Back to a point I’ve made for years – if a third party grabs hold of this issue and actually goes with popular opinion on immigration, you could see a massive shift, with the end of one major party (I think the U.S. will always have a two-major-party system…):
Border-centric third-party beats GOP.
By Mickey Kaus
Updated Thursday, April 27, 2006, at 6:39 PM ET
Things You Won’t Read in The Note: A Rasmussen robo-poll reports that a third party candidate who ( http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/April%20Dailies/Election%202008.htm )
promised to build a barrier along the Mexican border and make enforcement of immigration law his top priority
beats the generic “Republican” nominee by 9 points-- 30 to 21–and runs practically even with the generic “Democratic” nominee (who gets 31%). The border-centric third-party candidacy actually takes more votes from the Democratic side than the Republican side!. But it draws heavily from both parties, and as heavily from “moderates” as from “conservatives.”
[i]the immigration issue candidate as an option, 36% of conservative voters opt for the Republican candidate while 35% take the third party option. Among political moderates, 34% pick the Democrat while 32% prefer the third party option.[/i]
Yes, this is a robo-poll (though voters may feel more comfortable telling a robot what they really think). … Yes, as Rasmussen notes, “This result probably reflects unhappiness with both parties on the immigration issue rather than a true opportunity for a third party.”… And yes, candidates with appealing specifics often beat undefined, generic party choices. … Still, it raises suspicions about the hothouse, semi-confected Beltway CW that a tough, non-“comprehensive,” enforcement-first approach is a political loser in the short term, no? ( http://www.weeklystandard.com/Content/Public/Articles/000/000/012/104dybwn.asp )…
Update: Rasmussen blogs himself on RCP ( The RCP Blog ), with statesmanlike modulation. … 3:20 P.M.
“Bring Our Troops Home and Put Them on the Mexican Border!” The Anti-Defamation League cites that bumpersticker as an example of “hateful and racist rhetoric.” ( http://www.adl.org/main_Extremism/immigration_extremists.htm?Multi_page_sections=sHeading_1 )The group selling the sticker might be hateful and racist, but what’s hateful and racist about the message itself? It’s a long border! One way to police it would be troops. I don’t endorse that solution, but non-insane, non-racist–and pro-immigrant–people have suggested it. (E.g. Bloggingheads.tv )… P.S.: Is it that people who want to “bring our troops home” are hateful and racist? The ADL needs to keep itself in business, but taking on the entire left wing of the Democratic party seems a bit much. [Via Drudge] 1:02 P.M.