Not sure of the validity of the polling job done on this site but if it is, looks like George and Dick will be hitting up unemployment after the election…
A lot could happen in the next few months though and it’s still anybodys game…
Eh, I’m still inclined to trust the future’s market more than any poll:
Then look for this on the right-hand side:
US Presidential Elections
Bush - State by State
FYI, the contracts for Bush winning FL and NV and have gained value, and these are two of the key swing states…
Also, the straight-up contract on Bush winning is up, and indicating a Bush win.
And, of course, there’s also the Iowa Electronic Market winner-take-all market to predict the Presidential winner:
http://128.255.244.60/quotes/78.html
This also indicates a Bush win.
FYI, the futures markets have been more accurate than polls. Heck, futures markets in orange juice are more accurate than weather forecasts in terms of predicting how harsh the winter will be…