How Big Can You Get Naturally?

[quote]austin_bicep wrote:
Professor X wrote:
LankyMofo wrote:
austin_bicep wrote:
I think a physique like Arnolds or some of the other 70s and 80s bodybuilders is definetly attainable drug free. The problem is 99 percent of people don’t have the drive, patience, or willingness to do what it takes. Instead they sit around and debate who’s drug free or not and go onto claim everyone bigger than them must be on steroids and that is pathetic.

I think you’re crazy. Maybe for a few genetic elites (as in, less than .001% in the world, with Lockett possibly being one of them) it’s possible, but the guys in the 70s and 80s still represent the top tier of genetics, balls to the wall dedication, hard as nails traing ALONG with drug use to top it off.

I’m not one on putting barriers but to think the average joe can attain a Lee Haney or Arnold physique, drug free, I think you’re crazy.

This is true. The average person does NOT have the genetics to build arms much bigger than 17". It is generally held that you do have decent genetics if you can reach sizes bigger than that in a relatively short time frame.

I didn’t realize I needed to clarify that I’m not talking about your “average Joe.” I guess I was talking about what I thought that I could accomplish. Genetics obviously are going to be a determining factor but hard work and motivation have taken some people with not such great potential pretty far places.
[/quote]

While I generally agree with your attitude and general statement about hard work and motivations, you believe yourself to be genetically elite? Top 1/100th of 1%?

Paralysis by analysis.

Here is a reading from the Book of Iron: Chapter 1, Verse 1.

“Shut the fuck up and lift.” You will never know how big you can get if you spend your life setting imaginary barriers. Jim Wendler says it in an interview, 99% of the training population has forgotten one thing, lifting fucking weights. Lift for 10-12 years, then start reading shit and splitting hairs.

[quote]deat wrote:
I am a nerd, so during my lunch break I measured my wrists and ankles. I am 6’2.5" with 7.5" wrists and 9.75" ankles. Using Mr. Butt’s formula I get a maximum lbm of 204 lbs. This is good news as I am currently about 17% bf at 246, which puts me at my maximum lbm ( at 23 years old!). Now I guess I can quit lifting and pursue numerous professional/graduate degrees.[/quote]

Actually, the equations in the online article predict an elite competitor of your height and structure would carry 210.6 lbs lbm at 17%, not 204 lbs - that’s assuming your estimate of ‘about 17%’ is accurate. However, the equations are not intended to be accurate as high as 17% body fat. They are most accurate in the 5-14% range (where the majority of the data pool was taken) - at 17% they’re probably off by a few pounds.

With that said, one of the hallmarks of the genetically elite is being able to drop body fat while maintaining a high percentage of their initial lean body mass. In any case, most people will lose several pounds of lean body mass in the first few days of a low-cal or low-carb diet alone (much of that being fluid, but fluid is counted as lean body mass by all body fat estimation methods). Just because you’re carrying 204 pounds of lean body mass at 17% does not mean you would be carrying that at 10% bf. In fact, based on typical people’s weight losses, you’d probably be closer to 195. However, that would put you at 217 at 6’2.5" and fairly lean - a very respectable accomplishment.

[quote]Christian Thibaudeau wrote:
When I ear about there limits I always end up thinking of one of my old friends from high school. He was a soccer player and never ever trained with weights in all his life.

In high school he was 5’6" and 177lbs and was in what I would call ‘nearly bodybuilding national level condition’ year round. I don’t know what his wrists measured but he had a small bone structure. So he probably exceeded his natural limit before he even started lifting weights.
[/quote]
A typical trainee of 5’6" would scale to about 181 pounds at the elite level, so your friend at 177 lbs actually would have been at ‘nearly bodybuilding national level condition’ - that’s assuming a sub 7" wrist, proportional ankle, and 10% body fat.

However, it’s very tricky to make accurate bone structure and bf level guesses. I train with a guy who is 5’7" and appears to have wrists like twigs - an illusion created by his long forearm muscle bellies and small hands - yet they taped at 7.0", which is not small for his height. He also has clear vasculariy and fairly sharp abs, yet is above 12% bf (by skin-folds). He looks big and aesthetic enough for high-level competition (he has 20 years training experience), yet at 175 lbs is actually 10-15 pounds shy of what he’d need to be to compete at that level.

My point is that looks can be very deceiving. The 17" arm being mentioned here, although it sounds small depending on what you’re used to hearing, would look huge on a lean person of average height. Actually, at 10% bf and 5’9" height (roughly average) the typically structured person would max out at about 17.2" -17.4" in elite level condition. Most people of that height and structure wouldn’t get that far because that is an elite level achievement, so I have to agree that “the average person does NOT have the genetics to build arms much bigger than 17”. Most people, however, would be better off to, as the last poster put it (from Brooks Kubik) “Lift for 10-12 years, then start reading shit and splitting hairs.”

[quote]LankyMofo wrote:
austin_bicep wrote:
Professor X wrote:
LankyMofo wrote:
austin_bicep wrote:
I think a physique like Arnolds or some of the other 70s and 80s bodybuilders is definetly attainable drug free. The problem is 99 percent of people don’t have the drive, patience, or willingness to do what it takes. Instead they sit around and debate who’s drug free or not and go onto claim everyone bigger than them must be on steroids and that is pathetic.

I think you’re crazy. Maybe for a few genetic elites (as in, less than .001% in the world, with Lockett possibly being one of them) it’s possible, but the guys in the 70s and 80s still represent the top tier of genetics, balls to the wall dedication, hard as nails traing ALONG with drug use to top it off.

I’m not one on putting barriers but to think the average joe can attain a Lee Haney or Arnold physique, drug free, I think you’re crazy.

This is true. The average person does NOT have the genetics to build arms much bigger than 17". It is generally held that you do have decent genetics if you can reach sizes bigger than that in a relatively short time frame.

I didn’t realize I needed to clarify that I’m not talking about your “average Joe.” I guess I was talking about what I thought that I could accomplish. Genetics obviously are going to be a determining factor but hard work and motivation have taken some people with not such great potential pretty far places.

While I generally agree with your attitude and general statement about hard work and motivations, you believe yourself to be genetically elite? Top 1/100th of 1%? [/quote]

Well only God knows my genetic potential but I will say looking at Arnolds stats when he was 19 as posted in another thread I already have topped his bench, hit his deadlift at 17 and I don’t squat so who knows about that and I only turned 19 two weeks ago. I say my shit is much more togetherthan most people. I’m the one of the biggest guys on my campus and the few bugger are older. I’m bigger than the majority of adults at my gym except for a handful of truly huge dudes. I was the strongest bencher in my high school senior year. Despite the photos on this site I look much leaner in person even though that’s not a huge priority for me now. My arms fill out the sleeves of an xl t shirt and my torso forthat matter and the only thing that is keeping my from looking as filled out as some other guys is height which you know very well about. I think I’m doing thing right. I’m 19 and stronger than 98 percent of posters on here that are older and more experience than me. I must be doing somtjing right.

[quote]Casey Butt wrote:
deat wrote:
I am a nerd, so during my lunch break I measured my wrists and ankles. I am 6’2.5" with 7.5" wrists and 9.75" ankles. Using Mr. Butt’s formula I get a maximum lbm of 204 lbs. This is good news as I am currently about 17% bf at 246, which puts me at my maximum lbm ( at 23 years old!). Now I guess I can quit lifting and pursue numerous professional/graduate degrees.

Actually, the equations in the online article predict an elite competitor of your height and structure would carry 210.6 lbs lbm at 17%, not 204 lbs - that’s assuming your estimate of ‘about 17%’ is accurate. However, the equations are not intended to be accurate as high as 17% body fat. They are most accurate in the 5-14% range (where the majority of the data pool was taken) - at 17% they’re probably off by a few pounds.

With that said, one of the hallmarks of the genetically elite is being able to drop body fat while maintaining a high percentage of their initial lean body mass. In any case, most people will lose several pounds of lean body mass in the first few days of a low-cal or low-carb diet alone (much of that being fluid, but fluid is counted as lean body mass by all body fat estimation methods). Just because you’re carrying 204 pounds of lean body mass at 17% does not mean you would be carrying that at 10% bf. In fact, based on typical people’s weight losses, you’d probably be closer to 195. However, that would put you at 217 at 6’2.5" and fairly lean - a very respectable accomplishment.

Christian Thibaudeau wrote:
When I ear about there limits I always end up thinking of one of my old friends from high school. He was a soccer player and never ever trained with weights in all his life.

In high school he was 5’6" and 177lbs and was in what I would call ‘nearly bodybuilding national level condition’ year round. I don’t know what his wrists measured but he had a small bone structure. So he probably exceeded his natural limit before he even started lifting weights.

A typical trainee of 5’6" would scale to about 181 pounds at the elite level, so your friend at 177 lbs actually would have been at ‘nearly bodybuilding national level condition’ - that’s assuming a sub 7" wrist, proportional ankle, and 10% body fat.

However, it’s very tricky to make accurate bone structure and bf level guesses. I train with a guy who is 5’7" and appears to have wrists like twigs - an illusion created by his long forearm muscle bellies and small hands - yet they taped at 7.0", which is not small for his height. He also has clear vasculariy and fairly sharp abs, yet is above 12% bf (by skin-folds). He looks big and aesthetic enough for high-level competition (he has 20 years training experience), yet at 175 lbs is actually 10-15 pounds shy of what he’d need to be to compete at that level.

My point is that looks can be very deceiving. The 17" arm being mentioned here, although it sounds small depending on what you’re used to hearing, would look huge on a lean person of average height. Actually, at 10% bf and 5’9" height (roughly average) the typically structured person would max out at about 17.2" -17.4" in elite level condition. Most people of that height and structure wouldn’t get that far because that is an elite level achievement, so I have to agree that “the average person does NOT have the genetics to build arms much bigger than 17”. Most people, however, would be better off to, as the last poster put it (from Brooks Kubik) “Lift for 10-12 years, then start reading shit and splitting hairs.”[/quote]

Thanks for the more in depth explanation Mr. Butt. I enjoyed reading your website as well as your posts.

This is a young Arnie.

In the Performance Photos section, there is a video of Arnold’s Transitions and the beginning shows a clip of him as a young man, as well.

He was pretty monstrous looking even as a teenager.

If by “a physique like Arnold’s”, austin means that one can some day be a pretty lean (~)240 pounds, then yes, I would say it is certainly possible for some individuals to achieve drug free, but, just because you can hit that mark doesn’t mean you will have “Arnold’s physique”. Hard work and dedication simply do not mean you are put together the way this guy is. To truly have a physique like the greats (when not being “great” yourself) would mean most people would have to weigh quite a bit more… which adds to the difficulty. That’s the thing that usually impresses me the most about the genetically “elite” - the way their body visually maximizes their muscular weight.

I mean, shit, Serge Nubret stepped on stage at only 200 pounds or so and looked pretty in-fucking-credible.

/stating the obvious

[quote]The Mighty Stu wrote:
I’ve read through the natural BBing magazines, and you’d be surprised at how light many of these pros are. Yes, there are in contest shape, which is way more insane than any normal gym rat would consider ‘ripped’. I know Layne Norton does typically weight 220 or so offseason (I doubt he’s close to that for a show), but the one guy I keep in mind (I know I’ve mentioned his name on another thread) is Jim Cordova.

He competes at a contest weight of 172 lbs at 5’9. Offseason, he’s probably around 200, maybe 10% bf tops. Sure he could get heavier, but is it really all about weight for you, or is it about quality? (Looks at Thibs article ‘the beast evolves’).

I myself am 5’9, and about 200/205 lbs. Am I ripped? Not by bodybuilding standards, but were I to magically lose my shirt on the street, people would most likely comment how diesel I look (normal folks only care if your 6 pack is visable). We all have our dreams of one day being 240 and shredded when we start, but you know what, being solid at 205 than sloppy at 240 will impress a lot more people.

S
[/quote]

Great post Stu.

Just add a little AAS to austin_bicep (like Arnold did) and the next Arnold is here on tmuscle.

Edit: meant to say teenage Arnold, my mistake.

[quote]hawaiilifterMike wrote:
Just add a little AAS to austin_bicep (like Arnold did) and the next Arnold is here on tmuscle.
[/quote]

… wtf?

[quote]Casey Butt wrote:

A typical trainee of 5’6" would scale to about 181 pounds at the elite level, so your friend at 177 lbs actually would have been at ‘nearly bodybuilding national level condition’ - that’s assuming a sub 7" wrist, proportional ankle, and 10% body fat.

."[/quote]

He was way below 10%. And keep in mind that this is a guy who didn’t train at all … to be only 4lbs less than his natural max according to your estimations.

[quote]LankyMofo wrote:
austin_bicep wrote:
Professor X wrote:
LankyMofo wrote:
austin_bicep wrote:
I think a physique like Arnolds or some of the other 70s and 80s bodybuilders is definetly attainable drug free. The problem is 99 percent of people don’t have the drive, patience, or willingness to do what it takes. Instead they sit around and debate who’s drug free or not and go onto claim everyone bigger than them must be on steroids and that is pathetic.

I think you’re crazy. Maybe for a few genetic elites (as in, less than .001% in the world, with Lockett possibly being one of them) it’s possible, but the guys in the 70s and 80s still represent the top tier of genetics, balls to the wall dedication, hard as nails traing ALONG with drug use to top it off.

I’m not one on putting barriers but to think the average joe can attain a Lee Haney or Arnold physique, drug free, I think you’re crazy.

This is true. The average person does NOT have the genetics to build arms much bigger than 17". It is generally held that you do have decent genetics if you can reach sizes bigger than that in a relatively short time frame.

I didn’t realize I needed to clarify that I’m not talking about your “average Joe.” I guess I was talking about what I thought that I could accomplish. Genetics obviously are going to be a determining factor but hard work and motivation have taken some people with not such great potential pretty far places.

While I generally agree with your attitude and general statement about hard work and motivations, you believe yourself to be genetically elite? Top 1/100th of 1%? [/quote]

At his age(still young) what does it matter if he does? And for that matter, how do we know he isn’t?

[quote]red04 wrote:
LankyMofo wrote:
austin_bicep wrote:
Professor X wrote:
LankyMofo wrote:
austin_bicep wrote:
I think a physique like Arnolds or some of the other 70s and 80s bodybuilders is definetly attainable drug free. The problem is 99 percent of people don’t have the drive, patience, or willingness to do what it takes. Instead they sit around and debate who’s drug free or not and go onto claim everyone bigger than them must be on steroids and that is pathetic.

I think you’re crazy. Maybe for a few genetic elites (as in, less than .001% in the world, with Lockett possibly being one of them) it’s possible, but the guys in the 70s and 80s still represent the top tier of genetics, balls to the wall dedication, hard as nails traing ALONG with drug use to top it off.

I’m not one on putting barriers but to think the average joe can attain a Lee Haney or Arnold physique, drug free, I think you’re crazy.

This is true. The average person does NOT have the genetics to build arms much bigger than 17". It is generally held that you do have decent genetics if you can reach sizes bigger than that in a relatively short time frame.

I didn’t realize I needed to clarify that I’m not talking about your “average Joe.” I guess I was talking about what I thought that I could accomplish. Genetics obviously are going to be a determining factor but hard work and motivation have taken some people with not such great potential pretty far places.

While I generally agree with your attitude and general statement about hard work and motivations, you believe yourself to be genetically elite? Top 1/100th of 1%?

At his age(still young) what does it matter if he does? And for that matter, how do we know he isn’t?[/quote]

How is he ever going to find out if he doesn’t believe it’s possible?

I don’t know how to explain and I know it might sound crazy but iknow what I’m going to do and how I’m going to turn out. I have the vision and I know my body very well…Any doubt just adds fuel to my fire

About 12 inches.

Zing!

[quote]Professor X wrote:
Killer7 wrote:
Christian Thibaudeau wrote:
Adren wrote:
Rocky2 wrote:
Well isn’t CT at like 240 all natural now?

Pretty much, barring the brief steroid use he talked about in his teen years.

CT would win quite a few top natural comps me thinks.

I’m not sure about that. While I can build muscle fairly easily and can get very lean; I tend to lose size and fullness when dieting, even when doing everything right. Furthermore I do not have pleasing bodybuilding structure (long torso, short legs, narrow clavicle) so while I can build an impressive physique, when put under the judging microscope I am not built to be a competitive bodybuilder.

Furthermore I have discovered that I have a heart malformation from birth (only diagnosed this year) which is why I always felt really bad when preparing for a contest.

Because of that I’m not taking any chances and stopped actually pursuing gaining mass. In fact, after the I, BB experiment I had to starve myself for 6 weeks (eating only once a day) to downsize. I went back down to a much more manageable 215-217. At 240 I had serious health problems.

Which is also why those who think I’m using steroids are really dumb. First I DON’T want to get bigger and second I really want to grow into old age!

Pardon my ignorance, but why would you force youself to lose the added muscle, isn’t it beneficial in the long run?
Thanks in advance.

Wait, you missed the part where he said he had health problems? What did you think that meant?

Posts like this are why people get frustrated. [/quote]

sorry about that, my mistake.

[quote]Christian Thibaudeau wrote:
Killer7 wrote:
Christian Thibaudeau wrote:
Adren wrote:
Rocky2 wrote:
Well isn’t CT at like 240 all natural now?

Pretty much, barring the brief steroid use he talked about in his teen years.

CT would win quite a few top natural comps me thinks.

I’m not sure about that. While I can build muscle fairly easily and can get very lean; I tend to lose size and fullness when dieting, even when doing everything right. Furthermore I do not have pleasing bodybuilding structure (long torso, short legs, narrow clavicle) so while I can build an impressive physique, when put under the judging microscope I am not built to be a competitive bodybuilder.

Furthermore I have discovered that I have a heart malformation from birth (only diagnosed this year) which is why I always felt really bad when preparing for a contest.

Because of that I’m not taking any chances and stopped actually pursuing gaining mass. In fact, after the I, BB experiment I had to starve myself for 6 weeks (eating only once a day) to downsize. I went back down to a much more manageable 215-217. At 240 I had serious health problems.

Which is also why those who think I’m using steroids are really dumb. First I DON’T want to get bigger and second I really want to grow into old age!

Pardon my ignorance, but why would you force youself to lose the added muscle, isn’t it beneficial in the long run?
Thanks in advance.

Read my post… I have a heart malformation. Because of it I suffered a congestive heart failure (basically my heart could pump enough blood to supply my muscles with oxygen). Because of my malformation my heart will always have to work extra hard to pump blood through my body. Adding more muscle increases the demands on the heart by 1) increasing the demand for oxygen (bigger muscles need more oxygen) and 2) by causing vascular constriction.
[/quote]

Thanks for explaining the details CT, much appreciated

[quote]austin_bicep wrote:
I don’t know how to explain and I know it might sound crazy but iknow what I’m going to do and how I’m going to turn out. I have the vision and I know my body very well…Any doubt just adds fuel to my fire[/quote]

In that case…you’ll always be a nobody!

Seriously, just make sure you keep hitting those legs and shoulders, man!

[quote]LankyMofo wrote:
austin_bicep wrote:
I don’t know how to explain and I know it might sound crazy but iknow what I’m going to do and how I’m going to turn out. I have the vision and I know my body very well…Any doubt just adds fuel to my fire

In that case…you’ll always be a nobody!

Seriously, just make sure you keep hitting those legs and shoulders, man! [/quote]

No doubt about it. I’m anticipating todays shoulder session.

Casey,

Your web site says:

So, your formula is empirically derived from a pool of natural body builder competitors and other athletes. What other athletes? Does this include power lifters, strongmen, olympic weight lifters, etc?

The point is, there are probably people today who are interested in BB that would have been doing something else (even non-sports based activities like farming) had it been 1960 instead of 2009. It seems that the pool of people interested in BB today as a percent of the general population is larger than it was maybe 40 years ago. So, your formula may be limited by its sample size in the early years.

Other points:

  1. The assumption is that these test subjects were all at their FULL potential at the point of the measurements used. That is one source of error on the upper limit.

  2. The weight training community is constantly finding better ways to train and incorporate nutrition. If you took someone from 1947 and had him train with methods in 2000 with the same intensity, I imagine they may get better results. Just look at what CT has been doing with the peri-workout nutrition protocol he and his team have developed. Again, this may limit the validity of measurements in the earlier years as “maximums”.

[quote]ds1973 wrote:
Casey,

Your web site says:

Based on an analysis of some 300 class and overall title winning drug-free bodybuilders and strength athletes from 1947 to 2007

So, your formula is empirically derived from a pool of natural body builder competitors and other athletes. What other athletes? Does this include power lifters, strongmen, olympic weight lifters, etc?

The point is, there are probably people today who are interested in BB that would have been doing something else (even non-sports based activities like farming) had it been 1960 instead of 2009. It seems that the pool of people interested in BB today as a percent of the general population is larger than it was maybe 40 years ago. So, your formula may be limited by its sample size in the early years.

Other points:

  1. The assumption is that these test subjects were all at their FULL potential at the point of the measurements used. That is one source of error on the upper limit.

  2. The weight training community is constantly finding better ways to train and incorporate nutrition. If you took someone from 1947 and had him train with methods in 2000 with the same intensity, I imagine they may get better results. Just look at what CT has been doing with the peri-workout nutrition protocol he and his team have developed. Again, this may limit the validity of measurements in the earlier years as “maximums”.
    [/quote]
    Those are some pretty good points. However, the fact that keeps jumping out at me is that statistically the largest competitors of the pre-drug era carried just as much lean body mass as those competing today. For instance, Jack Delinger was only 5’6" yet competed at 197 pounds in 1956 (and 195 in 1949). Of course, he wasn’t as lean as today’s competitors, but was comparable to a fairly lean off-season condition today. At that height, nobody actively competing today carries more muscle. The fact that confirmed drug-free competitors haven’t surpassed that level in the past 60 years is very strong evidence of a genetically imposed natural limit.

But perhaps even more interesing is the fact that almost any elite-level competitor will scale to within a few pounds of each other, if all converted to the same height and structure. Using a direct scaling for height, wrist and ankle then one can calculate with acceptable accuracy the amount of lean body mass they’d need to be carrying to be similarly developed (which is a fairly simple extension based on a similar to logic to the BMI - weight ~ height^2, and wrist and ankle ~ height).

Assuming Jim Cordova, a name who’s been mentioned in this thread, is 5’7" (which appears accurate) and has a very average sized bone structure for his height of 7" wrists and 8.7" ankles, a simple scaling shows that he would max out at 170 pounds at 4.5% body fat (the more accurate equations in the e-book put him at 3.8%) - which is accurate as 170 pounds is the cut-off for the middleweight class in the WNBF where he competes and he gets very lean (a couple of years ago he regularly competed at 168). Using the same equation from the book Jack Delinger comes to 197 pounds at 9.4% body fat (which is a reasonable contest bodyfat level for the pre-drug era). Two competitors, both among the most developed of their day, 60 years apart, but carrying the same level of lean body mass as shown by a simple proportional scaling. The fact that almost every notably large competitor of the past 60 years also does not surpass that point is why I don’t think there were problems with the sample size.

Of course, nothing’s etched in stone, and no equation will be perfectly accurate for everyone (after all, it’s unrealistic to expect these equations will fit everyone to a tenth of a pound and a person with a big spleen could blow that), there were no doubt insufficiencies in the data, but there is enough ‘evidence’ that the relations can’t simply be dismissed - they are certainly in striking distance.

But I really didn’t mean to drag this up again. I ‘resurrected’ the thread to clear up a post about Larry Scott competing before Reg Park and the idea that Park ‘must’ have been on steroids (neither of which are true).