November Shock: US Dollar to Collapse in 30 Days

[quote]tribunaldude wrote:
You guys just don;t get it.

  1. STOP INVESTING AND LEARN TO TRADE. At this point, the only thing worth holding medium term → precious metal assets. Especially with the short squeeze on gold prices.

  2. Convert ALL your remaining liquid assets to euros/GBP and go long for a month or so.

  3. Look for a certified R.E.T in your area and run your plans by him/her.They will give you better advice than your broker.

  4. Pray…for the horror that is November will be unspeakable.

  5. Visit the website of the one group that is IMMUNE to the economic crisis and controls it with puppet strings

http://www.legatus.org/

(also featured in a documentary about real-life Opus Deis)[/quote]

Why would you want Euros, when the Europeans will fall to fighting each other when the real collapse hits? You expect Frenchmen and Germans to cooperate, to save a currency? LOL!

Buy Swiss Francs. Why would anyone buy Euros if they can buy Swiss Francs?

[quote]Headhunter wrote:
tribunaldude wrote:
You guys just don;t get it.

  1. STOP INVESTING AND LEARN TO TRADE. At this point, the only thing worth holding medium term → precious metal assets. Especially with the short squeeze on gold prices.

  2. Convert ALL your remaining liquid assets to euros/GBP and go long for a month or so.

  3. Look for a certified R.E.T in your area and run your plans by him/her.They will give you better advice than your broker.

  4. Pray…for the horror that is November will be unspeakable.

  5. Visit the website of the one group that is IMMUNE to the economic crisis and controls it with puppet strings

http://www.legatus.org/

(also featured in a documentary about real-life Opus Deis)

Why would you want Euros, when the Europeans will fall to fighting each other when the real collapse hits? You expect Frenchmen and Germans to cooperate, to save a currency? LOL!

Buy Swiss Francs. Why would anyone buy Euros if they can buy Swiss Francs?

[/quote]

Why anyone would advise buying euros is beyond me. Maybe tribunaldude is sitting on a ton of euros and is trying to prop up the market?

[quote]orion wrote:
katzenjammer wrote:
orion wrote:
katzenjammer wrote:
orion wrote:
katzenjammer wrote:
orion wrote:
Zap Branigan wrote:
orion wrote:
katzenjammer wrote:
tribunaldude wrote:

I would also recommend holding euros instead of dollars (

^^ you must be joking? Europe is in far worse shape, as is the Euro.

No, because we have a fundamentally sound economy.

You don´t.

lol

Is 15-20% of our GDP financial services?

Did we have a housing bubble that has yet to ruin hundreds if not thousand small construction firms?

Do we have a weapons industry that will have to shrink as the whole American empire becomes unsustainable?

Did we live beyond our means or do we have billions of private savings?

I think I´ll stand by my assessment.

Feel free to PM me where to send the care packages.

Yes your banks are involved in the largest lending bubble in history. Yes you are in worse shape than the US. Yes you are in denial. Yes, Europe’s schadenfreude is about to give way to their highly developed sense of irony.

Did you actually read the article?

Yes, a few of our banks are fucked and non-Euro curreencies will be kicked up and down just for fun, but what has that to do with our real economy?

We are like Japan in the early 90´s, we can simply sit this one out.

The huge malinvestments of the US economy just aren´t there.

I read it, but trust me, nobody needed to tell me that banks around here start getting nervous.

Wow. You are in serious denial. Or you haven’t read the piece I linked. Or you’re smoking more of that Austrian hash. Enjoy your schadenfreude while you can - it won’t last long.

Here’s just one short sentence in that piece: “Austria’s bank exposure to emerging markets is equal to 85pc of GDP - with a heavy concentration in Hungary, Ukraine, and Serbia - all now queuing up (with Belarus) for rescue packages from the International Monetary Fund.”

So in the worst case scenario we own half of Eastern Europe?

What it means is that you’re participating in a truly massive lending bubble - just like the US - only it’s much worse.

This is why the dollar has been strengthening; not because the US is doing better, but because investors are quite aware that Europe is facing even worse prospects.

[edit: btw, orion, I really suggest reading the article - I do think you’ll find it interesting.]

I read it, but trust me, nobody needed to tell me that banks around here start getting nervous.

edit: I have spent the last 2 weeks explaining to friends what their banks really wanted from them.

And, while I still remain a true believer when it comes to capitalism, those bankers can be slick, greedy assholes.

But, somehow, there is something very Austrian about it when you tell a banker, in a roundabout way, that he is trying to anally rape someone and he tells you, in a very roundabout way, that he is terribly sorry but his board of directors, um, kind of degreed what would be “best for the customers”.

Sometimes I kind of do not know whether we are just a bunch of degenerate hypocrites or surprisingly frank and honest when you speak the code.[/quote]

Probably the Austrians have no monopoly on that sort of thing :slight_smile:

However, I won’t be surprised if ahem the Schilling is ahem reintroduced. Do you you think the Euro is going to last? Seriously now.

[quote]Headhunter wrote:
tribunaldude wrote:
You guys just don;t get it.

  1. STOP INVESTING AND LEARN TO TRADE. At this point, the only thing worth holding medium term → precious metal assets. Especially with the short squeeze on gold prices.

  2. Convert ALL your remaining liquid assets to euros/GBP and go long for a month or so.

  3. Look for a certified R.E.T in your area and run your plans by him/her.They will give you better advice than your broker.

  4. Pray…for the horror that is November will be unspeakable.

  5. Visit the website of the one group that is IMMUNE to the economic crisis and controls it with puppet strings

http://www.legatus.org/

(also featured in a documentary about real-life Opus Deis)

Why would you want Euros, when the Europeans will fall to fighting each other when the real collapse hits? You expect Frenchmen and Germans to cooperate, to save a currency? LOL!

Buy Swiss Francs. Why would anyone buy Euros if they can buy Swiss Francs?

[/quote]

Because few to none investors have the money to fuck with the EUR but quite a lot could bet against the CHF if they wanted too?

[quote]katzenjammer wrote:
orion wrote:
katzenjammer wrote:
orion wrote:
katzenjammer wrote:
orion wrote:
katzenjammer wrote:
orion wrote:
Zap Branigan wrote:
orion wrote:
katzenjammer wrote:
tribunaldude wrote:

I would also recommend holding euros instead of dollars (

^^ you must be joking? Europe is in far worse shape, as is the Euro.

No, because we have a fundamentally sound economy.

You don´t.

lol

Is 15-20% of our GDP financial services?

Did we have a housing bubble that has yet to ruin hundreds if not thousand small construction firms?

Do we have a weapons industry that will have to shrink as the whole American empire becomes unsustainable?

Did we live beyond our means or do we have billions of private savings?

I think I´ll stand by my assessment.

Feel free to PM me where to send the care packages.

Yes your banks are involved in the largest lending bubble in history. Yes you are in worse shape than the US. Yes you are in denial. Yes, Europe’s schadenfreude is about to give way to their highly developed sense of irony.

Did you actually read the article?

Yes, a few of our banks are fucked and non-Euro curreencies will be kicked up and down just for fun, but what has that to do with our real economy?

We are like Japan in the early 90´s, we can simply sit this one out.

The huge malinvestments of the US economy just aren´t there.

I read it, but trust me, nobody needed to tell me that banks around here start getting nervous.

Wow. You are in serious denial. Or you haven’t read the piece I linked. Or you’re smoking more of that Austrian hash. Enjoy your schadenfreude while you can - it won’t last long.

Here’s just one short sentence in that piece: “Austria’s bank exposure to emerging markets is equal to 85pc of GDP - with a heavy concentration in Hungary, Ukraine, and Serbia - all now queuing up (with Belarus) for rescue packages from the International Monetary Fund.”

So in the worst case scenario we own half of Eastern Europe?

What it means is that you’re participating in a truly massive lending bubble - just like the US - only it’s much worse.

This is why the dollar has been strengthening; not because the US is doing better, but because investors are quite aware that Europe is facing even worse prospects.

[edit: btw, orion, I really suggest reading the article - I do think you’ll find it interesting.]

I read it, but trust me, nobody needed to tell me that banks around here start getting nervous.

edit: I have spent the last 2 weeks explaining to friends what their banks really wanted from them.

And, while I still remain a true believer when it comes to capitalism, those bankers can be slick, greedy assholes.

But, somehow, there is something very Austrian about it when you tell a banker, in a roundabout way, that he is trying to anally rape someone and he tells you, in a very roundabout way, that he is terribly sorry but his board of directors, um, kind of degreed what would be “best for the customers”.

Sometimes I kind of do not know whether we are just a bunch of degenerate hypocrites or surprisingly frank and honest when you speak the code.

Probably the Austrians have no monopoly on that sort of thing :slight_smile:

However, I won’t be surprised if ahem the Schilling is ahem reintroduced. Do you you think the Euro is going to last? Seriously now. [/quote]

Yes, because everyone has seen what can happen to currencies that are to small to be defended against a hedge fund.

Also, most European trade is inner-European trade and our economies have benefited a lot from no longer having to hedge their currency risks.

I do not see why anyone would want to return to the old system.

Plus, the Austrian Schilling was effectively part of the DM because we knew then that we were to small to make it on our own, why would we want to leave the EUR and then practically join another currency?

No. The CHF is a waste of time. Going long on the euro will reap rich dividends over the next few weeks.
And yes, I do own a ton of euros.

[quote]katzenjammer wrote:
Headhunter wrote:
tribunaldude wrote:
You guys just don;t get it.

  1. STOP INVESTING AND LEARN TO TRADE. At this point, the only thing worth holding medium term → precious metal assets. Especially with the short squeeze on gold prices.

  2. Convert ALL your remaining liquid assets to euros/GBP and go long for a month or so.

  3. Look for a certified R.E.T in your area and run your plans by him/her.They will give you better advice than your broker.

  4. Pray…for the horror that is November will be unspeakable.

  5. Visit the website of the one group that is IMMUNE to the economic crisis and controls it with puppet strings

http://www.legatus.org/

(also featured in a documentary about real-life Opus Deis)

Why would you want Euros, when the Europeans will fall to fighting each other when the real collapse hits? You expect Frenchmen and Germans to cooperate, to save a currency? LOL!

Buy Swiss Francs. Why would anyone buy Euros if they can buy Swiss Francs?

Why anyone would advise buying euros is beyond me. Maybe tribunaldude is sitting on a ton of euros and is trying to prop up the market? [/quote]

[quote]tribunaldude wrote:
No. The CHF is a waste of time. Going long on the euro will reap rich dividends over the next few weeks.
And yes, I do own a ton of euros.

[/quote]

wanna bet? Let’s check in 1 month from now and see how the Euro has faired relative to other currencies. Deal?

Europe needs a weaker Euro imo,so the current trend is no bad thing.

RATE CUT!!! RATE CUT!!!

Down goes the dollar…told ya so!

[quote]Neuromancer wrote:
Europe needs a weaker Euro imo,so the current trend is no bad thing.[/quote]

Current trends are reversing. The Euro is up against the dollar for the second straight day, but still at a 20-month low.

The dollar is falling at about the right time for my farmers. Cotton should start going limit up for the next few days if the dollar keeps falling.

Of course, the down side to that is that oil is creeping back up. It’s still below $70, but will probably go to $75 due to the OPEC decision to reduce production.

[quote]tribunaldude wrote:
RATE CUT!!! RATE CUT!!!

Down goes the dollar…told ya so![/quote]

Dollar has been heading down all week, dipshit.

So you’re finally going to feed them, gramps?

[quote]rainjack wrote:

The dollar is falling at about the right time for my farmers. [/quote]

[quote]tribunaldude wrote:
RATE CUT!!! RATE CUT!!!

Down goes the dollar…told ya so![/quote]

You are SOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO smart.

Mind teaching us a few more things about economics without linking to that damn website?

[quote]tribunaldude wrote:
RATE CUT!!! RATE CUT!!!

Down goes the dollar…told ya so![/quote]

The world, at present, is one of basic cooperation. Rates are determined by who needs the most help. If Europe is tanking, rates go down there relative to us, and so forth.

It is only when nations start squabbling and trying to outdo each other in currency devaluation that what you say could possibly happen.

Merrill Lynch, btw, is calling for $1500 gold and $150 oil ($225 over the next coupla years).

A depression only becomes obvious to most when it is well under way. We are in a depression. It’ll probably be inflationary as governments this time are supposed to ‘do something’.

[quote]tribunaldude wrote:

  1. Pray…for the horror that is November will be unspeakable.
    [/quote]

So your saying Obama will win?

[quote]tribunaldude wrote:
So you’re finally going to feed them, gramps?

rainjack wrote:

The dollar is falling at about the right time for my farmers.

[/quote]

A weak dollar is the farmer’s best friend. Always has been. Always will be.

But I guess they don’t teach you that in your little college tin-foil hat group, do they?

How does a college kid acquire “a ton” of euros?

[quote]Headhunter wrote:
tribunaldude wrote:
RATE CUT!!! RATE CUT!!!

Down goes the dollar…told ya so!

The world, at present, is one of basic cooperation. Rates are determined by who needs the most help. If Europe is tanking, rates go down there relative to us, and so forth.

It is only when nations start squabbling and trying to outdo each other in currency devaluation that what you say could possibly happen.

Merrill Lynch, btw, is calling for $1500 gold and $150 oil ($225 over the next coupla years).

A depression only becomes obvious to most when it is well under way. We are in a depression. It’ll probably be inflationary as governments this time are supposed to ‘do something’.

[/quote]

We’ll see $30 oil before we see $225.

Ummmm… Thats a given. I’ll stake my reputation as an unbiased, impartial, level-headed and objective soothsayer on that.

[quote]The Mage wrote:
tribunaldude wrote:
So your saying Obama will win?[/quote]

Correctamundo.

[quote]rainjack wrote:
We’ll see $30 oil before we see $225.
[/quote]

fuck it all. Goodbye.