[quote]cwill1973 wrote:
[quote]smh_23 wrote:
[quote]pat wrote:
We do not know if Assad gave up all it’s chemical weapons, chances aren’t good since we are taking Assad’s word for it.
[/quote]
You keep saying this. The OPCW vetted the disclosure lists in person, but, more importantly, U.S. intelligence confirmed the estimates before the agreement was even drafted. One of the fortunate surprises in the run-up to the agreement was that U.S. and Russian intelligence agreed on the size of the Syrian chemical arsenal. But you didn’t know any of this, because you don’t know what you’re talking about.
Now, if you want to argue that the deal wasn’t any good because Assad still has weapons, offer evidence that Assad still has weapons. “We jist don’t know” doesn’t cut it, because until you can offer evidence of your doubt, the CIA’s estimates carry more weight than your speculation by a factor of astronomical magnitude.
Edited[/quote]
Is this the same US intelligence that stated there were WMD’s in Iraq?
[/quote]
And that figured out where OBL lived, yeah.
You can either cast doubt on the estimates or you cannot argue that Assad still has chemical weapons. I can cast doubt on much pre-Iraq intelligence by citing documentary evidence which refutes much of it (and, much more importantly, derides the way in which the evidence was twisted and presented and selectively chosen). Until you can do the same here, you have no case.
You can present evidence that Assad remains in possession of chemical weapons, or you cannot use such an argument as evidence of the Syrian deal’s inadvisability, because so long as you are just some guy entering his utterly uninformed conjecture into a keyboard, the CIA’s estimation and the OPCW’s verification and vetting processes best you 10 times out of 10.
