Poll Watch: Rasmussen Iowa 2012 Presidential Survey
Rasmussen Iowa 2012 Presidential Survey
Mitt Romney 49%
Barack Obama 48%
Someone else 2%
Undecided 1%
http://race42012.com/2012/11/01/poll-watch-rasmussen-iowa-2012-presidential-survey-5/
This is good news as Iowa is one of the key states Romney needs if he is going to win without Ohio. Keeping in mind that undecideds break for the challenger and that the anti Obama vote is going to be very strong.
I brought this over from the thread “Flawed Polls” I think it has merit and breaks down into good detail quite nicely what many of us have been claiming for several weeks.
http://www.zerohedge.com/contributed/2012-11-01/flawed-poll-models-underestimating-romney’s-lead
Shit, Rasmussen has them tied at 48 again…
I expect Gallop to have them close later today as well. And Romney to dip below 50.
[quote]countingbeans wrote:
Shit, Rasmussen has them tied at 48 again…
I expect Gallop to have them close later today as well. And Romney to dip below 50.
[/quote]
Don’t worry about that, the race always tightens in the final few days. This may also be the bump that I expected from Christie boot licking Obama.
You know before Christie ate his final jar of peanut butter last night that he knelt by the side of his bed and prayed for an Obama win. And he may get his prayer answered but that doesn’t mean that he’ll be in line in four years the GOP’s mascot is an elephant and elephants have a long memory.
[quote]countingbeans wrote:
Shit, Rasmussen has them tied at 48 again…
I expect Gallop to have them close later today as well. And Romney to dip below 50.
[/quote]
That still puts Romney up I’d say just because the polls have been polling dems expecting the same turnout they had in 08
[quote]kevinm1 wrote:
[quote]countingbeans wrote:
Shit, Rasmussen has them tied at 48 again…
I expect Gallop to have them close later today as well. And Romney to dip below 50.
[/quote]
That still puts Romney up I’d say just because the polls have been polling dems expecting the same turnout they had in 08[/quote]
Don’t swallow all of the GOP talking points. Pollsters like Rasmussen and Gallup are pretty accurate. This race is as tight as a virgins…never mind I’m not going there.
[quote]countingbeans wrote:
Shit, Rasmussen has them tied at 48 again…
I expect Gallop to have them close later today as well. And Romney to dip below 50.
[/quote]
I’d need to see another day of the same before getting worried.
Hmmmm.
Early Vote Down 15 Percent in Cleveland, Cincinnati
http://www.nationalreview.com/campaign-spot/332266/early-vote-down-15-cleveland-cincinnati
EDIT: also, read more of Geraghty’s blog for reviews on voter turnout, for example, in Tennessee and North Carolina.
The atlantic & Politico, both lefty machines, are calling big gains in early voting for team red.
CBS and ABC reporting on Libya…
I think the firewall is cracked.
[quote]countingbeans wrote:
CBS and ABC reporting on Libya…
[/quote]
What? Are you kidding me?
Are you sure about your information?
I figured that they’d open up on Obama AFTER the election so they can claim that they’ve been fair all along.
If this is the case Obama could be in big trouble. There millions of people who will not view FOX because of the right tilt. But those same people tune into CBS and ABC every day.
[quote]ZEB wrote:
[quote]countingbeans wrote:
CBS and ABC reporting on Libya…
[/quote]
What? Are you kidding me?
Are you sure about your information?
I figured that they’d open up on Obama AFTER the election so they can claim that they’ve been fair all along.
If this is the case Obama could be in big trouble. There millions of people who will not view FOX because of the right tilt. But those same people tune into CBS and ABC every day.
[/quote]
I thought this was interesting a little off topic but interesting
http://www.journalism.org/analysis_report/winning_media_campaign_2012
[quote]ZEB wrote:
[quote]countingbeans wrote:
CBS and ABC reporting on Libya…
[/quote]
What? Are you kidding me?
Are you sure about your information?
I figured that they’d open up on Obama AFTER the election so they can claim that they’ve been fair all along.
If this is the case Obama could be in big trouble. There millions of people who will not view FOX because of the right tilt. But those same people tune into CBS and ABC every day.
[/quote]
Well, the two peices I posted in the libya thread last night. Nothing spectacular but a start.
Holy Crap!
[quote]countingbeans wrote:
Holy Crap![/quote]
Now put that together with my Philadelphia theory of many of those who have been negatively effected by the hurricane staying home, as they feel they have more important things to worry about.
Very intriguing about PA-while I am a resident, I haven’t noticed much either way from people I’ve talked to but as it was never impossibly far out of reach, a last minute ploy for momentum could pay off for team Romney. Even a slight bump makes things interesting. I also haven’t noticed too much in terms of ads on TV (for president-the Senate campaign has been going for a while), but then again I don’t watch much TV so I may be something of an ostrich on that one.
As far as the hurricane theory goes though-Philadelphia really didn’t get hit too badly from what I’ve seen/heard. The usual shutters missing, etc but not nearly the same mess as the northern NJ/NYC area. I would be highly surprised to see a drastic shift in voting numbers that could be attributed to the hurricane.
[quote]CornSprint wrote:
Very intriguing about PA-while I am a resident, I haven’t noticed much either way from people I’ve talked to but as it was never impossibly far out of reach, a last minute ploy for momentum could pay off for team Romney. Even a slight bump makes things interesting. I also haven’t noticed too much in terms of ads on TV (for president-the Senate campaign has been going for a while), but then again I don’t watch much TV so I may be something of an ostrich on that one.
As far as the hurricane theory goes though-Philadelphia really didn’t get hit too badly from what I’ve seen/heard. The usual shutters missing, etc but not nearly the same mess as the northern NJ/NYC area. I would be highly surprised to see a drastic shift in voting numbers that could be attributed to the hurricane.[/quote]
Is that true? Well I’m glad to hear that the less devastation by that horrible occurrence the better. The people in down state NY are suffering horribly from what I’ve heard. I wonder what happened to all the aid that obamawitz said that he was sending?
Ah the government, just give them a chance and they will fail. Hey I have an idea let’s hand over 1/6th of the economy in the form of health care over to the government nothing could possibly go wrong with that idea right?
Another thread I guess…
Hey corny it looks like there is plenty of damage in West Philly,
http://abclocal.go.com/wpvi/video?id=7519008
Power failure, trees on top of cars and landing on houses, property damage etc.
Yeah, there will be many folks staying home trying to fix these problems and not voting. 100,000 probably not but who knows?
[quote]ZEB wrote:
[quote]CornSprint wrote:
Very intriguing about PA-while I am a resident, I haven’t noticed much either way from people I’ve talked to but as it was never impossibly far out of reach, a last minute ploy for momentum could pay off for team Romney. Even a slight bump makes things interesting. I also haven’t noticed too much in terms of ads on TV (for president-the Senate campaign has been going for a while), but then again I don’t watch much TV so I may be something of an ostrich on that one.
As far as the hurricane theory goes though-Philadelphia really didn’t get hit too badly from what I’ve seen/heard. The usual shutters missing, etc but not nearly the same mess as the northern NJ/NYC area. I would be highly surprised to see a drastic shift in voting numbers that could be attributed to the hurricane.[/quote]
Is that true? Well I’m glad to hear that the less devastation by that horrible occurrence the better. The people in down state NY are suffering horribly from what I’ve heard. I wonder what happened to all the aid that obamawitz said that he was sending?
Ah the government, just give them a chance and they will fail. Hey I have an idea let’s hand over 1/6th of the economy in the form of health care over to the government nothing could possibly go wrong with that idea right?
Another thread I guess…[/quote]
Definitely another thread-one that I think could be decent btw. You’re spot on about southern NY-a ton of people with no power, no public transport running, no cars allowed on the roads with less than 3 people in them (to allow space for emergency vehicles), some areas still pretty much with standing water. It’s truly a tragedy.
As far as the aid goes-it’s honestly more of an infrastructure issue at this point from what I’ve heard from people on the ground. The major objective is to get everyone safe/sheltered/fed-from there getting the necessary infrastructure back online takes time. Things are progressing day to day however-you only eat a cow one bite at a time.
