US Presidential Election Predictions

I just heard a comment that the “BLM message” seems to be appealing more to white suburban voters and less to actual non-white voters. Oh, the irony…

No argument H. I agree. I hate that.

Hah! Not shocking #suburbanguilt lol

So here’s a daily dose of CCP anti-US propaganda.

Apparently you are ALL either preparing for war with guns and shit or nailing your house doors and windows shut with wooden boards pending results of the election. Oh, the bedlam! The chaos! The social degradation and decadence of democracy!

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The Daily Show is blowing up Florida. (figuratively in some sort of video/meme?)

Cubans are close to losing their “Latino” card.

lol

I stopped watching the Daily Show at all when Stewart left.

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I think he carries it by much less than 9. Even with the polling I didn’t really “believe” it would be close and it’s a bit early to say but it might end up being. Texas as a battleground would be an incredibly significant change for Presidential elections. Just the idea of it being relatively close would put it at a major state of play in 2024. That’s 38 EV’s that are just always automatically assumed to go red.

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It’s going to be close. Fairfax County might not have enough votes to overcome the trump lead. Theres a lot of pissed off southerners that have been living under full blue rule in VA for two years.

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All the state’s dems ruined are turning red and the state’s they flee to are turning blue. (Not in this election, I mean long term.)

Jason Miller, Trump campaign manager: “We’re way beyond polling. Polling is broken like Humpty Dumpty. We’re confident in our model and think we will shock Biden in Minnesota”. Thinks they’ll win Minnesota and NC, with NC being by between 50k - 70k votes.

Really interesting take from him. Obviously I think polls have issues, but I’m surprised and intrigued by what he means by “his model”. What’s the difference they’re looking at?

Yeah, interesting there. I don’t know. I’m trying to find where I was reading earlier tonight that VA’s ballot count so far is pretty much exclusively in-person rather than early vote or absentee…

I can’t, but that would partially put the skew towards Trump in perspective.

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It needs to split up. The Virginian part of Virginia needs to become part of West Virginia. The shithole parts of Virginia need to become part of D.C.

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Can we do that in NY too please? Actually i don’t care. I moving my family to greener pastures soon.

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That’s be nice…but it’s not quite the same up there.

I guarantee those light blue in NY aren’t done counting yet. By morning he will win all but 4 upstate counties.

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Good! That’s great news to hear.

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You can easily move to some of the worst states to live if you want to see what pure red gets you.

https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/rankings

@Aragorn

@Legalsteel in hiding and hoping to win that £600 bet.
:laughing:

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I would be too. Probably he’s gone to bed since it’s not going to be figured out until he wakes up, if even then.

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I’ll concede that “good” state is subjective. The state to state migration trends are noticeable though.

I will also say that I don’t think any state that is dominated by one style is best. Merely trust me I live in a red state and we voted one of the reddest of the red as governor and the results were abysmal. That’s how you get Dem governors in places like Louisiana and Kansas every once in a while.

Extreme ends are the issue IMO.

Also I will say that none of us are doing too bad wherever we are living. If we have time to bullshit around on politics on a message board life ain’t all that bad. We’re all in a spot many people would love to trade.

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This is looking more and more like I’m a genius.