Trump: The First Year

You actually dont know what the anthem protests are about, do you?

I do. A bunch of spoiled brats who have been blessed and lucky beyond belief, but yet ā€œfeels the painā€ of people they never met as if they have themselves have experienced any kind of real oppression. Have them join the Venezuelan football team and live in true oppression and then tell me how unfair America is.

People in this country have no fucking clue what oppression and unfairness is. They are spoiled silly brats.

The key to understanding your situation is to experience something way worse and far more common. Then you get the prespective you need to understand what oppression really is… and under true oppression, there is no ā€˜micro agressions’ just opression.
Understand it not at your own folly.

Venezuelans know nothing of oppression. Have them joint he DPRK soccer team.

DPRK knows nothing of oppression. have them talk to a jew living in germany in 1945… etc.

A situation doesnt have to be the worst situation ever for it to be wrong, and for people to want to change it. Or do you actually think that none of those football players have ever faced discrimination or oppression?

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And my thought on a higher capital gains rate is simply not to ā€œpunish the richā€ but mainly to replace revenue lost from lower income tax rates. That said, the investing class has had their druthers in tax policy for a long while now - in light of how we need now to incent productivity (and basic entrepreneurship, business creation), it’s time they pay a higher portion and we ease the burden on the ā€œdoersā€.

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Oh, and I wanted to address this specifically - a great point, on which we generally agree. The problem is all classes aren’t owning the means of production broadly through capital markets. They can in theory, but in reality they have a number of barriers in their way.

One? To invest you first have to save money over and above consumption. With the necessities of life becoming expensive (at a per annum rate higher than the rate of return on the market), there’s less and less to build wealth with. To add insult to injury, wages haven’t nudged (in real terms) in forever, so consumption is getting more and more expensive, leaving no savings, meaning no investment, meaning no ownership of the means of production.

There are lots of other aggravating factors as well. A big part of achieving the goal we both want is entrepreneurship - but that’s being choked off, as the pathways close down.

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Are we talking about the President; his Family, and much of his Cabinet?

I used to share that opinion, that the lower and middle income folks were caught in a sort of inescapable consumption trap and they had no hope of escape.

I’d like to direct you to the Mr. Money Mustache blog. He and his wife worked normal jobs (80k & 60k) bought a $400k house in Colorado and still managed to retire by 30 years old. They live on less than $25k/year, they eat organic meats and veggies and take 3 vacations a year and never touch the principle balance on their investments (4% rule). He even has a failed spec building business that slowed him down.

You might be thinking ā€œthat’s impossible!ā€, but there are dozens of families that achieved financial independence on less income sharing their stories on that site. It’s about lifestyle design and thinking before you spend ā€œdoes this fit my goals?ā€

You don’t need NFL Sunday ticket, the latest iPhone, restaurant meals and a $50k car to function in modern society.

Full disclosure: I absolutely blew up my financial situation when I raided my 401k to fund my then successful business only to lose it all when the feds shut me down (don’t do that!). I’m working toward FI slowly but surely. Just with a longer time horizon than I’d hoped.

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I mostly agree with you, generally, but these aren’t normal jobs… iirc the median household income is like $55k in the US. Not $140K.

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Again agreed. They have single moms on there with no degree, retired by 50 with a paid for house and able to travel. That’s like 20 years early if you ask the average latte buying/big spending middle class person.

I wasn’t saying everyone could exactly copy the guy/gal that started the website. Just that financial independence can happen for middle/lower classes.

Sure, it’s possible, but let’s look at it big picture. If everyone all of a sudden stopped buying latte’s how many jobs will be lost? If people stop buying the newest iPhone how many of Apple’s 50k employees are laid off? If we stop buying $50k cars (I wish, lol) how many jobs are lost at x manufacturer and y dealership?

It’s a bit of a catch-22.

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Not really. Consumerism wont die if .5% of the population that cares about Financial Independence decides not to buy things they consider dumb. Nearly everyone else will go right on competing with the Jones complaining that they have to work till they die and that SS doesn’t pay enough while they save 5.7% of their income.

That cash wouldn’t just disappear either. You can only do 2 things with money: spend or invest. So if every American family started saving 20% instead of 5% there’d be a flood of capital into the markets for companies to undertake new projects with.

It’s like arguing that families shouldn’t pay off credit card debt carried at 20% because it would hurt VISA. Obviously VISA will be fine.

Delayed gratification and making/executing a plan is not popular. That’s why there’s so many crash diets and BS supplements in the fitness industry. Spending less than you make won’t catch on.

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That’s your opinion and that’s fine, but the first thing companies do when EBIT is down is look at cost savings measures and one of the first areas they look is headcount. Long-term it’s not smart, but it’s an effective short-term stop-loss measure.

My point is, what you’re advocating can’t happen on a large scale the way our economy currently operates. The economy would undoubtedly contract.

So, the idea that anyone can do it (save/retire early), while true, is also a fantasy on a large scale.

Like I said, big picture.

Sure; except, sales revenue is down because people are saving their money instead of buying goods/services.

If they’re investing (flooding the market), returns are likely going to be down because profits are likely down.

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FTR, I’m not arguing switching back to a savings first mentality is a bad thing or that it isn’t do-able long-term, but it would require a substantial change in how our economy currently operates, serious growing pains, and a monumental shift in expectations, both micro and macro.

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I can follow the logic, I’m just not sure it will help. How does one account for lowered investment velocity for new businesses? In other words, if you put cap gains up to 37% like top bracket income there is going to be a LOT less investment in New business creation because most new businesses fail. Venture and Angel firms are looking to make 5-7x the investment back in 5-7 years, specifically to offset the high risk (and rate) of business failures.

Making it more difficult to recover that risk doesn’t help new businesses access capital imho, because it will tighten the reins on what investment firms will go into. A bit like the banking credit crunch we are just coming out of.

Incentivizing entrepreneurship and new business creation is a worthy goal I agree with. I don’t see a stick being the way to do it–I would rather see a carrot.

This I agree with. No long game ever does, otherwise everyone would be Arnold.

Trumps in PR today… Prediction he keeps trying to convince the folk hes doing a great job and new jobs gold nuggets and wildest dreams will come true…

Meanwhile in reality Rapper Fat Joe does more for Puerto Rico then Fat Donald

I see your point, but I think too many variables interrupt the (assumed) linear relationship between tax rates on ROI. And data bear this out - as I recall, real business investment doesn’t track with the ups and downs of the capital gains rate (I’ll see if I can dig up that chart). And of course, Warren Buffett is famous for saying that tax rates on investments don’t drive investors’ investment decisions - and I think that makes sense (up to a point) because an extra 17 cents lost on the dollar invested are not dealbreakers except for people worried about breaking even (which most early investors are not).

I think business opportunities drive investment more than relative tax rates, so I worry less about investment being chilled by tax rate increases.

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A situation needs perspective. That’s the point. If your hunting for wrongs, you will find them. We are all humans and people make mistakes, don’t always do, due diligence, etc. Blowing things out of proportion helps no one. Things may be wrong, they always will be. We should strive for perfection and yet understand we will never get there.
If have to drill down to micro-aggression, where you have to search and interperate to find the wrong, your situation is not that bad and the problem may not be the situation, it may be you…

Them too.

I’m not Arnold yet but reading the New Encyclopedia of Modern Bodybuilding so I will probably be him in two years.

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