lumpy,
Thanks for this post. Easily the most balanced post you’ve written in a while (maybe ever).
You wrote:
“I think there will be negatives regardless of the withdrawal date. My argument isn’t for withdrawal but for more soldiers–I think we did it half-assed for political reasons (i.e. more support for a smaller force, less for a larger force). So long as they are there they should be there in overwhelming numbers.”
I’m sorry but this seems like more “hindsight is 20/20” thinking.
Let’s be completely frank here, if there were twice the numbers of troops, don’t you think it increases the risk (as your party contends) of being labeled as occupiers? Isn’t this what you and your friends have been crying about for quite a while? In that case, aren’t more targets going to equal more casualties? Are you trully going to sit there and tell me that if the Adminstration instituted the draft, and added FIVE times more troops, that you wouldn’t be the FIRST to post daily death counts?
I contend that the Administration has been grappling with the balance between the numbers of troops for maxiumum effectiveness and the number that trully inflames the majority of the population. The public relations aspect of this is easily as important as actual ground operations.
If you are talking about an “overwhelming war” to what degree are you ready to go? I hear your party moaning about “lack of AC.” Do you seriously expect us to believe you have the stomach to fight out a total war?
This is what I think would happen given your scenario: First, there would be an increase in Anti-American sentiment fueled by the scumbags like zarqawi (any excuse to attack is ok with him), Second, more American targets/more non-combat accidents, Third, the dems would raise a stink to holy heaven about “It took this long for the Administration to admit error!!!” “It’s costing … a day now!!!” “It’s another vietnam, see how they are escalting it. W. doesn’t really ever want to leave!!!”
You wrote:
“If additional soldiers aren’t on the table it will be more of the same till the day they are all back home, of course the other aspect is what is the objective in Iraq?”
We’ve been over this in exhaustive detail (see speeches from 2002 that I posted).
“The PNAC agenda is clearly bases in Iraq. This would probably mean a smaller force and perhaps a continuing steady trickle of roadside bombs and the like. It’s also possible that the previous agenda has changed and the moment a functional Iraq happens they’ll pull everybody out–I still don’t know what the objectives are in Iraq as far as the admin goes. Do most of us think this will be our new outpost in the middle east? (the equiv of german and s.korean bases)”
I think an ongoing American presence, albeit smaller, would be a smart move strategically. Pull up a map of the region. Overflights into iran, monitoring syria, ability to respond to aggression from others quickly.
Think on it. Not to mention our presence being a deterrance (aka Korea).
In all sincerity, thanks for your post. I hope you will forgive me when I highlight what I think are shortcomings in your plan and potentially cleverly laid traps for the Administration.
JeffR