What exactly are you not seeing that we saw last time?
GOP pushed investigations into the front runner?
Constant tweets and nicknames?
Fearmongering about guns and socialism?
Personally I don’t think Trump ever stopped campaigning. If anything, it’s been slowly ramping up ever since he entered the race against all the other Republicans.
If you mean there will be more public ads eventually, totally agree. But the concept of having cash doesn’t magically create HRC esque dirt.
I think it turned from fear mongering to confirmed when Beto had his little moment.
Didn’t Betos polling with DEMOCRATS decline after that statement?
It may have. But in that moment he became the poster boy for SEE! SEE? THEY WANNA TAKE YOUR GUNS!!!
Here you are. There are full blown transcripts of interview, but didn’t link.
Here is school board minutes. Details on p.3 of document
That really doesn’t conflict with what she stated. You need to know how the dates coincide with the dates of her pregnancy. In June she would have been at least seven months pregnant. That would be visibly pregnant. When she was offered the job in April, she might not have been visibly pregnant.
I think if they had serious goods you’d already know it. Biden with a longer career has more potential than Warren from a dirt perspective but he’s also pretty non threatening to most people.
It’s hard for me to seriously believe that the Warren stuff is anywhere near the stuff Trump has done so far but she would be much easier simply in terms of painting a contrast.
For the most part I think it would be way easier to run against Warren simply because of the contrast you can produce. That said ignoring policies Warren would seem to be more together than Joe at this point.
After teaching 1 year pt, she accepted pt contract at 5 months pregnant, resigned at 2 months later.
Maybe she didn’t realize she was pregnant.
Maybe teaching was not for her (her words paraphrased).
Maybe she can’t remember.
But she tells how the man busted her out of her dream career, exactly the same each time.
My wife, teacher since 1978 (along with 1/2 dozen of her female tribe going back 100 years) lol that schools would get rid of pregnant teachers. As in, never heard of it.
Again, the documents don’t prove she’s lying. The extremely limited experience of people you know is not proof of anything more than their limited experience.
Biden is now behind in the RCP average. It’s a statistical tie, to be fair, but this bodes poorly for him going on to win it.
Again…I am still wrapping my head around what the appeal for Warren is. (That’s my problem, I guess).
With that said; why is there the “feeling” that Biden would be the “better” choice to defeat Trump? (or is it the other way around?)
I know, I know…things are a long way out…but I still have a “feeling” that things are adding up to a bigly Trump win.
Why do you feel this way? Is it because he rules the news cycle? I can find half a dozen or so things I agree with his policy on. Leaving Syria was a big + for me just recently for instance. But did he do enough to energize and grow his base to offset how much he energized and grew the base of his opponents? I’d bet not.
I think you are underestimating the amount the establishment dems, establishment reps and Koch brother (singular) interests will align against him.
The people that really call the shots cannot allow anti-globalism, unilateral trade deals and increased border enforcement to go on for four more years.
I have never bought this, to be honest. I think Trump would bounce him down the street.
This is the big question, isn’t it. Democrats will be out in record numbers, the question is whether he has won enough independents to offset the damage.
Can’t call it this far out, to be honest, and I am trying not to beclown myself with predictions this time (fat chance of that, I’m like Sideshow Bob with a rake)
Trump wasn’t leaving Syria nor “saving taxpayer dollars” as he falsely claimed. He simply gave a green light to Erdogan to invade Northern Syria and kill a bunch of socialist Kurds and Christians, save around 60k ISIS fighters held by the Kurds and rebuild their ranks on the ground under a new name or send them piecemeal to the West to blow themselves up whenever it suits him.
While I appreciate that shit is going to go sideways and people are going to die in the middle east… at this point who the fuck cares?
Why should we spend our blood and treasure in Syria? What do Americans get out of it? Before you say “it will destabilize the region if America leaves and Turkey will gain influence”. So your point is the lack of US action will have adverse consequences… well our taking action has had an obscene amount of adverse consequences.
The Iranian coup in 1953 was a stroke of genius and hasn’t bit the US in the ass at any point.
Supporting the Mujahadeen against the USSR really backfired.
The second Iraq war and destabilizing Libya allowed ISIS to fill the power vacuum.
Propping up Saudi Arabia while they fund Wahabism is just plain stupid.
Recognizing Israel in 1948 was a good idea. Giving them nukes… maybe a good idea? Would like your thoughts on that.
Given the track record, what makes you think continued US involvement in Syria would’ve ‘saved the Kurds’ or created some sort of happy ending.
Nation building: the US is really fucking bad at it. You’ve got West Germany and Japan as good examples, after we beat them in total war. Everywhere else… dumpster fire.
Good question that I am happy to answer again, @Basement_Gainz…
To a fault; I tend to get swayed more by what I see as opposed to the underlying fundamentals.
A prime example was 2012 when after a very exuberant GOP convention; I really thought McCain and Palin would win…and that the U.S. simply wasn’t “ready” for a Black Man to be in the Oval Office. I also thought McCain had thrown the type of curve ball by selecting Palin that NO one was prepared for.
However…the underlying fundamentals…the hard fast numbers…had President Obama winning easily.
I may be making the same mistake with Trump. (which I fully admit).
First of all, US involvement in Syria, compared to quagmires in Iraq and Afghanistan, was ridiculously cheap, both in terms of blood and treasure. Kurds bore the brunt of the fighting with obsolete Soviet-era weaponry.
Also, it’s worth remembering that Trump didn’t suddenly channel Paul Ryan’s ghost (yes, I’m aware he’s technically alive) and became concerned about fiscal responsibility, but instead is doing Saudi bidding. While he’s “saving money” by betraying the Kurds he’s also sending additional troops to Saudi Arabia to protect them against barefoot irregulars.
As John Dolan nicely put, the Clinton’s were “influenced” by Qatari money, but the Trump administration is literally taking money from the Saudis and Erdogan. Remember this?
Which is brings us to the uncomfortable truth - Americans will die. Probably soldiers, but likely civilians as well as this is basically a giant rescue-a-jihadi operation where Erdogan plans to use 60k salafis to blackmail the West. Don’t act shocked when one of these assholes (with a Saudi passport probably) blows himself somewhere in the US.
But the Kurds are fucking great at it, as Erbil in Northern Iraq will attest. That’s why they’re hated by Salafis and everyone else.
https://www.tripadvisor.com/Restaurants-g659505-c22-Erbil_Erbil_Province.html
I do find it ironic, that people who have traditionally been against inserting ourselves into foreign wars, especially whose origins are hundreds if not a thousand years old, suddenly want U.S. intervention of blood and treasure to settle the matter with the Kurds, the Shia and the Sunni’s.
Are we sure this isn’t a symptom of hating Trump more than liking or disliking the policy? Obama had zero intentions of militarily assisting the Kurds and I heard nary a peep about it. They were in just as much trouble then as now. All Obama was willing to do was air war and nothing more to fight ISIS.
Our goals and intention was to fight and defeat ISIS, which we did. It took the aid of ground troops which was an unpopular decision at the time. Now it’s an unpopular decision to remove the ground troops, even though they have by all measures that matter, defeated ISIS.
So long story short. When Trump wanted to put troops in Syria, it was unpopular with the democrats. Now that Trump want’s to bring them home, it’s an unpopular decision with the democrats.
You can see why some people might be confused…
Syria is not going to be what we want it to be. The time when Assad was at his weakest and Russia did not yet have a presence, was the time of the infamous ‘Red Line’. What happened? Russia removed a healthy stock of chemical weapons but it didn’t stop Assad from using chemical weapons time and time again afterwards. Now Russian troops are there protecting Assad.
Edrogen wants to cleanse the world of Kurds, but do we want war with Turkey? And potentially Russia?
My very unpopular solution was full scale invasion of Syria, before the Russians got there. That’s the only way we could get everything we wanted out of Syria. But right now, I think it’s a better idea to favor diplomacy over war to protect the Kurds from Turkey. That kind of war will not be cheap in blood and treasure.
Then let them do it. I agree saudi arabia sucks and we shouldn’t help them or Iran. Let them have their tribal slaughter. Let Russia and China fight over the damn meat pile. No matter who we back, or who we fight with in the ME… we lose.
