[quote]K2000 wrote:
ZEB wrote:
Fact: The Obama/Clinton race was not over until May. You don’t remember that? Was Obama a weak candidate?
You can’t really compare the 2008 Dem primary with the 2012 GOP primary. In 2008, it was a battle between two passionate camps who felt strongly for their candidates. Turnouts were massive and interest was high. In 2012 you have candidates who are supported for being ‘less bad’. Turnout for these primaries is absolutely pathetic, the lowest turnouts in recent memory. Only 5000 Republicans voted in the Maine primary. Five thousand total votes, in a state-wide election with national implications! Interest in the primaries among Republicans is approximately 40%. Satisfaction with the field of candidates is even lower. The 2008 Democratic primary had strong turnouts, and neither candidate was viewed as weak. In 2012, ALL the GOP candidates are viewed as weak or flawed.[/quote]
My comparison was based upon hotly contested races. Many Presidential primaries go through May this is just one example there are many others.
[quote]ZEB wrote:
Fact: If Romney is weak then what would you call the other candidates? Romney has virtually lead the entire way since day one.
I would call the other candidates marginal, or fringe candidates. Ron Paul is so fringe that in 2008, Fox news wouldn’t even let him onstage to debate, because he didn’t have enough support to rate as a serious candidate. Newt Gingrich is one of the most damaged politicians in recent history, and people mainly like him because he is perceived as an attack dog, who would attempt to humiliate the president. Santorum lost his last home state election in a landslide. Nobody has broken the 50% mark in a primary yet.[/quote]
I agree with you on your take on the other three candidates and I never said otherwise. However, take a look at history, when there are a multitude of candidates NO ONE breaks 50% until near the end. But Romney has been the strongest candidate and has the most delgates thus far. Honestly, some of you act like you’ve never seen a Presidential primary before- LOL
[quote]ZEB wrote:
There’s only one man who can beat Obama and that man is Mitt Romney! You can like it, lump it or hide under your bed because of it, but it’s absolutely the truth!
Today’s Rasmussen poll has Romney at 39% against Obama. The myth that Romney is the electable candidate has been shot full of holes. Romney’s had months to sell himself to the public, and he can’t close the deal. The more exposure he gets, the lower his poll numbers dip. People just aren’t buying it.
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I saw the poll and I’ve seen previous polls that show it neck and neck vs Obama. But I will caution you on one thing, cross party polls BEFORE one party has chosen a candidate are pretty meaningless. In fact, almost the opposite has happened in every cross party poll this early. Kerry was ahead of GW Bush by 8 pts. during almost the same time 8 years ago. And his Father President Bush (41) was ahead of Bill Clinton by a whopping 15 points yet he did not win a second term.
Read some Presidential history you guys are shooting from the hip on this thread and its’ border line comical!
I’ve given you and others the take on why Romney can (but may not) beat Obama. He at least has a good chance 50/50 at best.