Wow. Raul Ibanez has had one helluva postseason already and it’s only Game One of the LCS.
After watching the Giants do so well late in the games in both the regular season and the postseason despite not having a truly-defined closer, I’m starting to have my doubts about the necessity for one. Tonight only confirms if for me.
This isn’t a sabermetrics thing but more of an emotional thing I suppose. When a team has a closer who is basically “The Guy” in the 9th, it seems like managers are much, much more reluctant to take him out if he’s struggling. It’s like they literally sink or swim with the guy without realizing they could at least jump into the water with a lifejacket on. Now, some closers really are The Guy and you can’t blame a manager with sticking with them. But there aren’t many of them, maybe Kimbrel and Rivera when he was healthy and MAYBE Joe Nathan or Brian Wilson (when he was healthy) or Aroldis Chapman. But really, there’s virtually no closer in the game who’s currently healthy who is so dominant and has the track record to instill that sort of confidence.
I think what teams are better off doing is what Bochy has done. This is going to be hard to explain but I’ll try. Basically, if you’re a manager and you know you’re going with just your closer in the 9th, you can define everyone else’s role a little more definitively. Basically, the manager is more apt to blow through all of his good arms before he gets to the closer so that when the closer struggles at all, he’s fucked.
The manager basically goes with one guy for the 8th and a combo of lefty/righty for the 7th, with the best lefty occasionally throwing in the 8th if the RH setup man isn’t that tough on lefties. It’s a little more fluid than that obviously, but only a little. And what happens then is that when you aren’t planning on saving any of your good pitchers other than the closer for the 9th, if a guy gets shelled in the 8th all of a sudden now you’re really only down to the closer to relieve him and now he has to throw more than an inning.
The way Bochy has been forced to handle it is such that he usually tries to have a righty and a lefty for the 9th inning. As a result, he has to stretch guys a little more before the 9th, but often times this just means facing one more batter than they normally would. How many times have we seen a manager take a pitcher out after just one batter strictly for matchup reasons even though the pitcher looked unhittable at the time? We don’t see that very often at all with Bochy.
What he ends up with are more quality options for the 9th inning if anyone struggles and it doesn’t trample on any egos when guys get moved in and out of that 9th inning role since they aren’t The Guy anyways. Romo is the main RH for the 9th, but Casilla has been the guy at times as well and both Lopez and Affeldt have thrown in the 9th against lefties a lot.
This approach is also cheaper because a top-notch closer can come at a pretty steep price sometimes. Quality setup men can usually be had for much less. It’s a way to get a lot more depth in the bullpen, which is always huge in the postseason. There’s just too much riding on each game to just stick with anyone other than maybe the top 2 or 3 closers in the game no matter what in the 9th. It would be better to have several slightly less quality pitchers in the hopes that any one or two of them could be throwing lights out at any given time, let alone ALL of them throwing well at the same time.