Trump wins Nevada by 18 points over a yet to be determined 2nd place finisher.
CNN is saying that Trump got 44% of the Latino vote, more than either of the Cuban candidates.
Most people here aren’t saying that she is unqualified for the job, except morally. So nobody cares that Kissinger thinks she is qualified on the foreign policy front. Besides, your preoccupation with foreign policy leaves out the massive domestic policy parts, which she will ALSO have to deal with and which most people here hate about her.
Basically you are making a point that nobody challenged seriously, and you are ignoring the reason nobody wants her in office.
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I would be shocked if that were the case. Bush was the Establishment guy, and establishment voters do NOT want Trump. They are far more likely to see eye to eye with Kasich or Rubio. Even Cruz is a better bet ideologically than Trump, because Cruz is at least a Senator and politician and Trump s a complete alien to everything.
Besides, it’s not like Trump needed the help to win Nevada.
Regarding poll data I agree, and have been watching Nate Silvers blog for some very interesting analysis.
Trump 45.9% & 14 delegates
Rubio 23.9% & 7 delegates
Cruz 21.4% & 6 delegates
But I don’t see Rubio and Cruz having same ideological support
First of all, I certainly never said that pulling even all of the Jeb supporters would cause Rubio to pass Trump. My point was that as other candidates drop out, as did Bush, Rubio stands to gain more than Trump.
As for your prediction of Trump rolling along and gaining even more momentum I think you are spot on. That’s why unless Cruz and Kasich don’t get out now…let’s say very quickly Trump will march on to capture the nomination. My point is I don’t think it’s too late yet, but it’s very close to being too late.
Exactly.
No wait I do know one thing, Hillary Clinton is not going to be elected to the Presidency!
And that’s about the only thing I am confident about.
Very good point Push. In addition to that Hillary’s support is soft. In other words the dems are not excited about her. Where as the Trump supporters are borderline fanatical. With that said, Trump still has to over come a very serious high negativity rating. At this point even higher than Hillary’s. But at this time back in 1980 many had a higher favorability rating than Ronald Reagan. This is all about who can run a better campaign. The person who does that wins by driving down their own unfavorability ratings and driving up the other persons.
While Trump comes off as a loud mouth bully and certainly for those of us who pay attention a light weight. That is all still better than the high dishonesty ratings that Hillary Clinton has. Needless to say if she is indicted after the nominating process she is toast!
But, as you say Trump has not won yet and I am still pulling for someone who can win in a walk…Marco Rubio,
BINGO!
Now throw in Kasichs supporters who will absolutely go to Rubio and Trump loses. But, as I said it’s getting late and all of this must happen very soon.
Apparently, the only person in the world who knows how to make Trump look bad is Roger Ailes…LMAO!
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With full disclosure, I detest Donald Trump. I’ve had some distant aborted business dealings with the man when he attempted to get certain clients to invest with him. His basic business premise when buying an asset is to pay too much, raise excess money from suckers with a promise of high returns, take a huge acquisition fee, asset management fee, etc. out for himself, pay for a while from proceeds as the property runs down from excess raise, then go bankrupt, screwing his investors. I challenged this and was essentially told the model for IPO investors is to dump on yet more suckers as fast as possible.
There are numerous lawsuits detailing this approach. In short, Trump is an amazing confidence man. People somehow believe he is a straight shooter when he is about a crooked as they come.
This is also why he doesn’t disclose financials and tax returns: it’s all smoke and mirror. Trump merely pretends to be a rich guy on TV. He’s a Kardashion with bad hair, creepy short fingers, and orange skin.
That said, how to defeat a man who has so many people bamboozled? 68% of Republican voters are either Cruz supporters or anybody-but-Trump. But they need someone around who they could rally.
The Republican Elite propose Rubio (or, less realistically, Kasich). Both are a mistake.
If Cruz left the race, most of his support would go to Trump. Ergo, he is the only viable alternative.
What they should do is embrace Cruz, whom they detest because Cruz is an actual conservative, but at least not an insane fraud like Trump who will get trounced in the general election, probably with down-ticket results. (I, for one, would vote libertarian or whatever for President if Trump was the candidate. Polls say 28% of Republicans are like me – they would never vote for Trump under any circumstance. This makes Trump a guaranteed loser in the general.)
The Elite know this. So it becomes a question: would the Republican Elite rather rally around a real conservative that they detest simply because he actually is conservative? Or would they rather go down in flames, taking their chances?
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I’m in that 28%. I will not vote for Trump.
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I will vote for anyone whom I believe would keep the corrupt Clinton machine away from power. But, if it were Trump I would have to hold my nose as I pulled the lever.
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That may very well be the case.
What say all you fellas ? If it’s down to Trump vs Hillary Nixon, where would your votes go ?