US Not Winning in Iraq?

[quote]Headhunter wrote:
"Have things changed on the ground in Iraq? Are our troops being routed? Hardly. The number of U.S. fatalities has gone from a high of 860 deaths in 2004 to 845 in 2005, to 695 through November of this year. If the Islamic fascists double their rate of killing Americans in the next month, there will still be fewer American fatalities in Iraq this year than in the previous two years.
[/quote]

Only a heartless bitch would think a small yearly decrease in troop fatalities was a big deal. And I’m not referring to Ann Coulter here.

By the way, Ann can find out when Ramadan is, by looking it up with Google or Wikipedia. Even a grade-schooler knows how to do that. Ann Coulter is a moron, Headhunter should try reading SMART conservatives like William F Buckley. Ever hear the saying “Garbage in, Garbage out”? I suppose that is Headhunter’s exact problem.

We’ll stay in Iraq as long as Bush is in office, whether we’re losing or not… because as long as Bush can say we’re “still trying” he thinks he can duck the responsibility for losing. The “worst strategic blunder in Amercan history” is 100% Bush’s war. All Bush cares about now is trying to salvage his legacy, and he doesn’t care how much it costs in human lives or in taxpayer dollars… because neither is any skin off his ass. Bush is just stalling until he can dump Iraq off onto the next president.

Even adding 20,000 troops will not significantly change anything, at this point, but it will help Bush play out the clock.

[quote]Headhunter wrote:
When you don’t fight to win, when you fight just to ‘contain’ your enemy, you lose.
[/quote]
Right. That explains what happened to the former Soviet Union.

How to win in Iraq, in Powerpoint:

Don’t be deceived by the simple stick figures, read the text and follow the logic. Whoever “CPT Trav” is, (s)he is apparently much smarter than the people he’s working for.

This plan would work in all of Iraq, not just al Anbar province. Give tribal Sheiks the same authority they’ve had for thousands of years. Let them fill the local police roster from their own militias, and let them have the money to run the reconstruction projects.

Will there be some corruption and graft? Of course. Is there corruption now with Halliburton and KBR? Yes, and probably a lot more than if the people who had a personal and tangible interest in the reconstruction were in charge.

So, if we summarize, the main views seem to be:

  • “we” are not winning, because we can’t win peace by violence

  • “we” are not winning, because we haven’t been using the right strategy

  • “we” are not winning, because we haven’t been brutal enough

  • “we” are not winning, because a significant group (the “libs”) undermine the war effort

I’m almost glad though that no one has come up with “no, we are actually winning”.

While I firmly stand in the first camp, I do agree to a certain extent with the second - whatever slim chance of “winning” there was, it surely has been squandered by a cack-handed approach.

The third is imo quite disturbing, as it displays little understanding of the democratic values proclaimed.

The fourth is imo grounded in an attempt to rationalize, and blame a group which is not in power, but stands ready as a convenient scape goat. This smacks imo a bit of the revisionist “Dolchstosslegende” Stab-in-the-back myth - Wikipedia

Again, I can only say that it’s sad to have witnessed such a failure from the beginning to a very bitter end, with so many people (on all sides) paying the price.

Makkun

[quote]endgamer711 wrote:
Headhunter wrote:
When you don’t fight to win, when you fight just to ‘contain’ your enemy, you lose.

Right. That explains what happened to the former Soviet Union.[/quote]

Which brings up an interesting question. If Afghanistan was their Vietnam, will Iraq end up being our Afghanistan? And if so, what will Afghanistan be? We’re running out of metaphors.

I am surprised that the U.S. hadn’t defeated the insurgents more effectively. However, I’m not sure the U.S. has lost yet. The objective is to get control of the oil. If that goal is reached and maintained then the major purpose will have been achieved.

[quote]makkun wrote:
So, if we summarize, the main views seem to be:

  • “we” are not winning, because we can’t win peace by violence

  • “we” are not winning, because we haven’t been using the right strategy

  • “we” are not winning, because we haven’t been brutal enough

  • “we” are not winning, because a significant group (the “libs”) undermine the war effort

Makkun[/quote]

You missed one:

“we” are not winning because “we” have not yet honestly defined our objectives.

One cannot wage war without clearly defined objectives, which are understood and supported both by the armed forces and by the civilian leadership.

[quote]makkun wrote:

This smacks imo a bit of the revisionist “Dolchstosslegende”

Makkun[/quote]

Or in this case, “Shiessfusslegende.”

Varqanir,

[quote]Varqanir wrote:
makkun wrote:

This smacks imo a bit of the revisionist “Dolchstosslegende”

Makkun

Or in this case, “Shiessfusslegende.” [/quote]

Dammit Varqanir,

German, Japanese, Latin quotes (hope RJ doesn’t see us, or we’ll get the Vulcanrider-treatment) - is there no limit to your knowledge? :wink:

Makkun

[quote]makkun wrote:

  • is there no limit to your knowledge? :wink:
    [/quote]

I certainly hope that there isn’t. I would hate to lose my hard-won reputation as an insufferable know-it-all. :wink:

[quote]Zeppelin795 wrote:
I am surprised that the U.S. hadn’t defeated the insurgents more effectively. However, I’m not sure the U.S. has lost yet. The objective is to get control of the oil. If that goal is reached and maintained then the major purpose will have been achieved.[/quote]

Iraq is in a state of civil war. Stable political solutions for the dispensation of oil drilling rights will not soon be forthcoming. You can control the oil all you like, you can’t pump any of it until Iraq’s political problems get fixed.

[quote]endgamer711 wrote:
Headhunter wrote:
When you don’t fight to win, when you fight just to ‘contain’ your enemy, you lose.

Right. That explains what happened to the former Soviet Union.[/quote]

Did we fight the Soviets? News at 11?

[quote]Brad61 wrote:
Headhunter wrote:
"Have things changed on the ground in Iraq? Are our troops being routed? Hardly. The number of U.S. fatalities has gone from a high of 860 deaths in 2004 to 845 in 2005, to 695 through November of this year. If the Islamic fascists double their rate of killing Americans in the next month, there will still be fewer American fatalities in Iraq this year than in the previous two years.

Only a heartless bitch would think a small yearly decrease in troop fatalities was a big deal. And I’m not referring to Ann Coulter here.

By the way, Ann can find out when Ramadan is, by looking it up with Google or Wikipedia. Even a grade-schooler knows how to do that. Ann Coulter is a moron, Headhunter should try reading SMART conservatives like William F Buckley. Ever hear the saying “Garbage in, Garbage out”? I suppose that is Headhunter’s exact problem.

[/quote]

Ummm…I think she’s attacking the MSM for portraying Iraq as a debacle for our troops. Now, why would they do that?

She knows when Ramadam is. Ever hear of satire or irony? She’s far smarter than you could even dream to be.

[quote]endgamer711 wrote:

Iraq is in a state of civil war. Stable political solutions for the dispensation of oil drilling rights will not soon be forthcoming. You can control the oil all you like, you can’t pump any of it until Iraq’s political problems get fixed.[/quote]

My god, endgamer, I’ve just had an epiphany. You remember the old 007 movie Goldfinger, right? Goldfinger’s evil plot was never to steal the gold from Ft. Knox, just make it radioactive and inaccessible so that the value of his own gold would skyrocket.

Think about it: what business are Bush, his daddy and a great many members of his cabinet in? The oil business! The goal of the Bush administration isn’t to take the oil from Iraq, it’s to destabilize all of the oil-producing areas in the Middle East so that nobody can pump it, which means that the price of oil (ergo the value of their own oil) will rise. It all makes sense now.

They aren’t incompetent ignoramuses at all, they are evil geniuses! Hahaha.

The “War for Oil” conspiracy has been debunked over and over again. The middle east has strategic value for it’s oil reserves but nobody is stealing it, simply making sure a loony regime doesn’t restrict it.

Bill Whittle made an excellent tactical analysis of what a “war for oil” would have looked like. I’ve posted it below. See if you can tell the difference.

By the way what contract did Exxon/Mobil recieve from the Iraqi’s or the US Govt. to pump Iraqi oil? Seems like it would have been big news. Something you’d see in the annual report maybe? Or was it a secret contract.

"What would a real “war for oil” look like? Well, US troops would have sped to the oilfields with everything we had. Everything we had. Then, secure convoy routes would have been established to the nearest port ? probably Basra ? and the US Navy would essentially line the entire gulf with wall-to-wall warships in order to ensure the safe passage of US-flagged tankers into and out of the region.

There would have been no overland campaign ? what for? ? and no fight for Baghdad. Fallujah and Mosul and all those other trouble spots would never even see an American boot. Why? No oil there. The US Military would do what it is extraordinarily well-trained to do: take and hold a very limited area, and supply secure convoys to and from this limited area on an ongoing basis. Saddam could have stayed if he wanted: probably would have saved us a lot of trouble, and the whole thing would have become a sort of super no-fly zone over the oil fields, ports and convoy routes, and the devil take the rest of it. Sadr City IED deaths? Please. What the f**k does Sadr City have that we need?

That?s what a war for oil would look like. It?s entirely possible that such an operation could have been accomplished and maintained without a single American fatality.

We have lost thousands killed and wounded because they are being blown up as they continue to provide security, electrical and water services, schools and hospitals to a land ravaged by three decades of fear, torture and barbarism. It is the American presence in the cities, providing security and some semblance of order for Iraqi citizens, that has cost us so many lives. If we are going to be tarred and slandered and pay the public relations price for ?stealing Iraqi oil,? then the least we can do is go in and actually steal some of it, instead of dying to protect that resource for the use of the Iraqi people. Which is what is happening, because, as usual, there is not a shred of evidence to the contrary, no matter how many imbeciles hold up signs and dance around in giant papier?mache heads."

[quote]Headhunter wrote:
GDollars37 wrote:
April 1975, U.S. Army Colonel Harry Summers to NVA Colonel Tu: “You know, you never defeated us on the battlefield.”

Colonel Tu: “That may be so, but it is also irrelevant.”

When you don’t fight to win, when you fight just to ‘contain’ your enemy, you lose. What’s shocking about that? The descendents of the Vietnam libs won’t let us win this one either, so guess what’s happening?
[/quote]

The people who won’t let us win due to their incompetence, Bush and Cheney etc., are hardly “the descendents of the Vietnam libs.” They may have dodged the draft back then, but that hardly makes them Vietnam libs.

And my point in quoting the famous Summers encounter is that using U.S. combat deaths alone to prove that we’re “winning” is ludicrous. In fact, it could well be argued that decreasing U.S. combat deaths are a bad sign, insofar as it means that we are increasingly withdrawing into massive superbases and leaving Baghdad and other urban areas to the burgeoning civil war. And even more importantly, the U.S., to the best of my knowledge, has not lost a single platoon-sized engagement in Iraq, and certainly nothing of company size or above. Yet we can quite easily win every physical battle and lose the war, something you can’t seem to get your head around. But hey, that Anne Coulter’s really smart.

[quote]hedo wrote:
The “War for Oil” conspiracy has been debunked over and over again. The middle east has strategic value for it’s oil reserves but nobody is stealing it, simply making sure a loony regime doesn’t restrict it.

Bill Whittle made an excellent tactical analysis of what a “war for oil” would have looked like. I’ve posted it below. See if you can tell the difference.

By the way what contract did Exxon/Mobil recieve from the Iraqi’s or the US Govt. to pump Iraqi oil? Seems like it would have been big news. Something you’d see in the annual report maybe? Or was it a secret contract.

"What would a real “war for oil” look like? Well, US troops would have sped to the oilfields with everything we had. Everything we had. Then, secure convoy routes would have been established to the nearest port ? probably Basra ? and the US Navy would essentially line the entire gulf with wall-to-wall warships in order to ensure the safe passage of US-flagged tankers into and out of the region.

There would have been no overland campaign ? what for? ? and no fight for Baghdad. Fallujah and Mosul and all those other trouble spots would never even see an American boot. Why? No oil there. The US Military would do what it is extraordinarily well-trained to do: take and hold a very limited area, and supply secure convoys to and from this limited area on an ongoing basis. Saddam could have stayed if he wanted: probably would have saved us a lot of trouble, and the whole thing would have become a sort of super no-fly zone over the oil fields, ports and convoy routes, and the devil take the rest of it. Sadr City IED deaths? Please. What the f**k does Sadr City have that we need?

That?s what a war for oil would look like. It?s entirely possible that such an operation could have been accomplished and maintained without a single American fatality.

We have lost thousands killed and wounded because they are being blown up as they continue to provide security, electrical and water services, schools and hospitals to a land ravaged by three decades of fear, torture and barbarism. It is the American presence in the cities, providing security and some semblance of order for Iraqi citizens, that has cost us so many lives. If we are going to be tarred and slandered and pay the public relations price for ?stealing Iraqi oil,? then the least we can do is go in and actually steal some of it, instead of dying to protect that resource for the use of the Iraqi people. Which is what is happening, because, as usual, there is not a shred of evidence to the contrary, no matter how many imbeciles hold up signs and dance around in giant papier?mache heads."

[/quote]

The “war for oil conspriacy” has been bebunked? By who? The state Department or people on their payroll? Or mabe it was the mass media?

We aren’t there to “steal” the oil but to control it. Something that has an entirely different effect and tactical purpose.

Bill Whittle’s analysis may have some truth to it but is completely juvenille. The U.S. could never outright state that they are invading Iraq to take over it’s oil as the American public wouldn’t approve. So many stories had to be conjured up in order to justify invasion and drum up public support. In more honest days it was called propaganda. This is an intregal part of America’s foreign policy. For this particular invasion the propaganda stories were WMD’s, Saddams connection to 9/11 and spreading democracy.

The resource we are dying to protect is not for the Iraq’s but for the U.S. geo-political ends and big oil!

[quote]Zeppelin795 wrote:
hedo wrote:
The “War for Oil” conspiracy has been debunked over and over again. The middle east has strategic value for it’s oil reserves but nobody is stealing it, simply making sure a loony regime doesn’t restrict it.

Bill Whittle made an excellent tactical analysis of what a “war for oil” would have looked like. I’ve posted it below. See if you can tell the difference.

By the way what contract did Exxon/Mobil recieve from the Iraqi’s or the US Govt. to pump Iraqi oil? Seems like it would have been big news. Something you’d see in the annual report maybe? Or was it a secret contract.

"What would a real “war for oil” look like? Well, US troops would have sped to the oilfields with everything we had. Everything we had. Then, secure convoy routes would have been established to the nearest port ? probably Basra ? and the US Navy would essentially line the entire gulf with wall-to-wall warships in order to ensure the safe passage of US-flagged tankers into and out of the region.

There would have been no overland campaign ? what for? ? and no fight for Baghdad. Fallujah and Mosul and all those other trouble spots would never even see an American boot. Why? No oil there. The US Military would do what it is extraordinarily well-trained to do: take and hold a very limited area, and supply secure convoys to and from this limited area on an ongoing basis. Saddam could have stayed if he wanted: probably would have saved us a lot of trouble, and the whole thing would have become a sort of super no-fly zone over the oil fields, ports and convoy routes, and the devil take the rest of it. Sadr City IED deaths? Please. What the f**k does Sadr City have that we need?

That?s what a war for oil would look like. It?s entirely possible that such an operation could have been accomplished and maintained without a single American fatality.

We have lost thousands killed and wounded because they are being blown up as they continue to provide security, electrical and water services, schools and hospitals to a land ravaged by three decades of fear, torture and barbarism. It is the American presence in the cities, providing security and some semblance of order for Iraqi citizens, that has cost us so many lives. If we are going to be tarred and slandered and pay the public relations price for ?stealing Iraqi oil,? then the least we can do is go in and actually steal some of it, instead of dying to protect that resource for the use of the Iraqi people. Which is what is happening, because, as usual, there is not a shred of evidence to the contrary, no matter how many imbeciles hold up signs and dance around in giant papier?mache heads."

The “war for oil conspriacy” has been bebunked? By who? The state Department or people on their payroll? Or mabe it was the mass media?

We aren’t there to “steal” the oil but to control it. Something that has an entirely different effect and tactical purpose.

Bill Whittle’s analysis may have some truth to it but is completely juvenille. The U.S. could never outright state that they are invading Iraq to take over it’s oil as the American public wouldn’t approve. So many stories had to be conjured up in order to justify invasion and drum up public support. In more honest days it was called propaganda. This is an intregal part of America’s foreign policy. For this particular invasion the propaganda stories were WMD’s, Saddams connection to 9/11 and spreading democracy.

The resource we are dying to protect is not for the Iraq’s but for the U.S. geo-political ends and big oil![/quote]

Juvenille analysis? In what regard? Other then it disagrees with your narrow preconcieved beliefs. Please explain how it is juvenille or in what manner it is deficient. Seems to me to be a splendid strategy to sieze an oil region. How would you use sieze the oil fields based on your extensive military experience. You know as opposed to Mr. Whittle. Are we providing security, helping them form a government and rebuilding the infrastructure to hide our real objectives???

Haven’t you bought into the propoganda with no evidence to back it up? In all honesty only the far left and the conspiracy theorists believe it was a “war for oil”. It’s a campaign slogan that the naive have turned into an idealogy. But if you have this evidence please present it. I would love to be enlightened in the matter. The lame arguments used to claim a war for oil don’t stand up because they are based on opinion not fact…nothing more.

Can you cite the oil contracts awarded to Big Oil? They are a matter of public record under Sarbanes-Oxley aren’t they? Can you demonstrate with any facts that oil has been stolen or taken and not administered as public trust fot the Iraqi’s?

[quote]Headhunter wrote:
endgamer711 wrote:
Headhunter wrote:
When you don’t fight to win, when you fight just to ‘contain’ your enemy, you lose.

Right. That explains what happened to the former Soviet Union.

Did we fight the Soviets? News at 11?

[/quote]
You forgot the Cold War? We didn’t fight them, we contained them instead, and now they’re history.

We sure fought their proxies.

[quote]hedo wrote:
Can you cite the oil contracts awarded to Big Oil?
[/quote]
Too soon for that, the Iraqis have to get their new Petroleum Law together first before any further production rights can be contracted. The OilCos are hot to go, but they won’t move until they can have an enforceable contract with a sovereign authority.

This is why, I predict, we will look back at this period in time and find the deck was being stacked for an indefinite stay, despite the Baker commission report.