Trump: The Third Year

I forgot to mention something that Haley brought up in the Shapiro interview.

Part of her philosophy is to tackle areas of agreement and common ground FIRST (in addition to not making issues personal attacks on individuals and/or groups of individuals).

I agree. It’ll take some distance from the Trump mania for a level head to get the nomination.

It’s an inversion of the Dunning-Kruger effect. The smartest ones are always riddled with self doubt.

Why would controlling for early drop out be necessary when the topic is the GOP being willing to elect a woman?

I could see if we were discussing state level things in the states where she actually ran.

Idk if I’d go that far. I think Haley would be a tier 1 GOP contender if it wasn’t for that woman thing.

I think level heads can get the nom with the GOP, it just needs to be a male head

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If interested in those type of things this book is a very cool read.

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I’ve always been fascinated by the useful delusions that help us get through every day life, and especially what happens when they’re stripped away.

Real terror!

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It really is an interesting book. Has some of the stuff on his blog. Very cool insight into how dumbasses like me fool ourselves into thinking we aren’t actually dumbasses.

I really like the Texas Sharpshooter fallacy breakdown in the book. I think this is a piece of it:

I’m very familiar with that one, and have seen it in action quite a bit.

That is a pretty interesting blog. I’m going to have to give his work a good read and drive my wife completely insane for a while with it.

Because when I’m reading a particular subject, suddenly everything contains elements or relates in some way to what I just read. :crazy_face:

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Honestly I’m probably going to read the book again just because it popped back in my mind. Also another book which for some reason I just realized I own but haven’t read. I guess I’m not less dumb.

This type of psychology fascinates me and his breakdowns are clear and interesting. I also feel like we’re supposed to yell at each other about tax cuts or something at this point in the show?

You guys might enjoy ‘leadership and self deception’. It illustrates the ways our minds inflate our virtue and inflate other people’s flaws when we’re actually disappointed in ourselves. They tell it through a story, so it’s a little hokey.

Egos have some powerful defense mechanisms.

@SkyzykS @H_factor

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Yes! It’s like Isaiah Berlin’s dichotomy between the Hedgehog (who knows one big thing, an overarching, decisive world view) and the Fox (who knows many things and whose proclivity for nuance, context, and “it depends” leads to self doubt and indecision).

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Subtitled? Who moved my cheesy ego?

In the Fox News reality, losing a billion dollars means being “good at business”.

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New definition of successful businessman, according ro the Trumpkin set:

  1. Be born into extravagant wealth.
  2. Have your entire business career bankrolled by a rich father - from startup money to chronic bailouts.
  3. To bankrupt over and over, screwing over investors and people who did work for you, namely tradesmen who helped do the construction.
  4. Go into such deep financial distress that American banks stop doing business with you.
  5. Fail at selling steaks to Americans. STEAKS. TO AMERICANS.
  6. Declare yourself a business genius.
  7. Legions of reality television watching dopes buy it.
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This has to be his worst sin. I mean, it’s practically our national food. Put it between a bun and it would be!

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My dad got ahold of a couple once. It was some gift to the advert agency he was working for at the time and he had done most of the legwork on the campaign.

They’re not ‘bad’ exactly. They’re about the same quality you’d get from your local grocery store.

Just ignore that price tag

Well, Trump did get rich. His investors, generally not so much (with some exceptions).

In seriousness, a building project should be throwing off tax losses pretty hard, due to how depreciation and expenses work on the deal – while cash flowing just fine. It’s a giant tax shelter.

What matters is what the building sells for after the development period.

So to answer any real questions, we’d need the GAAP (non-tax) accounting for the companies.

A billionaire convinced a bunch of blue collar people he was one of them. He convinced people he was going to make America great again while having all of his products made overseas. That makes up for any business failures. Amazing job.

The mental gymnastics they have to pull to suck off his every move amazes me. A story could come out that he got with a 15 year old girl and they would say “ really I bet all her friends are jealous of being able to be with someone like the President.”

I thought when I read some of their reactions it was an onion article.

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I’m sure this will translate to him being president in a fantastic way.