[quote]Da Man reloaded wrote:
I stated I am against them based on the utter lack of data.[/quote]
So you’re decidedly against GMOs based on an utter lack of data? If yes please reconcile that with your advocacy of data-driven decision-making.
That’s the thing, there isn’t zero data. You just choose to ignore or dismiss the entire mountain of data that exists. There’s no point in redirecting you to the studies that have been done and do exist and, increasingly, it’s becoming obvious that there’s no appealing to what would otherwise be normal abilities to observe and reason. You’re a zealot.
facepalm This gives me the overwhelming impression that when I use the term ‘prior distributions’ you think I mean ‘historical dispersals’ and not ‘information or facts known prior to analysis’.
Fisher himself, rather eloquently, in the introduction to Design of Experiments rather explicitly states that; “(Heavily paraphrased)While statistician hold sway over their data, experiments, and interpretations, the implications of that work must be reconciled with the common understanding and that the statistician holds no greater or lesser ability than the next thinking man in this regard.” Experiments, even well designed ones, don’t contain or generate the truth, they, at best, reveal it. Distributions exist(ed) independent of experimentation and data exists regardless of collection.
Bayes Theorem also rather strongly suggests that just because no experiments have been performed does not mean no data exists. The prior distribution is the cornerstone of it. If a man walks into a bar, says he’s the best billiards player in the world, snaps his fingers and all the balls (save the cue balls) on all the tables in the room rocket into the pockets in numerical order all at once. Because of my knowledge of prior distributions with regard to humans, bars, and billiards, I don’t have to ask him to do it again as proof.
Shannon’s work indicates similarly, more information is conveyed from the realization of a single (or few) rare event(s) than the n-th iteration of a common event. Extrapolating, for the progressively information-consumption inhibited, no amount of winning pool by snapping fingers is relevant.
If gramoxone kills people (and mice, rats, cats, dogs, pigs, cows, horses, chickens…) and glyphosate doesn’t, n trials are unnecessary. If I use RoundUp soybeans to feed more people than I did with plain old soybeans and gramoxone, there is little to no math to be done.
Don’t bother with a reply unless it’s video footage of a living organism consuming significant dose of gramoxone and surviving or consuming the equivalently small amount of GMOs and being killed in a similar manner.