[quote]smh23 wrote:
[quote]harrypotter wrote:
Typical responses in the thread to my post, perhaps theres not enough fuel to start a fire under me? Because I am not a nutjob who you can poke fun at because let me guess, you’re ignorant?
Heres the current situation (as it stands) now in the world of 2013.
Before you try and ignore a post thinking its either a load of BS because you dont think you’ll go in or because you think you’re the most unstoppable nation the world has ever seen, consider some logical thoughts about the matter.
War on terror is non-existent. Its merely drones operating in the ME and Pakistan/Afghanistan border regions.
Western forces are still fighting the Taliban in Afghanistan, civilian and military losses are at what number now? Sorry I lost count.
During the time here we went into Iraq, threatened some other countries, namely Syria and Iran to keep insurgents in check, which they happily never did.
Iraq is still problematic at the least. Most civilians are without adequate water, electricity and sanitary conditions, how long did it take for New Yorkers to start complaining about conditions of Sandy? Not too long, now imagine it for 10 years, several of those being quite nearly your last days on this Earth. (maybe)
Iran is bigger, its has a better military, it has chemical weapons and by the looks of it you’re quite convinced it has nuclear material.
Your government and military is convinced that the only logical response is to remove such facilities and hope for the best but thats not good enough is it? You reckon Iran’s hardliners have a few tricks up their sleeve so you need to remove them too.
That leaves an open military option involving NATO.
So we now have 3 countries in one sizable area which are in the shit. Syria, Iran and Iraq.
Turkey being on the edge of its seat is just itching to get into Syria, no expert opinion needed there.
You have god knows how many Jihad soldiers in Syria and plenty more in Iraq who are still eager to kill western people. You’ll have the battle hardened and experienced insurgents from Afghanistan coming along for the ride and then you have the Iranian military and civilian population.
Still with me? I like logistics and distribution from a military and commercial point of view (hobby of mine) and from where I am standing, you’re already in trouble.
Lets look at economics now shall we.
USA and western Europe are in deep financial trouble. The USA has no infrastructure to support itself, it relies too heavily on China like western Europe.
Oil is key, where is Iran? Slap bang in the middle of the richest oil source on Earth. They’re also right on the doorstep of your allies in Saudia Arabia and the Suez Canal.
Care to hazard a guess on where oil prices will go once a US naval fleet enters the area to “secure” oil operations there? The type of security required to stop Iranians mining the entire canal? If I was an Iranian hardline general that would be my first port of call, why should we care? You’re coming for us and you;ve been hitting us with UN sanctions for years.
Your economy will belly out before a theatre of war has even begun. The rest of the western world would follow because for some inexplicable reason, the $ is prized higher than anything else.
How much is gas/petrol for you guys now? Can you comfortably live on as you do if it doubles? How many others would be able to do the same without breaking into debt?
So you see, my post is not horse shit. We’re bound by the rules of war, thats why we cannot end a conflict in a shitty backwards country that has forced us to re-evaluate our position on fighting wars.
So what are the legitimate strategies you can undertake to remove Iran as a problem without the problems listed above? Please inform me because for all other reasons I dare not hope you’ll let the Israelis take care of the problem by themselves, that would be an even bigger mistake.
[/quote]
What exactly do you think would be the result of a conventional war between Iran and the United States?
I’ll give you a hint: the answer’s somewhere in here–
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_military_expenditures[/quote]
Cost of the war on terror so far has easily tripled that number.
Cost to your economy? Enormous.
Human cost? Big. What price do you put on life? How much is a single dead marine/soldier/spec ops?
Cost to rebuild what you destroyed? Bribes? Religious cost?
This is like buying insurance on your home where you wonder why it costs so much.
Knock it down, clear the rubble and materials, pay for rebuilding. Emotional cost doesn’t come into it and hell, maybe you cannot afford the repayments. Things add up.
