[quote]BostonBarrister wrote:
RSU:
The author has a very good point in that, while the number of combat-related fatalities is historically quite low, each soldier lost is a tragedy, as it is someone’s son or daughter, husband or wife, brother or sister, and each is a Patriot lost. But the author glossed over the first point in order to make the second, and the first is a very valuable point: historically, the rate of casualties is very low. The cost, in terms of percentage GDP – a very different and less important measure, but one I’ve seen brought up on different threads – is also historically quite low. WWII cost upward of 50% of GDP per year; Iraq has cost less than 1%.
I really struggle with the comparison between WWII and our invasion of Iraq…How can you compare one to the other?
I want a quick digression on the “Mission Accomplished” banner. Mission Accomplished does not mean Victory attained, enemy surrendered, all further costs and effort over. It merely means the objective of the particular mission has been attained. Saddam’s regime was out of power, so that particular mission was accomplished. It was obviously bad political judgment from his aides, given the way people have hammered on Bush for the banner, but in doing so people are willfully disregarding the plain and usual meaning of “mission accomplished.”
Now, back to what our efforts in Iraq have “purchased” thus far. To do so, I would like to ask whether you would personally feel safer if, all others factors held constant, Osama bin Laden was captured tomorrow? If so, how much safer would you feel? If your answer was more than just a little tiny bit safer, you’re ignoring the realities of the world at the moment.
This is important as a point of reference…“at the moment”…
Capturing Osama bin Laden would be an excellent political coup (even though a lot of folks think he is already dead), but it wouldn’t do much in terms of disabling terrorism. THere are others doing the planning and heading the operations now.
So, let’s look at what has been accomplished: 1) The U.S. has a military presence in a key area w/r/t geopolitical importance, and the whole area has become more stable by the removal of a dictator who had previously invaded his neighbors and used WMD, and we are in the process of helping to establish an Islamic democratic-type government as a key ally in the region;
…“the area has become more stable…”? By what measure can you POSSIBLY say the area is more stable…
2) Libya has given up its WMD program, and we are in position to deal with Iran should it refuse to do so;
…Most of the Army’s maneuver brigades are already stationed overseas. Those remaining in the US are below our stated contingency reserve. I shudder to think what would happen if we had to deal w/ Iran (or for that matter, North Korea, or Sudan, or any of the other “hot spots” around the world).
3) The Saudis and Pakistanis are cracking down on terrorism within their own borders – by no means are they perfect, but they are putting more effort in than previously, and we will help them to further their efforts;
…shortly b-4 the first gulf war, Saudi Arabia’s chief of intelligence, Prince Turki elicited help from someone other than the United States to defend the Kingdom from Saddam…and that was Bin Laden…if you want to find a connection to terrorism, there it is…well, the king chose the US Army to defend the kingdom, which really pissed bin Laden off…
- Other states in the area are less likely to sponsor terrorism because they have seen the consequences that can arise from doing so.
LESS likely?..I believe if you compared the number of terrorist attacks in the area that have taken place since we invaded Iraq to the previous, say, 10 years, I believe you’d find considerably more attacks since the invasion.
Not directly related to Iraq, we have done much to shore up our homeland security since 9/11.
It is by no means perfect, but we are safer than before. Conversely, people see more soldiers and guards against terrorism than they did previously, which makes them worry about terrorism more. This is actually a good thing if if makes them more aware of the world around them – maybe tips from citizens will be how we can avert a future attack. But, in this case, the actual efforts taken to make people safer likely make them feel less safe. Seeing items related to terrorism on the news probably makes people less safe too, even though they are more aware.
So, whether people “feel safer” or not is really not a good measure of whether they are safer. Just because people were living in a coccoon prior to 9/11, whereas now they are aware of the fact that terrorism poses a threat here at home, does not mean they are less safe.
…a survey of 168 cities across the country showed that 90% of them had not received any significant additional federal assistance since 9/11. Unfortunately, many National Guard units are overseas, when they should be here…protecting the “nation”. One year after 9/11, the New York police force had been cut by 4,000 officers from the number on the rolls on 9/11.
Another small digression. THe author did something that many are in the habit of doing, in that he said that because Iraq was likely uninvolved in 9/11, the fight in Iraq is not related to the War on Terror. That is a non-sequiter. Iraq sponsored terror – perhaps not the specific terrorists responsible for 9/11, but Saddam sponsored terrorists before we went in to Iraq. Now, irrespective of whether you believe al Queda was in Iraq before we took out Saddam, they are there now. So, fighting in Iraq against al Queda insurgents and the foreign Islamist terrorists who have come in to make trouble is indubitably part of the War on Terror. Every terrorist killed in Iraq is one that cannot be part of an attack against the U.S. or U.S. interests again.
As for our “world standing”, I don’t give that much credence. European countries such as France and Germany, and also Russia, were following their own national interests in opposing Iraq. Even in the Clinton Administration they had realized it would become increasingly difficult to build coalitions to act if the Europeans were going to follow their own interests – which is one of the reasons why the U.S. held back for so long w/r/t Kosovo (that and the fact that area wasn’t vital w/r/t U.S. interests).
…yea, not much oil in Kosovo
Everyone points to the fact that the world was sad when 9/11 happened as evidence that Bush squandered some “good faith” of the world. Well, I seem to remember a lot of Arabic countries that were dancing in the street – and this was before Bush did anything at all w/r/t invading Iraq or Afghanistan. A headline in Le Monde saying “We are all Americans now” doesn’t mean diddly squat if the people making the declaration had no intention of helping you do anything about it. Where were the big helpers when we went into Afghanistan? Seems to me we carried the brunt of that load.
As for peace in Iraq, it will come. There are a few areas that are problematic, but the majority of the country is rebuilding. If we weren’t worried about letting the Iraqi government and army establish legitimacy, we might have taken care of at least al Sadr already, but the strategy now is to have our forces provide back-up for the Iraqi forces. It’s a work in process, definitely – some feel we didn’t kill enough of the Baathist hard-core soldiers, and this is why we’re having this problem. Maybe they are correct. We definitely could have done some things better, but it’s tough to hold the planners to a standard of perfection.
…PERFECTION?..my God, there was NO planning…prior to the war, we indicated we just wanted Saddam, and a few of his top hencemen; as a result, many of the Iraqi commanders did not fight, and actually sent their troops home…then we disbanded their military completely and releived anyone who was in the Baath Party, which resulted in hundreds of thousands of individuals suddenly out of work with no pension. No wonder the US popularity plummeted and critical infrastructures and services ceased to function, not to mention the wholesale looting and pillaging.
Things seem to be improving, and while the problems won’t go away overnight, the establishment of a democratic ally in that fital area will be worth it.
So, while you and the author may disagree, many of us believe that much has been, and will be, accomplished via Iraq, and, more generally, by the War on Terror.[/quote]
I am a veteran from the Viet Nam era. I was very fortunate (I got shipped to Germany); many friends went to Nam… way too many came back in body bags. I’m afraid our invasion of Iraq (when and how we did) may go down in history as the most serious mistake this country has ever made. Even Pres. Bush, in Sept. '03 stated clearly that there was “no evidence that Iraq was involved the 9/11 attacks.” Unfortunately, it will be our children and grandchildren who will pay for this folly.