US Presidential Election Predictions

Since December 2019, COVID-19 has killed more people in the U.S. than influenza has in the last five years.

Happy reading.

In his statement ordering the curfew, El Paso County Judge Ricardo Samaniego said that there has been a 160% increase in the positivity rate and a 300% increase in hospitalizations in the last three weeks.

And the governor of Utah has been tweeting about the dire circumstances in his state.

Hilarious. What kind of inferiority complex must a person have to reject science, common sense, and the principle of helping keep others safe as an encroachment on their freedom a bunch of “overlords”? Quite literally, pitiful.

Also, an aside - isn’t interesting that the breathless “pro-life” party has no problem with the expendability of the most vulnerable in our society in the name of acting “tough” on COVID?

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Scientists? Doctors? You mean a bunch of pointy headed overlords?? :wink:

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Anyone who routinely uses words that big can’t be trusted! :joy:

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Don’t tell me you’re one of those people that wears seat belts too. That’s a scam by the auto industry and democrats just so they can sell more seat belts. I don’t know anyone whose life has been saved by a seat belt, ergo, it has never happened.

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Nice job with putting words in my mouth, then attacking those words. I never said any of that. Classic leftist tactic.
So just to be clear, if you question science, you’re a science denier?

Who ever said this? Did I? The only one who I can think of off the top of my head is Andrew Cuomo. He knowingly sent the weakest among us to their deaths. That must be who your talking about.[quote=“thunderbolt23, post:384, topic:270025, full:true”]

Scientists? Doctors? You mean a bunch of pointy headed overlords?? :wink:
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This is my favorite part. You gotta get the virtual high five in order to feel good about yourself. Good job little buddy, you sure showed that ignorant Trumpkin who’s boss!
You’re a sad human being.

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What science are you questioning, exactly? All I see are people disagreeing with experts who are telling them things they don’t want to hear. What exactly about the science is wrong?

Didn’t say you did, hence “as an aside” - it’s an observation by me. But I keep hearing about we should just suck it up and adopt the “herd immunity” approach from the pro-life crowd, and hey, if the herd gets thinned, that’s just the way the cookie crumbles. Can’t quite square how that tracks with being pro-life. Maybe you know?

Who else were you referring to as “overlords” if not the scientists and doctors calling this a pandemic and urging restrictions on behavior to help mitigate/defeat it?

You don’t know the half of it.

Weirdly, though, you skipped over all my information explaining that COVID isn’t the flu and health care resources are starting to get overwhelmed again.

Well you can now count me as someone pissing in the polling pot.

Yesterday I took a call from a Boston area code. It was a lady who claimed to be from some Republican this or that committee in Michigan. They asked for me by first name. It was a one question poll.

“Can we count on your support for Donald Trump?”

My answer was a “no”. As paranoid as it sounds, my gut told me in that moment that there is no reason for this person I don’t know to know my politics.

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That’s not a poll, that’s a campaign call.

Just because you’re paranoid doesn’t mean they aren’t after you.

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Could be. I’ve never registered as a Republican and it’s been over 15 years since I lived in Michigan with a different phone number, but I’m completely willing to entertain the possibility that it was a benign campaign call from some Republicans in Michigan calling from a Boston number who knew my first name.

I’m just not willing to be honest with strangers right now. Or assume good faith, for that matter.

All risk, no reward. I totally understand why someone would do the same for similar reasons no matter how a caller might identify themselves.

Edit: They may have gotten my info from the time I gave Ron Paul $25 in 2012. This is the first time I’ve gotten any kind of call like this since the landline days.

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What’s weird is I’m getting texts from both Kansas Senate candidates and to the best of my knowledge short of registering to vote I’ve never signed any type of political thing. I also get them on my work phone which I got a brand new one with a new number last week.

I think like those car warranty scams they just get that shit somehow. Even if you’ve never given out your number ever.

I block the numbers each time but they still come.

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Think this link brings up my prediction. My scenarios based on polling are Biden landslide (he outperforms or holds current polling models), Biden close (Trump flips a few Biden favorite states), and Trump close (polling missed something massive and Trump pulls off something more unlikely than 2016).

I feel NE-2, MI, Arizona, Wisconsin are all very likely to flip. Penn and NC likely flips. Also think Biden has the potential to dark horse Georgia. I think Iowa and Ohio which are tossups depending on models you look at both go for Trump. Texas flipping is out there but a lot of that is based on early turnout which makes too many assumptions I believe. Incredibly hard for me to see Texas flip though it is undoubtedly moving more purple. It’s going to be a battleground in the future I would say.

Florida is Florida which I wouldn’t put money on in any scenario for either candidate.

All the variables making this Election Day completely different than any other in history would keep me from making anything like a sure solid bet. But that maps what I’ll roll with for now so I can be made fun of at a later date.

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I dunno about the US, but I get LOTS of phone scam calls here. Past 2 days I got like 3 per day after using wechat ONCE. The assholes are obviously from China but they somehow reroute the number to a local number so I answer it.

Oh I get tons of robo and spam calls plus some bitch named Judith with bad credit has been giving my number out for years.

Political calls of any kind, not so much.

I had a wechat for about two days before I understood what wechat was. My Chinese Aunt posed as my Uncle to get me to install wechat a few years ago. She wanted to wife me up with a relative of hers!

Who knows? I may have missed a gem. She was cute.

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Fuck wechat. I only start getting these scam calls after I use it. It was only for an urgent matter or I wouldn’t have done so. I don’t know how much data they’ve managed to get from me but luckily I didn’t use my business phone.

These China apps can’t be trusted. Even those popular media players auto install so much stuff like data miners they would significantly fuck up the speed of my laptops and end up fucking up the configuration or something after I used them for some time. Fucked up the laptops even after I completely reformatted them. Never use these China programs if you don’t need to.

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I’m convinced at least in America you can’t do anything about it. I’ve had two different work phones with two different numbers in the last 8 months and was getting spam calls within a day on both. I also have a conference line number through an app that is different that I never use that gets spam calls.

Even better the car warranty ones have randomized the location of where they “say” they are coming from (this happened about 6 months ago) and they are all areas in Kansas that at least in theory could potentially be calling me so I answer. Hang up and block number but of course isn’t stopping the randomizer or whatever they use.

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Seriously? It’s that bad? Are they local or foreign?

EDIT:

Wait, you’re only talking about spam calls right? Not scams? Shit, I can arrive in Hong Kong with auto-roaming under a different phone network and receive a spam call within 4 hours.

Anyone that actually needs me is either already in my contacts or will leave a message.

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I guess I consider spam calls and scam the same thing? But I guess spam you could mean things like the election.

For the most part I only get scam. And a few “spam” calls during the election.

Doesn’t work with my job. I answer almost everything and need to as a director.

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