Stimulus Funds 600k Jobs Last Quarter

What happens when stimulus runs out??

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) – The White House’s massive stimulus plan funded 599,108 jobs in the fourth quarter, administration officials said Saturday.

The figure, based on about 160,000 reports from state, local and corporate recipients, is the second concrete look at the impact of the federal American Recovery and Reinvestment Act. These recipients have been allocated $199.4 billion in spending and received $57.9 billion.

As mandated by Congress, the report covers money spent by states to keep teachers in schools and cops on the street, as well as to rebuild roads, launch green energy initiatives and fund other projects.

It does not tally jobs created indirectly through companies buying supplies for stimulus projects, people spending their tax cuts, increased unemployment benefits and the like.

In total, the economic stimulus program has boosted employment by 1.5 million to 2 million jobs, the president’s chief economic adviser said in mid-January. Unlike the figure reported Saturday, the adviser’s number is derived from a mathematical formula based on how much money has flowed out the federal door and includes both the direct and indirect hires.

A total of $263.3 billion has been paid to states, contractors and other recipients or distributed in tax breaks. Recipients’ reports cover about one-fifth of that total, according to the White House.

Since it was enacted last February, the stimulus program has been a lightning rod for controversy. Republicans have repeatedly attacked the $862 billion effort as a colossal waste of taxpayer dollars that has not created meaningful, long-term employment. They point to the nation’s 10% jobless rate as proof of its failings.

Obama administration officials, however, credit the stimulus program with lifting the nation of out of the Great Recession and keeping more people off the unemployment rolls. They made sure to draw the distinction Saturday between the number of jobs recipients reported and the broader figure calculated by the White House Council of Economic Advisers.

“These reports, which provide a snapshot of the impact of a small portion of funds, are yet another indication that the Recovery Act is on-track to create or save 3.5 million jobs by the end of 2010,” said Vice President Joseph Biden.

One thing is for certain: The first jobs tally, which showed 640,000 jobs were created, contained numerous errors. After that October report, the administration changed the criteria for counting stimulus-funded jobs. The goal was to make it simpler for recipients to accurately report headcounts.

Recipients no longer have to determine whether a job was “created” or “saved” by stimulus funds, only that it was “funded” by the Recovery Act. Also, the reports only track jobs on a quarterly basis instead of keeping a running total.

Even with these changes, it’s still a challenge to determine exactly how many jobs stimulus has funded, experts said. It will come as no surprise if more mistakes are found. Recipients are able to correct their reports after they are posted.

“Not unexpectedly, recipients have made errors when reporting,” said Earl Devaney, chairman of the Recovery Accountability and Transparency Board. “By giving recipients the ability to correct mistakes on a continuing basis, we believe the quality of their reports will improve.”
California is top beneficiary

The Golden State has been allocated the most stimulus dollars by far. California has received $21.6 billion since the Recovery Act was passed nearly a year ago. Not surprisingly, it has also funded the most jobs – just over 71,000, a welcome figure in a state with a 12.2% unemployment rate.

New York, which has been allocated $12.6 billion and has an 8.92% unemployment rate, funded just over 43,000 jobs. Florida, which has been approved to receive $9 billion and has an 11% unemployment rate, funded nearly 35,000 jobs.

The company that has received the largest stimulus contracts is Savannah River Nuclear Solutions, which is getting $1.4 billion to deactivate and remediate several reactors and sites. Savannah reported created 800 jobs but says that more than 1,000 subcontactors have also been hired.

The White House posted complete reports on its stimulus data tracker Recovery.gov late Saturday evening. The site allows visitors to check what jobs were created and where, down to the zip code level. A new feature directs users to openings for stimulus-funded jobs.
States thankful for the money

Several governors reported the impact of stimulus dollars on the state even before the administration released the overall figures.

In Massachusetts, for instance, the Recovery Act funded the more than 4,500 jobs in the fourth quarter, just over 3,004 of them in education. Of the total jobs funded, more than 3,230 were retained while 1,315 were created. State agencies spent about $675.6 million during the quarter.

Gov. Deval Patrick, a Democrat, touted stimulus’ impact on the alternative energy sector, saying the state will increase wind power 10-fold and solar power 15-fold by next year. The number of solar companies has quadrupled and their employment doubled.

Though the state is facing a $2.7 billion budget gap for fiscal 2011, the stimulus money has helped it launch road projects and keep cops on the street, Patrick said.

“Federal money has not solved our fiscal problems, but it has helped cushion the blow,” he said. “These projects are putting people to work now, creating more jobs in the coming months, and will improve the quality of life in Massachusetts for years to come.”

Oregon, meanwhile, funded the equivalent of more than 8,300 full-time jobs in the past quarter using stimulus money, according to Gov. Ted Kulongoski. The state spent $167 million in the quarter.

“Thousands of Oregonians are at work today because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act,” said Kulongoski. “I am pleased that Oregon is moving quickly to get projects on the ground and people working as well as help those Oregonians hardest hit by this economic recession.”

You can also snort coke when you get tired. Works for awhile, but eventually you’ll need to get some sleep.

Anyone that thinks gov’t make-work is a net positive solution for a recession is either an idiot or isn’t even trying to think through it.

They don’t know how many jobs have been created.

They will never know how many jobs were created (if any). Besides, creating government jobs is a double whammy since a) it contributes to more government and b) it is one more pension that has to be paid. Part b is the main contributor as to why California died.

[quote]MaximusB wrote:
They will never know how many jobs were created (if any). Besides, creating government jobs is a double whammy since a) it contributes to more government and b) it is one more pension that has to be paid. Part b is the main contributor as to why California died. [/quote]

They don’t care because it isn’t their problem now.

Free entry into government attracts the worst looters in all of existence.

The “stimulus” doesn’t run out until I think 2019 or some similar figure.

Rather the point should be, Even if this number of jobs “created or saved” is accurate, how much does that work out to per job?

It is astronomical.

Ticking up
Jan 29th 2010 | WASHINGTON, DC
From Economist.com

America’s economy grew by 5.7% at the end of 2009. Yet it remains vulnerable

AFTER a tough start to 2010, Barack Obama could not have asked for better news on the economy to distract attention from his political difficulties. In the fourth quarter of last year American GDP grew by an impressive 5.7%, at an annual rate, the best quarterly performance since 2003. Expansion was driven by growth in private inventories and an increase in exports. For all of 2009 output declined by 2.4%, but for Americans weary from two years of declining employment, the fourth-quarter figure offers a clear signal that the worst is over.

Yet only cautious celebration is in order. There are reasons to doubt that the impressive performance in a single quarter will be repeated in the coming months. Weak fundamentals will prevent the American economy from sustaining that fast pace of growth. Of the 5.7% increase in real output, 3.4 percentage points came from inventory changes, as firms which had operated on a shoestring in the recession built inventories back to normal levels. That brief buying spree brought some workers back to assembly lines, but unless a new source of demand arises the boost from restocking will fade and growth will slow.

There are already signs of a loss of momentum. According to Macroeconomic Advisers, a consultancy, most of the inventory boost came in October, when growth roared ahead at a 16.4% annual rate. By November, growth had already quietened substantially. And throughout the fourth quarter the economy has continued to shed jobs. It is difficult to sustain growth when employment is not rising.

Nor is it clear where new demand might arise. As the GDP report makes plain, personal consumption remains extremely weak; consumption rose by just 2.0% for the quarter, below the 2.8% increase of the previous three months. Spending will probably remain subdued throughout 2010. According to a recent IMF research note, the crisis and recession significantly damaged household wealth, suggesting that savings rates will rise in a recovery. The effect on consumption may be to trim 3% off GDP relative to pre-crisis levels. Indeed, the fourth-quarter savings rate ticked up to 4.6%, from 4.5% during the previous period. New demand growth will have to come elsewhere.

Investment may also disappoint in 2010, because of overcapacity. Oversupply in both residential and commercial property has discouraged investment in the sectors and meant that construction employment is not rising. Housing starts continue to languish at around a third of normal levels. Industrial-capacity use is similarly well below pre-recession levels. Until most existing capacity is put to productive use, there is little reason for businesses to make new investments.

Nor does it help that government economic support will fade during 2010. Mark Zandi, an economist with Moodyâ??s Economy.com, estimates that the federal stimulus contributed about two percentage points of growth in the fourth quarter. That will drop below one percentage point by mid-year and fall to nothing thereafter. State budget cuts will also be a drain on output, as they have been for most of the recession. Drops in state-government spending subtracted 0.1% from output for all of 2009.

And even the fourth quarter’s spirited performance may be overstated. Third-quarter growth was originally reported at 3.5%, only to be revised down later to 2.2%.

Nonetheless, the performance of the American economy in the fourth quarter is encouraging, suggesting firmly that America has pulled free of recession. Yet caution is in order. If the response is to cut back quickly on fiscal and monetary support for the economy, this flash of growth could disappear as quickly as it emerged.

[quote]Gambit_Lost wrote:

Ticking up
Jan 29th 2010 | WASHINGTON, DC
From Economist.com

Nonetheless, the performance of the American economy in the fourth quarter is encouraging, suggesting firmly that America has pulled free of recession. Yet caution is in order. If the response is to cut back quickly on fiscal and monetary support for the economy, this flash of growth could disappear as quickly as it emerged.
[/quote]

I would have hoped the Economist would be able to correctly identify inflation.

[quote]John S. wrote:

[quote]Gambit_Lost wrote:

Ticking up
Jan 29th 2010 | WASHINGTON, DC
From Economist.com

Nonetheless, the performance of the American economy in the fourth quarter is encouraging, suggesting firmly that America has pulled free of recession. Yet caution is in order. If the response is to cut back quickly on fiscal and monetary support for the economy, this flash of growth could disappear as quickly as it emerged.
[/quote]

I would have hoped the Economist would be able to correctly identify inflation.[/quote]

Yeah, you probably know a lot more than those “fools” over at The Economist.

[quote]Gambit_Lost wrote:

[quote]John S. wrote:

[quote]Gambit_Lost wrote:

Ticking up
Jan 29th 2010 | WASHINGTON, DC
From Economist.com

Nonetheless, the performance of the American economy in the fourth quarter is encouraging, suggesting firmly that America has pulled free of recession. Yet caution is in order. If the response is to cut back quickly on fiscal and monetary support for the economy, this flash of growth could disappear as quickly as it emerged.
[/quote]

I would have hoped the Economist would be able to correctly identify inflation.[/quote]

Yeah, you probably know a lot more than those “fools” over at The Economist. [/quote]

Its beginning to look like it.

Well, since no one posted the arithmetic:

$263.3 billion paid thus far.

An alleged 599,108 jobs funded. Not necessarily “created” or “saved,” but simply “funded.” This can include and has included jobs that are now being funded with the money but which were at no risk of being lost.

Equals $439K of taxpayer money – whether taxed now or taxed later, with interest due – per job being funded.

Wile E Coyote has nothing on Obama when it comes to being a super-genius.

[quote]John S. wrote:

[quote]Gambit_Lost wrote:

Ticking up
Jan 29th 2010 | WASHINGTON, DC
From Economist.com

Nonetheless, the performance of the American economy in the fourth quarter is encouraging, suggesting firmly that America has pulled free of recession. Yet caution is in order. If the response is to cut back quickly on fiscal and monetary support for the economy, this flash of growth could disappear as quickly as it emerged.
[/quote]

I would have hoped the Economist would be able to correctly identify inflation.[/quote]

The Economist has been going down hill for some time.

The Economist is a statist rag.

Every statistic that government uses to make its point is a lie.

GDP also includes government spending so according to the government it can just keep spending and GDP goes up. Big deal!

Unemployment does not count those people no longer looking for work or those that are “underemployed”.

CPI does not count the actual amount of money printed by the Federal Reserve. It only measures the relative prices of a basket of goods not including food or energy. You don’t even get to see how much the Fed destroys the prices of the 2 most important things you can buy with your money.

These statistics are designed by government paid economists to keep the people numb and dumb. If those statist pinheads can go on the boob toob and wax idealistic about the greatness of the overlords by pointing to a few “good” numbers then the empire wins. And that is the only point these numbers serve.