US Presidential Election Predictions

You’re right in that it would help, actually I respect Cuban a lot - do we start spamming him now to run in 2024? Mike Rowe would be another good one as well. Any others?

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Yes. With these votes by mail/early votes being in incredible numbers look out. I just hope people don’t see results wildly change and flip out and think it’s something nefarious. Trump should have a massive in person voting day advantage and Biden probably has a bigger early vote/mail in advantage.

Either way it goes expect both sides to say they got fucked.

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Agreed, Wisconsin will flip back blue this year. Florida I don’t think he will lose, but PA and Ohio could easily go blue.

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I think we would need to know the change in polling and how much they improved methods to know much about Florida. If it is much improved over 2016, Florida could flip. If it is about the same as in 2016, I think it goes Trump. Biden leads with about 2% which isn’t all that easy to overcome, but the polls might be trash.

WI, the polls could be just as bad as 2016, and it would still be logical to say it flips based on polls (Biden’s lead is about double the supposed polling error).

  1. So I respond to someone showing COVID is not the flu, it’s worse.

  2. To rebut me, you reply with a link of someone saying the flu was more dangerous.

  3. I say that’s true, to the extent of timing - and so the author was right in saying the flu was more dangerous.

  4. Now you say “no! The author I posted was wrong! COVID was more dangerous than the flu all along!”

You’re a laughingstock.

Based on what I’ve seen, you wouldn’t want to.

I’ve seen you do that a couple times. That is a talent I will never understand. It took me 2 years to get my neighbors wife’s name right.

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Yeah, you created a strawman. The claim was “Tens of thousands of people die of influenza every year.” Then you sighted 5 articles talking about how covid is not the flu. Well, the claim “Tens of thousands of people die of influenza every year.” has nothing to do with the fact that covid is not the flu. “Tens of thousands of people die of influenza every year.” is just a fact, you proceeded to assume an argument in your head that wasn’t being made. Hence, a strawman. Create an argument that someone didn’t make, and attack it.

See how you get things wrong all the time? I was illustrating the unreliability of the media. I wasn’t rebutting you, I didn’t need to. You had already rebutted yourself by arguing a strawman.

Proof, I wasn’t trying to rebut a phony argument. I was illustrating you can find a media article to prop up any lie you want to tell. Or back up any strawman argument you want to make.

Awe… Did your little ego get a boo boo?

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No doubt about that. Also, badass name sir!

This is a much better use of your free time than celebrities, even if I’m not an NBA fan.

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I will forget my anniversary but can name the entire Chiefs roster in pretty much any given year since I was about 16.

This is the only place I will talk about politics, but I will talk about football 24/7.

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I have developed a slightly abnormal disdain for celebrities. I mean, I really can’t stand them. It’s fine for me, because I am not a big movie watcher. It would just be nice if they didn’t “use their platforms” to spew out rampant stupidity that we have to endure because they are celebrities and end up in the news.
“Look! They’re stealing a mail truck!” As a tow truck takes away a broken down mail truck to be repaired. I can live without that shit.

Conservatives in media absolutely do it to. The part you aren’t factoring in is that approximately 97% of people in the media are on the left.

I am more interested in what news is consumed. If 5% of journalists get 80% of viewers, they have a lot larger impact than the other 95% (just made up numbers for example).

Fox News is trusted by 4/10 Americans.

2/3rds of those 4/10 also don’t trust non conservative sources.

All I am saying is that I don’t necessarily buy that there is a huge news media advantage for either party.

That’s 1 network. Every other major network is liberal to at least some degree. Far more people get their news from abc and cbs and nbc and cnn and the bbc and pbs than fox. One of the main reasons fox looks so right wing to many people is that literally all the other networks lean left. Literally 97% off all political donations from people in the media go to dems. If you don’t the 97-3 advantage in bias is a plus for dems, I don’t think you might be entrenched in some bias.

Did you read the Pew Research I posted? Your assertion does not line up with Pew. It seems to be that left media has a slight advantage, but to me that is explained by the fact that the average American is just left of center.

The average American is left of the current political leadership center. Additionally, journalists are college grads who on average are left of center.

I disagree with this. I don’t think most people have an appetite for what Jo and the Libertarians are slinging. Personal responsibility is not sexy. It doesn’t “offer” anything, even if I do believe it’s the solution to A LOT of people’s immediate problems…

It doesn’t sell or get eye balls on the screen.

Which won’t get her or future L party candidates on the debate stage. The debate committee will shift the goal post.

Vince Vaughn … Mark Cuban doesn’t strike me as a Libertarian or 3rd party dude if I’m being honest. He’d probably run as a Dem if he did (I don’t think he ever would, but if he did).

Yea, I wouldn’t say I followed his administration closely, but I thoroughly enjoyed the fact he was very small government. I’ve listened to him talk a few times, I would’ve been on board for sure with him.

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It’s a selective talent, for sure. I am very good with names for students I teach and athletes I watch, but not great in every day situations when I meet someone. In other words, not very good at times when it matters.

Did you? It didn’t address my points. Viewership <> content

In my first post to you I said the content quantity is irrelevant compared to what is actually watched (Pew Research on what is actually watched and trusted). The latter is close between left and right, with IMO the left having a slight advantage. Do you disagree with that?

I just don’t see how the quantity of content created matters much if we can look at what content is actually consumed.

Nothing you posted showed in any way the absolute number of what is watched or how much it is watched.

Sure, I am assuming that if 4/10 Americans say they trust Fox, and mostly distrust other sources, that they watch Fox. Maybe that is too much of a stretch? I didn’t think so, but you are free to disagree.