If you drop the silly LA Times tracking poll, RHC lead is over 2.5 points. There may be gains for trump, but those gains have not had him in the lead (since JULY!!!). Too me it is crystal clear. He cannot win.
jnd
That is what averaging is all about. The polls showing The corrupt mrs C 5 pt ahead are also outliers.
Actually, if you account for the standard error, those 5 point wins are not outliers at all. HRC has won many different polls by 5 points. Trump has ONLY won a single national poll (which BTW vastly over-sampled republicans).
You need to discount that LAtimes/USC poll because its methodology is drastically different than many others.
I’m sticking to HRC by 3%.
jnd
This is a good bet.
Polls have it around 2-point-something right now; the discrepancy between Clinton’s well-made, well-run machine and Trump’s pathetically incompetent field organization could send it up to 3.5.
More importantly, it isn’t clear what electoral path he has. Nevada is all but gone, and without Nevada, he can’t win.
Whatever dude you pick the poll you like. I will stay with the average as it has turned out to be far closer to reality than doing what you feel like doing. What is an outlier is function of math. Argue if you wish I’m not going to bother
I live in iowa and in two years it starts all over as we are the first caucus state.
Law enforcement is preparing for mass riots by BLM if trump wins.
What is sad is that in one of so called great countries this is what we come up with.
The opening theme of All on the family was right, thoses were the days.
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Why do I doubt that we are going to have mass riots in Iowa.
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We have a smart black community in larger towns cities. Not enough to worry about in iowa But in larger cities like chicago,baltimore, Dallas, etc.
The blm people will stir up chaos as usual, not s peaceful protest but chaos like Ferguson.
We might have them in Seattle. But our spoiled white kids are not as destructive and they dare not leave Seattle or they would get their butts kicked
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I freind of mine who is gay had an all lives matter shirt with a rainbow on it , and a some of the blm thugs were throwing donuts at him and calling him a faggot ass white boy. He is very effeminate and the incident terrified him.
If they cared so much they would be in chicago, helping those out in gang infested communities.
A social sciences professor on the rogan experience said every great civilization has civil war every 250 to 300 years , and the only thing keeping China from having one is they disarmed citizens.
I am not a gun nut everytime some scumbag shoots innocent people, the first thing they talk about is taking guns. Which gives government complete control like china, north korea etc.
We had a guy a few years ago kidnapped his ex-wife at gun point in front of 20 people , raped her and killed her. The chief of police said if their would have been 5or 6 people in group who had permit to carry, one of them could have got off shot, and saved the poor women.
I can’t wait to see the rioting here in Los Angeles if Trump wins, it could be like the LA riots of 1992 all over again.
I am missing who you guys think are going to riot;
Pissed off white and Asian Berkeley students…or maybe white feminist and LGBT activist?
Give me a break.
There may be millennials having a sit-down in a “safe-zone” by an Administration Building if Trump wins; but there is not enough passion for Hillary to give two-shits about her losing…and certainly not enough to have people rioting in the streets.
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The same paid anarchist shit bags who showed up at Trump rallies organized by the DNC to raise hell. The riot will come from Trump winning, not Hillary losing.
I was working in the Hollywood Hills then. that was quite a sight those fires coming up from the city below
Do i think Trump is best pick as president no, do i want 8 more years of same shit, letting fucking Muslims from Africa and middle east in counrty with no way to tell if they are extremists.
I mean at least we know what Mexicans like drinking beer, smoking weed, working jobs we dont want, and making little Mexicans.
I do think because of pure ego Trump will actually try to change shit, and look like hero.
The DNC paying people to start shit at rallies is to make people fear going to them.
I am now hated at work because i am Trump supporter, ( i work in union shop), as well as racist last girl i lived with was half black.
A lot of people forget congress is responsible for these laws and policies, one guy dont run whole show.
That used to be just a rumor but that video ended that. It is a fact. The DNC has been hiring professional agitators. For now on when it looks like a small group set off a riot. We know that is was not spontaneous that there are people who are paid to set these things off.
I can imagine, you would have a clear view to the ocean (if it’s not too smoggy). You were working in my neck of the woods, at the bottom of the hill near laurel canyon and Ventura blvd. Dupars still has the insane pancakes.
No doubt Trump is a God awful choice, but Hillary might be the biggest sellout of a president we have seen in recent times. She literally has our government up for sale, and no one like you, me, or any of us has a seat at the table. Tomorrow’s choice is like choosing between being shot or being stabbed.
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[quote=“MaximusB, post:37, topic:223188”]
canyon
[/quote] yes I used to work in your neck of the woods a lot. And for a part of my life I didn’t live that far away from Laurel Canyon and Ventura Boulevard. Once you get to the top around Mulholland Dr the view is amazing right after a storm blows through and it’s dead clear
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I am going to stick my neck out and call it for Trump.
There is a long history in Austria of underdeclaring FPOE voters, it was, and to some degree is. declasse to vote for them.
A friend of mine calls them the wankers of voters, everybody does it, noone admits to it.