Super Tuesday Around The Corner

Super Tuesday states:

Alaska, Georgia, Idaho, North Dakota, Ohio, Massachusetts, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Vermont and Virginia.

Any predictions on who is likely to win which state?

Romney is ahead in several most importantly Ohio. Will Gingrich win his home state of Georgia? Will Santorum bust through anywhere in a last ditch effort to rest the nomination from Mitt Romney?

I feel that this will be the final hurrah for the three lagging candidates. But time will tell…

Movin’ on!

Two thoughts, Zeb:

  1. Ohio, Ohio, Ohio!

Much like Michigan, a win here could add to the momentum Romney got from his wins in Michigan and Arizona. It’s an important state with a lot of delegates.

  1. Consensus seems to be that Romney “needs” (not neccesarily for nomination, but as evidence that the Party is beginning to coalesce around him) to win a Southern “Bible Belt” State.

It will be tough. Santorum and Newt play well to working class, Southern conservatives…and Romney’s Faith does NOT go over well in the “Bible Belt”.

All said, I think Romney comes out of Super Tuesday with a sizable delegate lead.

Whether or not that begins to unite the Party behind him is the big question.

Mufasa

Santorum is ahead in Ohio by an 8.3 average, according to RCP.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/oh/ohio_republican_presidential_primary-1600.html

Up by 18 in Tennessee.
http://www.vanderbilt.edu/csdi/2012poll.php

16 in Oklahoma

Ohio will be close.

No surprises with the “Bible Belt” States.

Mufasa

[quote]Sloth wrote:
Santorum is ahead in Ohio by an 8.3 average, according to RCP.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/oh/ohio_republican_presidential_primary-1600.html

Up by 18 in Tennessee.
http://www.vanderbilt.edu/csdi/2012poll.php

16 in Oklahoma
http://soonerpoll.com/tulsa-world-poll-shows-state-republicans-favor-santorum/[/quote]

I wouldn’t put much stock in polls taken before Romney’s double victory. People like to go with who they perceive to be the winner. I’m not saying Santorum is not ahead in various states but I’d be willing to bet those numbers have changed dramatically after Romney’s Tuesday night win.

[quote]Mufasa wrote:
Movin’ on!

Two thoughts, Zeb:

  1. Ohio, Ohio, Ohio!

Much like Michigan, a win here could add to the momentum Romney got from his wins in Michigan and Arizona. It’s an important state with a lot of delegates.

  1. Consensus seems to be that Romney “needs” (not neccesarily for nomination, but as evidence that the Party is beginning to coalesce around him) to win a Southern “Bible Belt” State.

It will be tough. Santorum and Newt play well to working class, Southern conservatives…and Romney’s Faith does NOT go over well in the “Bible Belt”.

All said, I think Romney comes out of Super Tuesday with a sizable delegate lead.

Whether or not that begins to unite the Party behind him is the big question.

Mufasa[/quote]

All good points Mufasa. But if I were Santorum I’d be worried about Catholics going for Romney as they did in Michigan and Arizona. I think we were all surprised at that one. If he can’t even win the Catholic vote he’s in some pretty deep crap.

[quote]ZEB wrote:

[quote]Mufasa wrote:
Movin’ on!

Two thoughts, Zeb:

  1. Ohio, Ohio, Ohio!

Much like Michigan, a win here could add to the momentum Romney got from his wins in Michigan and Arizona. It’s an important state with a lot of delegates.

  1. Consensus seems to be that Romney “needs” (not neccesarily for nomination, but as evidence that the Party is beginning to coalesce around him) to win a Southern “Bible Belt” State.

It will be tough. Santorum and Newt play well to working class, Southern conservatives…and Romney’s Faith does NOT go over well in the “Bible Belt”.

All said, I think Romney comes out of Super Tuesday with a sizable delegate lead.

Whether or not that begins to unite the Party behind him is the big question.

Mufasa[/quote]

All good points Mufasa. But if I were Santorum I’d be worried about Catholics going for Romney as they did in Michigan and Arizona. I think we were all surprised at that one. If he can’t even win the Catholic vote he’s in some pretty deep crap.[/quote]

I have difficulty seeing Santorum as a Catholic for some reason. He fits my stereotype of an evangelical.

I have even MORE difficulty seeing him as President.

Mufasa

I have difficulty seeing Obama as President. With Romney, I have difficulty seeing him as President OR as a ‘severe conservative.’

With McCain and Romney losing their attempts at the white house though, perhaps we’ll finely be done with the moderate/independent/rogue republican electability nonsense. IF, if, Romney wins the nomination, after he most certainly loses to Obama, 2016 will be the year of the Conservative.

[quote]Sloth wrote:
With McCain and Romney losing their attempts at the white house though, perhaps we’ll finely be done with the moderate/independent/rogue republican electability nonsense. IF, if, Romney wins the nomination, after he most certainly loses to Obama, 2016 will be the year of the Conservative.[/quote]

This is “PWI”; so I’ll probably get raked over the Coals with this;

But Hillary is looking and sounding more Presidential everyday.

Mufasa

[quote]Christine wrote:

[quote]ZEB wrote:

[quote]Mufasa wrote:
Movin’ on!

Two thoughts, Zeb:

  1. Ohio, Ohio, Ohio!

Much like Michigan, a win here could add to the momentum Romney got from his wins in Michigan and Arizona. It’s an important state with a lot of delegates.

  1. Consensus seems to be that Romney “needs” (not neccesarily for nomination, but as evidence that the Party is beginning to coalesce around him) to win a Southern “Bible Belt” State.

It will be tough. Santorum and Newt play well to working class, Southern conservatives…and Romney’s Faith does NOT go over well in the “Bible Belt”.

All said, I think Romney comes out of Super Tuesday with a sizable delegate lead.

Whether or not that begins to unite the Party behind him is the big question.

Mufasa[/quote]

All good points Mufasa. But if I were Santorum I’d be worried about Catholics going for Romney as they did in Michigan and Arizona. I think we were all surprised at that one. If he can’t even win the Catholic vote he’s in some pretty deep crap.[/quote]

I have difficulty seeing Santorum as a Catholic for some reason. He fits my stereotype of an evangelical.[/quote]

I got the same vibe.

CS

[quote]Sloth wrote:
With McCain and Romney losing their attempts at the white house though, perhaps we’ll finely be done with the moderate/independent/rogue republican electability nonsense. IF, if, Romney wins the nomination, after he most certainly loses to Obama, 2016 will be the year of the Conservative.[/quote]

It really depends on the candidates either side can pull. What do you think McCain’s chances would have been this year vs Obama the president instead of Obama the new guy?

[quote]sufiandy wrote:

[quote]Sloth wrote:
With McCain and Romney losing their attempts at the white house though, perhaps we’ll finely be done with the moderate/independent/rogue republican electability nonsense. IF, if, Romney wins the nomination, after he most certainly loses to Obama, 2016 will be the year of the Conservative.[/quote]

It really depends on the candidates either side can pull. What do you think McCain’s chances would have been this year vs Obama the president instead of Obama the new guy?[/quote]

He would have lost.

[quote]Mufasa wrote:
I have even MORE difficulty seeing him as President.

Mufasa[/quote]

Ha ha…there won’t be a President Santorum this time around. He’d lose by a good 8-10 points maybe more.

[quote]Sloth wrote:
With McCain and Romney losing their attempts at the white house though, perhaps we’ll finely be done with the moderate/independent/rogue republican electability nonsense. IF, if, Romney wins the nomination, after he most certainly loses to Obama, 2016 will be the year of the Conservative.[/quote]

That’s not a bad prediction, one problem however. Who is that candidate? Because regardless of political philosophies the masses vote for the man!

If there is another Ronald Reagan out there I agree with you. If there isn’t and they put up an arch conservative he’ll get crushed.

[quote]Mufasa wrote:

[quote]Sloth wrote:
With McCain and Romney losing their attempts at the white house though, perhaps we’ll finely be done with the moderate/independent/rogue republican electability nonsense. IF, if, Romney wins the nomination, after he most certainly loses to Obama, 2016 will be the year of the Conservative.[/quote]

This is “PWI”; so I’ll probably get raked over the Coals with this;

But Hillary is looking and sounding more Presidential everyday.

Mufasa[/quote]

That’s because Obama is going to ask her to be on the ticket with him as Biden decides to “retire”

And remember where you heard this I want some credit :slight_smile:

[quote]ZEB wrote:

[quote]Mufasa wrote:

[quote]Sloth wrote:
With McCain and Romney losing their attempts at the white house though, perhaps we’ll finely be done with the moderate/independent/rogue republican electability nonsense. IF, if, Romney wins the nomination, after he most certainly loses to Obama, 2016 will be the year of the Conservative.[/quote]

This is “PWI”; so I’ll probably get raked over the Coals with this;

But Hillary is looking and sounding more Presidential everyday.

Mufasa[/quote]

That’s because Obama is going to ask her to be on the ticket with him as Biden decides to “retire”

And remember where you heard this I want some credit :)[/quote]

Intriguing, Zeb!

I haven’t heard that theory. I will most definitely give you credit if it comes to pass!

Mufasa

[quote]Mufasa wrote:

[quote]ZEB wrote:

[quote]Mufasa wrote:

[quote]Sloth wrote:
With McCain and Romney losing their attempts at the white house though, perhaps we’ll finely be done with the moderate/independent/rogue republican electability nonsense. IF, if, Romney wins the nomination, after he most certainly loses to Obama, 2016 will be the year of the Conservative.[/quote]

This is “PWI”; so I’ll probably get raked over the Coals with this;

But Hillary is looking and sounding more Presidential everyday.

Mufasa[/quote]

That’s because Obama is going to ask her to be on the ticket with him as Biden decides to “retire”

And remember where you heard this I want some credit :)[/quote]

Intriguing, Zeb!

I haven’t heard that theory. I will most definitely give you credit if it comes to pass!

Mufasa[/quote]

I have heard it, and I would love it!

Yes, I am a die hard Hillary supporter. Never voted in a primary (not registered democrat), but would have voted her before Obama in a heart beat.

She has said though that she isn’t interested. Obama needs to lose Biden though.

[quote]Mufasa wrote:

[quote]ZEB wrote:

[quote]Mufasa wrote:

[quote]Sloth wrote:
With McCain and Romney losing their attempts at the white house though, perhaps we’ll finely be done with the moderate/independent/rogue republican electability nonsense. IF, if, Romney wins the nomination, after he most certainly loses to Obama, 2016 will be the year of the Conservative.[/quote]

This is “PWI”; so I’ll probably get raked over the Coals with this;

But Hillary is looking and sounding more Presidential everyday.

Mufasa[/quote]

That’s because Obama is going to ask her to be on the ticket with him as Biden decides to “retire”

And remember where you heard this I want some credit :)[/quote]

Intriguing, Zeb!

I haven’t heard that theory. I will most definitely give you credit if it comes to pass!

Mufasa[/quote]

And money? Will ya give me some money too?

Come on all this posting and never any money…Ahh…I suppose I’m getting what it’s worth.