You’re not following. A few Bible-thumpers might very well stay home. But faced with the alternative of a liberal Democratic candidate, the great majority of them WOULD still vote for the Republican, without a shadow of a doubt.
The few that would stay home are a REAL small fringe, and alienating them should not be feared. PANDERING to them, to the detriment of EVERYTHING ELSE IMAGINABLE is ludicrous.
[quote]GDollars37 wrote:
Damici wrote:
Hmm. If Reagan, for example, was guilty of it, how is it that he was colossally successful politcally? Hmmm? Because you win elections by winning the MIDDLE, the swing voters.
No, because the religious right was in its infancy, and he talked the talk very well. The addition of Reagan Democrats gave him the blowout of 1984, but he never would have gotten there without the Goldwaterites and social conservatives.
I explained this clearly. Given a choice of a Democrat who is fiscally liberal (and socially liberal) and a Republican who is fiscally conservative (and socially moderate/liberal), who do you think the right-wingers will vote for? The Democrat??
Uh, no. And winning the ENTIRE swing voter block will far more than make up for the few Bible-thumpers who actually decide not to vote in protest.
Election won.
You don’t get it. There aren’t that many swing voters. The “ENTIRE” swing voter bloc is not more than 5% of the country. That was Karl Rove’s central insight, even if his legacy has essentially collapsed.
Most of the country habitually identifies with one party, and votes for that party. It takes a lot to tear them away from that.
This year, when Republicans were running with the anchor of one of the worst presidents all time, an unpopular war, a sinking economy, and a mediocre candidate with an incoherent message, the GOP still won 46% of the vote! There is not that much of a great moderate middle to be captured.
But if you were to alienate social conservatives (who are not “a few Bible-thumpers”), by going pro-choice, you would lose at least a third of that base. It’s that simple.
The only way you will get evangelicals and born-agains to vote for a pro-choice president is by relentless, paranoid fear-mongering about terrorism and Islam. That was the Giuliani strategy. Didn’t work too well.[/quote]