"CBS consultant Michael Oren says Israel doesn’t want to wait for a new administration.
“The Israelis have been assured by the Bush administration that the Bush administration will not allow Iran to nuclearize,” Oren said. “Israelis are uncertain about what would be the policies of the next administration vis-Ã -vis Iran.”
Israel’s message is simple: If you don’t, we will. Israel held a dress rehearsal for a strike earlier this month, but military analysts say Israel can not do it alone.
“Keep in mind that Israel does not have strategic bombers,” Oren said. “The Israeli Air Force is not the American Air Force. Israel can not eliminate Iran’s nuclear program.”
Bush doesn’t trust Obama to do the right thing, so he’ll do it for him.
There is a big difference between eliminating and throwing a money wrench into the works. Either way we will buy time. Much of the Iranian program is dispersed, but there are some key points upon which everything else depends.
Uranium enrichment like at Natanz requires a cascade of thousands of centrifuges feeding into one another along with enough Uranium HexaFlouride to fill them and technicians to run it all.
Natanz is buried underground which makes it hard to take out. But what the Iranians cannot bury underground is the entrances, exits and air shafts that supply Natanz with technicians and air to breath. So although we can’t easily take out Natanz and it’s technicians, we can bury them alive with no air and no way out. So the Iranians have to find people who are willing to die running the plant.
Breeder reactors making Plutonium have to have a way to cool the pile, so it doesn’t melt down. Air cooled is the least preferred because there have been bad accidents. The British reactor that melted down at Sellafield was air cooled. It was the worst accident till Chernobyl. So water cooled is the preferred method.
The Iranian/North Korean/Syrian reactor the Israelis recently destroyed was water cooled. It was easy to find because it had to be built near a river to get it’s water supply. All the Israelis did was trace the water pipes. So if you can’t take out the reactor take out it’s cooling supply.
If the Iranians are left unhindered they will get the fissile materials they need for a bomb faster than if somebody does something about it. Setting the Iranians back a few years can give sanctions more time to take effect. It can also give time for Iranian domestic politics to give a solution. It also buys us time to refine missile defenses.
[quote]Guerrero wrote:
"Israel’s message is simple: If you don’t, we will. "
Oh noez…strong talk…isn’t that kind of the message we want to get a cross. The M/E isn’t our problem, do it yourself.[/quote]
That is definitely not the kind of message we want to get across, especially with a long time ally of ours (Israel). Having a strategic ally in that region of the world is not only important, it’s necessary.
Leaving that alone, if a rogue nation such as Iran (who denies the Holocaust ever took place, and has openly called be wiped for Israel to be wiped off the face of the earth) succeeds in obtaining WMD’s, then it is no longer just a middle-eastern problem, it’s a world wide problem. These people have no problem running into a crowded market and setting off bombs killing women and children… so tell me why they would have a problem killing hundreds of thousands with a nuke?
Iran can not be allowed to produce a nuclear weapon, end of the story.
Then maybe Israel should ask Wall Street, Hollywood and Florida to defend its “state”, not the whole entire US. Israel’s existance isn’t important to our country. They don’t really help us at all. We can rely on other countries for research and technology. We have to ask ourselves right now as our children prepare to starve under an economy at the mercy of Oil Arabs: What’s in it for us?
Israel’s got to protect itself…It won’t be the first time they struck and Iranian centerfuge. The Iranians are no friend of ours…Fuck 'em. Let Israel take care of the issue.