US Presidential Election Predictions

? I dont understand the pic. Some fat guy yelling at someone behind the cops?

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Haven’t seen that data yet but I’m very interested to see where this ends up.

Generally speaking, the people least susceptible to complications from covid are the most frightened by it. Im willing to bet a majority of the mail in votes, especially for biden were in the 18-40 age demographic.

But what they are talking about is essentially a purge of Trump supporters. It’s obviously not the same thing, but it’s a big step in that direction. It’s persecution of political dissenters.

I think it’s a little complicated. Over here, the older generation aren’t afraid of it. Neither is the younger generation. BUT the younger generation is afraid of catching it and spreading it to the older generation so they’re much more cautious than the latter when it comes to abiding by safety measures, if this makes any sense.

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One of the non existent right wing unhinged protestors.

It’s out there. Of course all based on exit polls which were probably limited due to Covid-19. But the polls before the election also showed Biden performing much better with seniors than Clinton did. Might be difficult with limited data to show how much.

I’m not sure that is really the case. I think a lot of seniors are frightened by it. I’m from rural Kansas and even elderly people with the biggest Trump signs are typically staying in more and wearing masks more. I don’t like anecdotal evidence for broad things but at least in my incredibly Republican areas the people I know are doing those things.

We may never know but I’m guessing a lot of older Biden voters voted early. A big difference of course is Republicans demonized this (well really the President) and Dems didn’t. Republicans voted by mail in records as well.

Republicans winning the Election Day in person turnout was expected and Democrats winning the early vote was expected. I actually think Republicans did better on mail in and early in person voting than most would have guessed.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.brookings.edu/research/2020-exit-polls-show-a-scrambling-of-democrats-and-republicans-traditional-bases/amp/

Absolutely. This is my primary fear. I don’t think it’s highly likely Covid kills me. I’m fairly young and take my health very seriously. But my grandma is 96 and my parents are 70. I see a lot of elderly people (really people of all ages) in their homes or in the community as part of my job. Those factors make me take it seriously.

I also work with a lot of teens and they have mentioned the fear that they may infect an older family member. Not to mention in the US we’re not an overly healthy population on the whole. 243,000 thousand plus deaths can speak to that.

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Yeah exactly the same here. Grandma 94, parents late 60s. Since we’re pretty traditional, we have to have dinner together at least once a week on the weekends at their house and I’m sometimes paranoid if I’ve gotten too close to someone with obvious symptoms during the week.

EDIT:

Even if it weren’t for them, I think of this in terms of exponential growth. If I’m asymptomatic, I could still spread it to others who will further spread it and someone along that chain may die or become seriously ill with long term side effects after recovery. It’s a form of civic duty for me to at least to take minor precautions like mask wearing which poses just a mild inconvenience.

And I do wear a mask when I have a flu since I live in Asia so don’t give me the silly flu argument dudes.

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You have nothing to be defensive about here. I can’t find the actual quote to attribute it, but there’s something to the effect of “When good men argue, both are right.”

More people need to realize that good people can disagree and it be just fine.

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Not totally being defensive actually. Posts and attitudes I’ve been seeing both online and offline have made me keep repeating what I just wrote for months now. If people value freedom, we need to self govern ourselves by being civic conscious or the government’s going to step in and do it for us when things get out of hand and the measure they take will be something people really aren’t going to like. It’s been like this since the beginning of society.

In fact, I just posted something similar yesterday in a conversation with @chris_ottawa and I think we do agree on most things though we disagree on others.

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Peaceful protests, like in Portland.

I’m still waiting for those jack booted cops to wreak havoc on the heroic peaceful protestors lighting fires and looting innocent businesses.

Man, you remember all the protests after Trump won the last time, right? It was in the news all over the world. I accept that maybe COVID is preventing it from happening this yr.

Well, you saw what eventually happened in HK. The CCP didn’t even need to use force. Just changed legislation and the ringleaders all fled the country lol.

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Are you the same guy who was expounding on the peaceful exploits of the BLM (or whatever else they were calling themselves)? You think some click bait photo is equivalent?

It’s no coincidence that this is exactly how bullies behave from day one.

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Unfortunately, they actually understand how to play the power game.

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Getting sad at this point. We’re throwing stuff that gets debunked in seconds and now we’re just flat saying how could this happen when Biden got millions more votes?

How could Trump have outperformed in areas four years ago? How is this possible?! This is just crying at this point.

And they fucked it up for everyone else who genuinely wanted some form of change but weren’t extremists.

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As I think you mentioned, the average folk in HK have a “good” life, and will choose more control over random violence and a constant lack of normalcy in their every day lives.

Well, the idiots there got the one step forward, three steps back that they wanted…