bad sign for him. If he wins a few of them, he can relax a bit.
Upscale, Establishment Republicans: The civil war playing out within the GOP nationwide is alive in Alabama, as well. In the September primary, Mr. Moore defeated sitting Republican Sen. Luther Strange, but Mr. Strange won four counties in the state. They included Jefferson, Madison and Shelby.
Those counties are all above the state averages for income and share of residents with a four-year college education, characteristics that align with a centrist brand of Republicanism.
Keep an eye on Madison County, home of Huntsville. It’s the kind of place where the Trump wing of the GOP is more muted, and the county may give a sign of how close the race will be.
Mr. Romney won 58% of Madison’s vote in 2012, while Mr. Moore won 48%. In 2016, Mr. Trump drew seven percentage points less in the county than he did statewide.
If Mr. Moore underperforms his 48% of the 2012 election, that’s a sign of trouble for him.
Mr. Moore’s Base: In the northwest corner of Alabama is a cluster of counties that gave Mr. Trump at least 73% of the vote. They include Franklin, Lawrence, Winston and Marion.
In those counties, African-Americans account for less than 12% of residents, and relatively few people have bachelor’s degrees. The voter profile in these counties is a good match for Mr. Moore’s message.
This corner of the state is also populated relatively sparsely and holds a large number of evangelical adherents. Mr. Moore is sure to run up big margins here, but he will need turnout to be strong—at nearly presidential levels. If total votes cast are 9,000 to 10,000 in Franklin and Winston and 10,000 in 12,000 for Lawrence and Marion that will be a sign of enthusiasm among Mr. Moore’s base voters.
African-American Turnout: Ten counties in the southern half of the state vote reliably Democratic in presidential races—Bullock, Dallas, Greene, Hale, Lowndes, Macon, Montgomery, Perry, Sumter and Wilcox. They have backed the Democrat in every presidential election since 2000, and all of them gave Hillary Clinton 59% or more of their vote in 2016. In all of them, African-Americans account for half or more of the population. Statewide, about 28% of voters are African-American, census data show.
Mr. Jones needs to win these counties comfortably, but he also will want something close to presidential turnout from them. Especially crucial is populous Montgomery County, in the south-central part of the state. If it produces something close to the 95,000 votes it did in the presidential election last November, that’s a good sign for Mr. Jones.
The Alabama Supreme Court has reportedly stayed a lower court’s order to election officials that would have required the preservation of voting records in Tuesday’s Senate special election.
A circuit judge on Monday ordered election officials to set voting machines to save all digital ballot images, which would preserve voting records in the event of a recount.
Alabama’s AL.com said Tuesday morning that the state’s Supreme Court had blocked the order.
The AL Secretary of State traveled to Russia last year to observe elections there.
Merrill is back home now, preparing for the general election. He doesn’t expect to get changes in place that quick, but he says he does eventually hope to implement lessons learned from his trip to Russia.
Yeah, this seems on the up-and-up.
Oh the good news was she was required to pay it back, the bad news is she spent it all and they technically cannot make her pay.
But if she cheated on her taxes, they would have put her under the jail.
That’s true, I had to take several courses for my job. The messaging ended up being, ‘if at all possible stay the hell away from female employees.’
NPR interviewed some Moore supporters in Alabama. Naturally, they found the most uneducated, mouth-breathers they could find.
‘I like him ‘cause he’s um, good’
‘Do you believe the accusers?’
‘Naw, he wouldn’t do nuthin’ like that.’
You mean the quota system? Election commissions in Russia are assigned a quota for United Russia (Putin’s Party) that has to be met during the vote count.
At polling station 591 in the Mordovia regional capital of Saransk, about 650 km south-east of Moscow, reporters counted 1,172 voters but officials recorded a turnout of 1,756.
A Reuters reporter obtained a temporary registration to vote at that station, and cast a ballot for a party other than the pro-Putin United Russia. During the count, officials recorded that not a single vote had been cast for that party.
In Saransk, when asked about the gap between the turnout counted by Reuters reporters and the official figure at station 591, local election chief Irina Fedoseyeva said: “You’re also human, you can make mistakes too.”
I doubt they had to “find” them.
