You’re saying the democrats are going to be severely punished in the midterms?
I’m saying that if they continue their obstructionist ways…and the constant protests and occasional riots (which have nothing to do directly with the dems in Congress) they will lose seats.
Like everyone else that has realized Trump is a bluffer - they do whatever they want. Like a few days ago when Trump said he was looking into breaking up the banks - the markets yawned. They don’t believe what he says and and they don’t fear him.
And also re: the Wall: Wall supporters will be the first to say Trump won’t always be in office, and the importance of the Wall is that it stands and thwarts illegal immigration regardless of who is in the White House.
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Unless Trump does a 180, it’s not the dems who are at risk next year. Not even close. By all accounts, the bill the House GOP passed today is an abomination. Voters are going to remember that.
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As much as I want them to, the average voter is pretty damn stupid. Overestimating the American public is what led to a POTUS Trump. If Dems let up for even a second, Trump has a very real chance of winning reelection.
Also worth noting that running against the incumbent is INCREDIBLY difficult. I’d have to go refind the stats, but iirc if you leave the economy better than when you started, the rate at which these presidents won reelection was ~80%.
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I was referring to the midterms next year. But you’re right it’s hard to knock out the incumbent in presidential elections…although there’s plenty working against Trump right now (record low approval, a very motivated dem party, etc.).
Lolz.
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We’ll have single-payer at some point before we financially implode.
Although that hasn’t come to pass, unfortunately - due to gerrymandering and other events, we’ve had something pretty close to a parliamentary system for a number of years. (We’re seeing some of that change now, at least a little bit, as GOP Reps and Senators don’t fear breaking with Trump.)
I don’t know what the solution is, but both parties are hunkering down on partisanship at a time where larger majorities identify with neither party.
Polls are showing people think Democrats are out of touch with America, yet the national leadership of the party isn’t morphing like they should in response to that feedback - they’re refusing to change and are just hoping being anti-Trump will be enough to return them to power.
Republicans talk like their majorities have given them a mandate, but for what?
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I’m not sure what I’m supposed to be getting from the image?
In my opinion, the United States will move to a single-payer system in the future (20-years or so). Much like UBI, I think it is both a terrible idea and inevitable, but the Sanders and Warrens of the world will get their way.
Couple lives on $25K/yr
Ocare $1050/yr
ACHA $44,200/yr
What could go wrong with current system (or rather projected)?
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I haven’t read the particulars on the new bill, yet.
Baby keep you up last night? haha
I was only showing a pic off of the tv from the Kaiser Family Foundation, showing an extreme example of a couple’s insurance situation plugged into both scenarios…
I have thought all along ACA to be a precursor to full blown single payer. A huge part of the puzzle has been laid out before your time - VA, Medicare, Medicaid. These last 2 with their pricing mandates have already socialized a significant amount of medical spending.
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Lol, no, I just don’t watch a lot of TV.
This is basically my train of thought. The ACHA might roll some of this back (I don’t know), but it’s just slowing the inevitable, imo.
Sadly, I couldn’t agree more. If there’s one thing that government is efficient at, it is slowly and methodically growing the size of government.
Nope, they ran on replacing Obama care and the only ones who won’t like the fact that they replaced Obama care will be the people who voted for Hillary (and not all of them).
Furthermore, unless Trump really blows it…and so far he has not. The republicans will pick up about 7 or so seats in the mid-terms.
That’s a pretty bold prediction
http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/mid-term_elections.php
Great post and most people don’t grasp the power of the incumbency.
The only incumbents to lose reelection (modern day) are George HW Bush who had to run not only against Bill Clinton but Ross Perot as well. And Perot, the independent, won 19% of the vote which was mostly taken from the republican side based on Perot’s various economic positions.
The other incumbent to lose in modern times was democrat Jimmy Carter who refused to campaign because of the American Hostages that were held by Iran. He thought it tawdry to participate in politics during the long national crisis (boy have the dems changed since then). And of course he ran against one of the best politicians of our times Ronald Reagan, who by the way won reelection by a record the biggest electoral victory in Presidential history!
The point is both of the two incumbents had extraordinary obstacles to overcome. The first a third party candidate and the second one of the greatest politicians in modern times.
If the economy is doing better than it did the day Trump was sworn in Trump will most likely get reelected.
Yes, it is and the reason I say it is because just about every republican ran on overturning Obamacare. Granted the bill they come up with will be far from perfect. But keeping that pledge is far more important in the voters minds. Politicians keeping promises has always been a big deal and even bigger as of late.
In addition to that the left continues to do harm to their reputation by the way they are conducting themselves. In addition to that every time I see a protest or a riot I smile…knowing that the general populace really hates this sort of thing. One only needs to look back to the riots against Nixon and the Vietnam war. What happened? He won reelection in a landslide against George McGovern. Those rioters are making themselves and many on the left feel really good about themselves. They are “the resistance” LOL…how noble. and how utterly stupid. .I hope no one tells them between now and then that the typical voter, including many democrats, hate “the resistance”.
It is their extreme hate for Trump that will cause them to lose seats in the mid-terms. Now this could all change…things could calm down. The left could begin to act like adults…Trump could do something really unpopular…we are a good distance away. But if things keep rolling along as they are now the dems lose 7 or so seats in the mid-term elections.