[quote]pat wrote:
[quote]Bismark wrote:
[quote]pat wrote:
[quote]Bismark wrote:
No one is asserting that. Crippling sanctions along with the threat of military force brought Iran to the negotiating table. That’s coercive diplomacy. It’s not in the interests of any party for the negotiations to devolve into armed conflict. [/quote]
Crippling sanctions may have helped bring Iran to the negotiating table, but my sense is that the negotiations are a sham. They have an interest in lifting sanctions, but with Russia and China willing to play ball with them, I don’t sense it’s a priority. It’s buying them time to maneuver.
You don’t actually believe Iran is serious in anyway about ending their goal of weaponizing Uranium, do you? You don’t think this summit has any teeth, do you? It’s a dog and pony show.[/quote]
China and Russia support the U.S. led sanction regime. Both states had veto power over the UNSC implemented sanctions, yet both sided with the France, the U.K, and the U.S. Iran already has achieved breakout capacity, which they should be allowed to maintain. That, along with security assurances made contingent on Iranian behavior, may be sufficient to allay its perpetual insecurity. The nuclear negotiations are not a “summit”. And no, me pointing that out is not `. That you use a very specific diplomatic term with a very specific meaning incorrectly is indicative that you haven’t put in much intellectual groundwork in regard to diplomacy in general and the P5+1 nuclear negotiations in particular.
"Our bottom line is unambiguous, crystal clear, and, quite frankly, written in stone: Iran will not, shall not obtain a nuclear weapon.
A major step in the right direction of that pursuit was taken last January when we began implementing a negotiating framework called the Joint Plan of Action. In return for limited sanctions relief, Iran committed �¢?? while talks are underway �¢?? to freeze and even roll back key components of its nuclear activities. Specifically, Iran has halted the expansion of its overall enrichment capacity; put a cap on its stockpile of low-enriched uranium hexafluoride; stopped the production of uranium enriched to 20 percent; agreed not to make further advances at the Arak heavy water reactor; and opened the door to unprecedented daily access for international inspectors to the facilities at Natanz and Fordow.
At the time the Joint Plan was announced, many observers expressed profound doubt that Iran would abide by its commitments. But according to the IAEA �¢?? the International Atomic Energy Agency �¢?? Iran has done what it promised to do. The result is a nuclear program that is more constrained and transparent than it has been in many years. In turn, the P5+1 has fulfilled its commitment to provide limited sanctions relief. More extensive relief will come when �¢?? and only when �¢?? we are able to arrive at a comprehensive deal that addresses the concerns of the world community. Such a plan, if fully implemented, would give confidence that Iran�¢??s nuclear program will be exclusively peaceful and would enable the Iranian people to look forward to a much brighter future."
http://m.state.gov/md233306.htm
[/quote]
Of course Russia and China support the sanctions against Iran by the western powers, it’s strengthens their ties and influence with Tehran. China and Russia are gleefully undermining the sanctions by strengthening their ties with Tehran. They have everything to gain from western sanctions.
You speak like Russia actually cares whether Iran gets a nuclear weapon or not. Russia has long spoken out of both sides of their mouth regarding this, there is no reason to believe they have changed their tune. Russia has been helping Iran with their nuclear program and put them on the path to where they are today.
“We know of at least one former nuclear weapons expert in Russia who helped Iran develop a triggering mechanism to set off high explosives in a nuclear weapon,” he said.
http://www.stanleyfoundation.org/resources.cfm?id=266
Neither Russia or China give a fly shit whether or not Iran has nuclear weapons, nor whether the west sanctions them. They have their own interests they are pursuing. If we had such faith in these negotiations, why then, did obama write his secret, well known, letter?
It’s a dog and pony show. The showdown about Iran’s nuclear weapons program will continue long after the dog and pony show concludes. This is a sham, a distraction. Only a fool would believe it’s going to work. [/quote]
You make that assessment despite having zero grounding in diplomatic studies, as evidenced by your grossly erroneous use of the term summit. It’s not clear that a comprehensive deal will come of the P5+1 nuclear negotiations. However, such a deal is in the best interests of all parties involved. Only a fool would believe otherwise.