Lol
It is indeed an information operation, but you have no clue what is happening at all.
First of all Bahmut is lost on purpose. It was a meat grinder for Russian soldiers, but as soon as they organized for a real push, the Ukrainian army fall back. Instead they took the high ground around Bahmut to coninue grinding Russians. Non confirmed rumours are that Bahmut took 100 000 Russian soldiers.
Belgorod was a demonstration that Russia can not keep its borders safe and a signal to inside factions that would like to split from the Federation that they can do it. It appears that Ukraine will not be able to make a good counter offensive and take the entire teritory they lost. So if Russians rebel it will give Ukraine a chance for a good push.
I am not going to comment nicely on Bucha. You are a pathetic human beeing. The Russian army is full of tataro mongols who will rape and kill for fun, will loot out of poverty. You are disgusting if you think this is not the biggest war crime of the Russian military.
The rocket that ākilledā Azov steel factory fighters was actually a cover up. They were mass shot days before that. There is actually a footagle available from the post mass shooting in the prison.
@jcpjcp I know you mentioned your expertise in hypersonic weapons earlier in the thread and I was worried that you were one of the Kinzhal scientists arrested for treason.
Iām glad youāre not in a Russian jail. Any thoughts on their recent performance?
Putin is probably weaker than any regular person in the west realizes -back in the good old days, this guy wouldāve been arrested and jailed a long time ago:
Itās the same story as the Migs from the Cold War. Claimed to be superior and marginally faster but found out to be giant piles of crap compared to USAF jets once defectors flew them to the US.
Hey, itās a good racket for you guys. Russia builds a Mig-25, breaks some narrow performance records, then we over-engineer the F-15 to respond to everyoneās imaginary threat scenarios from Russian hype.
Then we get a 100-0 kill record, or something close to that, and the F15 is still being modernized.
Iām sure locking up his top scientist is going to result in all of the other leading-edge minds flocking to his service due to the enticing job openings.
It is expected and it is only a matter of when. The Russian federation will break down a bit and will have some countries popping up on its teritory.
The Federation has just way too many factions, ethnic, reliious and racial diversity. And the poor children of the Tatars, Mongols and Muslim are sent to this war, while the campaign is pro Orthodox Christianity and Slavic. The military personel is just no sharing these values.
Once hunger kicks in in a result of the sanctions and with the help of NATO and EU, we will have continues war in Russia. One not led by Ukrainians or NATO but Russians.
Itās all part of the game of thrones. Prigozhin has prison-smarts (he did nine years before being pardoned in 1990) and a separate military with a massive PR campaign behind it and an indepented source of revenue from the African operations.
Heās trying to extricate his brand (not necessarily actual cannon fodder) from the battefield ASAP in order to keep the ānever defeated in the field of battleā image once the inevitable finger pointing stars thus prepare for internal reckoning with other claimants.
Shoigu cannot become the Tsar because heās Asian, Muslims like Kadyrov are also a no-no, Prigozhin is a viable candidate, assuming he can do damage control over his fatherās Jewish ancestry.
The offical heir-apparent is Aleksey Dyumin whoās locked in an ivory tower as a governor of Tula region (conveniently close to Moscow). Other princeling candidates are busy making anchor babies in Miami or LA.
I think the first to go will be the Russian Far East, not the minority republics as theyāre tightly controlled by Rosgvardiya and their able bodied men are slowly exterminated in Ukraineā¦
Primorsky Krai on the border with NK/China has an okayish climate and access to a mind bogging amount of natural resources in Siberia. Once the geriatrics in charge in Moscow, whose children are almost all US citizens, starts dying off (due to natural causes or bullets) and the central government is embroiled in strife, some forty-something bureaucrat in Vladivostok will realize that thereās a plasuible scenario in which he becomes a head of a petrostate and acquires riches akin to those of Gulf royal houses. Now thatās worth a gamble.
Vladivostok is a good bet, considering China would like to have something from Russia. I would not underestimate Chechens and Tatars. I would not exclude someone neihbouring Russia attacking is as well. Azers, Georgians and Khazaks may have some apetite.
As an European I wonder what happens in Belarus as well. Since Russia is weak can we see some uprising again? I kinda hope Poland plays badass with Belarus. Duda has been awesome lately.
Chechens only after Kadyrov dies or if bribā¦ I mean āsubsidiesā from Moscow dry up.
Tatars showed their cards in 1992 and there was is a thirty-year long effort to suppress their identity. Again, massive number of younger males getting killed off in Ukraine helps the suppression efforts.
The shitstorm will be started by ethnic Russians. Contrary to popular opinion, revolutions occur when part of the elite (or wannabe elites) sees more advantage in dismantling the system than participating in it.
air-launched ballistic missiles are not new technology.
The GAM-87 āSkyboltā air-launched ballistic missile was developed by the United States in the late 1950s, and hit top speeds of Mach 12, well in excess of the speeds the Kinzhal can reach. However, the project was ultimately canceled in 1962, when U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert McNamara assessed that the system provided very little benefit over the United Statesā existing arsenal of land- and submarine-launched ballistic missiles.
Honestly, besides tea and window falls the only semi-competent thing the Russians can do is run female agents. I guess kudos for pulling the fat one to Moscow after she got burned?
