US Presidential Election Predictions

2 of the biggest mainstream media outlets in the US can report rubbish on that Covington kid without verifying the actual events first and end up having to settle a libel suit and people are worried about Alex Jones? Seriously? A FUCKING KID.

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That Covington kid story got me good initially I will have to admit. I was so ready to smack that kid lol.

(It’s because I have a soft spot for Tonto…)

Yep, one of the nails in the MSM coffin for me.

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Man, all I’m asking is for people to call these fuckers out and ignore the insignificant shitheads like Alex Jones. From my own credible sources(you kinda know what line I’m in), these fuckers have their own BUDGETS set aside for settling lawsuits if they get caught doing too much spinning.

Or maybe it’s best that everyone just stop watching them in the short term so everything rebalances itself and they become a little more honest.

(Being hyperbolic here but I trust people here are smart enough to get my point)

These shitheads are smart, don’t you worry.

I saw a clip from CNN today where (Jake Tapper I think, not a Trump fan to put it mildly) they actually gave Trump credit for authorizing money that indirectly led to the Moderna covid vaccine.

I think they’re looking at their plummeting numbers and already looking to pivot.

It’ll be an easier job than your favorite comedian Jimmy Fallon (and Jimmy Kimmel too?) making fun of something else besides the orange man.

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@dt79 Check out that historian dude (right since 1984) who called Trump’s victory in 2016 and then Trump’s loss this time around.

Found the print version:

In 2016, your 13 keys correctly predicted a Trump win. In 2019, the keys pointed towards another Trump win. But that has now changed. How many keys are turned against Trump right now?

There are seven keys turned against Trump, one more than is needed to predict his defeat according to the Keys to the White House system that has correctly predicted the outcomes of presidential elections since 1984. The negative keys are:

  • Key 1, Mandate Key, because of Republican losses in the midterm elections of 2018.
  • Key 5, Short-Term Economic Key, because of an election-year recession.
  • Key 6, Long-Term Economic Key, because of the sharply negative growth this year.
  • Key 8, Social Unrest, because what is raging across the land.
  • Key 9, Scandal, Trump is only the third American president to be impeached by the full US House of Representatives.
  • Key 11, Foreign/Military Success, because of the lack of an acclaimed success abroad.
  • Key 12, Incumbent Charisma, because Trump appeals only to a narrow base.

Note 5 and 6 turned against Trump due to the pandemic, for which the MSM universally lambasted Trump’s response. Also note that the MSM essentially turned a blind eye to “social unrest” by re-labelling them; admittedly, I incorrectly thought this would help Trump.

Blaming voter fraud is the easy target for simpletons used to 140 characters or less. Behavior of the masses, that’s more subtle, and unprovable.

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I just hope they’re not just going from Jimmy Fallon to Kevin Hart. That won’t make much of a difference. Both are still unfunny as fuck, just that Kevin Hart has a little more talent but he’s still an irritating little tumour,

It would be interesting to do an analysis of how public perception/perceived trustworthiness of a news source has been affected after the wide-scale adoption of smart phones, social media and the Internet in general. Older generations took the news as gospel. Nowadays, everyone is walking around with a video camera in their pocket and can instantly communicate with anyone else on earth. CNN can post an edited video (e.g. Covington kid) and you can go and find the original on Youtube/Liveleak/social media. State media in Belarus or some authoritarian country can edit footage and say “see? only a few people are protesting” and then you go online and find raw footage of thousands of people protesting as well as police abuse. The last 10-15 years has really changed a lot IMO.

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Yes it would. A free press is pivotal to freedom because they are needed to call out the government so it doesn’t abuse it’s powers. Now you need worthless, uninformed bums like Tim Poole to call out the press for abusing the trust the public has in them. It’s pure absurdity at play here.

Trump court case update: In an effort to steal the election, Trump tried to stop the certification of the election in Georgia. A Trump appointed federal judge dismissed the case saying; “It is well established that garden-variety election disputes do not rise to the level of a constitutional deprivation,” Judge Steven D. Grimberg ruled. “The fact that his candidate didn’t win doesn’t rise to the level of harm.”

Agreed that I’d like to see that study idea investigated.

I’d also like to see a study looking at the effects of the 24/7 news cycle - and now the internet age - on how the media covers events compared to the older, Walter Cronkite era limited news cycle.

I’ve talked about the 24/7 news cycle before with people on here and I think without doubt it had a negative impact on news vs opinion reporting, but I’d find a thorough study enlightening.

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I may have mentioned this upthread so apologies if I’m repeating myself, but the Social Dilemma on Netflix is worth a watch. It’s more about big tech and the efforts to keep us engaged on apps and websites than the 24/7 news cycle but it sheds some light onto our disparate versions of reality right now.

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I enjoyed that documentary a lot.

Power line is a right wing blog.

“Another statistical red flag is evident is evident in the number of votes cast compared to the number of voters in some precincts. A preliminary analysis using data obtained from the Michigan Secretary of State pinpoints a statistical anomaly so far outside of every statistical norm as to be virtually impossible. … There were at least 19 precincts where the Presidential Votes Cast compared to the Estimated Voters based on Reported Statistics exceeded 100%.“

Here’s the problem: the townships and precincts listed in paragraphs 11 and 17 of the affidavit are not in Michigan. They are in Minnesota. Monticello, Albertville, Lake Lillian, Houston, Brownsville, Runeberg, Wolf Lake, Height of Land, Detroit Lakes, Frazee, Kandiyohi–these are all towns in Minnesota. I haven’t checked them all, but I checked a lot of them, and all locations listed in paragraphs 11 and 17 that I looked up are in Minnesota, with no corresponding township in Michigan. This would have been obvious to someone from this state, but Mr. Ramsland is a Texan and the lawyers are probably not natives of either Minnesota or Michigan.

Evidently a researcher, either Mr. Ramsland or someone working for him, was working with a database and confused “MI” for Minnesota with “MI” for Michigan. (The postal code for Minnesota is MN, while Michigan is MI, so one can see how this might happen.) So the affidavit, which addresses “anomalies and red flags” in Michigan, is based largely, and mistakenly, on data from Minnesota.

Oh my Holy Hell…

And people thought the Giuliani Press Conference yesterday was a shit-show?

(My apologies to shit…)

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This is too good to be true. The only thing that would have made this better is if @pat were to first come here with the mention of the lawsuits and claim “This is the biggest scandal in US history”. If you hadn’t posted this so soon, you know it would have happened, too.

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Thanks. Never heard of it. I’ll check it out.

Was Michigan supposed to be the “big” revelation of extensive voter fraud?

Hey boss. I have been through these ballots for 2 hours and none of addresses match.

I didn’t exaggerate anything, that factually, literally happened. Those are just plain facts. I never said they were all Trump votes. I said it made up 10% of the difference. Again all facts. So what are you disputing?

Idiots. To a man.