I have been wrong the entire election cycle. So I couldn’t tell you. I thought at this point last year, that we wouldn’t even be talking about Trump vs. Clinton. I figured Clinton, but I thought Trump was a phase, a temporary bubble that would eventually fade out and a regular plain ol’ conservative Republican would be taking on Clinton.
It’s the absolute weirdest election cycle I have ever seen. I think you’re right that there are a lot of ‘in the closet’ Trump supporters, I don’t know if that will be enough for him to win, but there are a lot of people who support Trump that are afraid to say it because of the backlash.
There are stories ,everywhere, of property damage sign theft, car vandalism, etc. that Trump supporters have endured in all corners of the country. So I think a lot of people who support him are afraid to say it out loud.
I know that the polls of 2010 and 2014 congressional elections did not accurately predict how those elections would turn out, so I don’t know how accurate the current polls are that have many democrats prematurely ejacu…, uh, I mean celebrating.
If Clinton was flat running away with it in the polls, I could say it’s a safe bet she’ll win. But I really don’t know.
What I do know is the next President is going to be a lousy person. I don’t know which lousy person it’s going to be. Like many Americans, I am voting against a candidate, not for one.
So far I’ve found a thread about Democrats trying to filibuster a Bush nominees.
These are from BostonBarrister. From what I can gather he/she is a Republican. Senate Majority leader at the time was William Frist (R)
Trump will lose in a Dukakis-esque but not quite Mondale-ian landslide.
The GOP establishment will close ranks to make sure no one but the ordained will ever get the nomination again. They’ll do so the same way the Chicago machine ensured the Daley’s stayed in power, by cutting the legs out from under any up-and-comers who could be a threat to the establishment in the future.
Hillary - a former Young Republican, Goldwater supporter, and daughter of a Conservative Republican - will be a much better President than most think. Her pragmatism and penchant for action will force Republicans to compromise with those across the aisle or risk being branded as Obstructionists and getting lambasted during the next mid-term elections.
The video is there for you to see. It was treated as an assassination attempt the way he was ushered away and he came back on stage a few minutes later cool as a cucumber.
The first point is you hysterically misrepresented what happened.
The second point is this event that isn’t what being “thin skinned” is all about. We all know Trump is, like you, deeply insecure, and is easily baited into rash decisions and reactions by the slightest (perceived) insult. There’s proof - again, proof - everywhere you look.
In this situation, he got whisked away by Secret Service under basic protocol when an altercation broke out. After security was established, Trump finished his rally. He was never personally confronted.
You really will try to convince yourself of what you want to believe to the point of un-reality. You’re precisely the kind of dimwitted lemming that strongman cults look for. Congratulations.
I will, tomorrow. I could stick with the status quo, because at least I am familiar with it. But the reality of the status quo is so bad that an unknown volatile quantity sounds better to me.
In the end it comes down to issues. One more closely represents the issues I care about more than the other. Since the issues of personality and trust are basically a wash between the two, I will be checking Trump tomorrow. Then I will wake up Wednesday and find out who won.
I really think this race is too close to call by the polls. Based on my local observations, Georgia will be a Red State on Wednesday morning.
You and I think the same way whether we agree on the same issues or not. If you can’t trust either one then the only thing left is the issues, even though you’re not sure you can really trust them to hold up on them. Still that is the only thing left to judge them on.
Final prediction is that Trump performs better than Romney, but only by 10-20 EC votes. Hilary takes the popular vote by around 3%.
Trump moves into Trump TV and him and his cronies takes a tea-party-esque role in future elections. 4 years from now they find a new figure head (perhaps Trump’s son) who, with less gaffes, wins the primaries again.
A little reply to the whole thread as I do not want to point to anyone. Guys if you cant talk about politics without getting personal, your not intelligent enough, mature enough, or informed well enough to be doing this.
I’ve been trading during elections since 2000 and this is the first time I’ve seen US equity markets rally as the Democrat nominee improves in the polls and break as the Republican nominee does the same.
