[quote]nephorm wrote:
At any rate, we are not talking about the market for high-speed internet backbones, because such a market does not exist to any appreciable degree. It does not exist because it is too cost prohibitive to create new backbones.
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If anything, we’ve been suffering from an excess backbone capacity brought on by a proliferation of cheap capital and the prospect of such a huge market (the so-called “TMT Bubble,” which the market has been trying absorb for a number of years now).
While it’s true that building and maintaining communications networks is hugely capital intensive and requires significant scale to be profitable, that’s a different thing entirely from saying there’s “no market.” There has been and will be a huge market for backbone capacity.
I agree with the first part. But everything after the “but” is, in my opinion, problematic.
Methinks it is politics at it’s very best. The forces at work to increase regulation are legion. The “countervailing forces” at work are precious few.
Remember, regulation is like a ratchet device - it generally only goes in one direction. So I think it’s wise always to question any “additional regulation.”
Especially to ask 1. who is actually going to benefit from it? Regulations - even those that are ostensibly there to protect the consumer - are usually “captured” by the regulated.
And, 2. are we able to predict what other sorts of unintended consequences this new regulation might cause?
Answer: no, generally not, which is why there’s a perennial hue and cry for “additional regulation.”
On that narrow issue, there are no regulations preventing companies from laying fiber - which is why so many companies sprung up during the TMT bubble (360 communications, XO, Level Three, Qwest, MFS…there were so many that I can’t remember them all…) Anyway, they built so much capacity that pricing fell to incremental variable cost (i.e. zero) and, of course, no company can exist at that pricing level.