Iran Elections

[quote]orion wrote:
Jeff R wrote:
orion wrote:
Jeff R wrote:
Tiribulus wrote:
pat wrote:
Tiribulus wrote:
After considering the views of lots of people on all sides who are decidedly much more qualified than myself to analyze this fiasco, as well as reading this whole thread, I am still stuck with the tentative conclusion that I don’t know what I think about this.

I know what to think. I think it rocks. I admire the balls of the Iranian people that even getting beaten and shot, they have not given up the fight. The ayatollah is not a supreme leader, he is just a supreme dick head. Ahmadinejad is a dick too, and I hope the crowd gets these fuckers out in a lynch mob and hangs them. No I don’t think it will happen, and I thin the actual body count is higher than 17, but who really knows.

My sincerest wishes and prayers go out the the Iranian protesters. May they succeed in getting their country back.
It’s a long shot, but just imagine if they succeed?!

I meant I don’t know what I think our role, if any, should be.

It’s anything but a given that even if the protesters get their way, that that will spell a significant improvement in Iran’s international relations. It’s not even a given that Ahmadinejad actually lost this election. What if it turns out he actually won regardless of the precise numbers? That the majority of the people there actually voted for him?

I would find it interesting to say the least if people who usually decry our undue influence in the affairs of other sovereign nations suddenly find it a moral imperative that we support the overthrow of a duly elected foreign politician because he’s “a dick” (not you, but generally speaking)

Don’t get me wrong, I’d like nothing more than to see every nation be free, but contrary to popular belief about guys like me, I don’t see it as our responsibility to enforce democracy upon people who don’t want it as long as they leave the rest of the world alone.

As soon as somebody says “yeah well this bunch isn’t into leaving the rest of the world alone” we’re right back where we started and this whole protest thing is irrelevant.

If Mousavi got more votes it makes no difference. Ahmadinejad continues as the ayatollah’s guy. Truth is we’ll never know who got more votes so we’re left with the sensational assumption that the election was stolen because we can’t conceive of any scenario wherein people might approve of that government for themselves. Arrogant self absorbed Americans huh?

If the election WAS stolen, is it our problem to do anything about it any further than the long standing leadership threatens us or our allies? Maybe, maybe not.

If it WASN’T stolen the question is essentially the same except we find ourselves at odds with more of the Iranian population than some may wish to accept.

Bottom line is without the aid of foreign forces these protesters don’t have a prayer unless Iran’s military turns and sides with them. If force (from us) is deemed appropriate then why wasn’t it appropriate in Iraq? Or any other country where a certain % of the population wants change? If it isn’t appropriate then all we can do is cheerlead for either the utter instability of Iran and it’s nuclear program if the ayatollah is overthrown and or it’s essential continuation if Mousavi were to become the honcho.

On a very significant level I agree with Lixy. (Did I really just say that?) Every single one of these protesters in these crowds we’ve seen on TV still represent a small % of the overall Iranian population. If 10 million people stormed DC it would be a huge problem and a colossal news story making for some incredible video footage, but still only 3% of the population settling nothing.

There are no possible immediate outcomes very favorable to The United States and that’s I’m most concerned about. Yes, arrogant self absorbed American that I am.

EDIT: I reserve the right to revise any or all of the content of this post as, like I say, I’m far from settled on most of this topic.

Trib,

Somewhere W. is smiling. Surrounding iran with democracies (even in their early stages) was the right move.

JeffR

Could you please point out the “democracies” Iran is surrounded by, how Iran is less democratic than any of them and why “democracy” is necessarily a good thing, in Iran or anywhere else.

Hey, bota.

See new york times, February, 2009.

You might have heard of that paper.

It’s the closest we have to an austrian newspaper.

Thankfully, it’s about to go out of business.

JeffR

So you are saying that Iran already was the most democratic nation in the region, that being able to vote for a puppet regime set up by Washington is neither “democratic” nor “inspiring” and that the chances in these countries are pretty good that religious hardliners are elected, like in Algeria, Turkey, Palestine.

Well, I thought so.

Any additional thoughts on how America was never intended to be a democracy with an elected dictator but a republic with a weak executive and how the democratic element grew like a cancer to destroy the republic from within?

Bonus points on why that model is better suited to the Middle east and Iran in particular.
[/quote]

bota,

You bore me.

Please show me some proof that ANY Iraqi was forced, coerced, or even prompted to vote for “Washington’s choice.”

In order for that to be true, the February 2009 election would have had to have been Bush’s and obama’s choice.

Not likely.

How about the HUNDREDS of others voted in during, say, February, 2009?

Does your little mind really believe that Washington bought/coerced all of those people?

In your nat-like mind, do you seriously believe that the elections in iran were MORE democratic that Iraq’s elections?

Nope, you’ve always been on the wrong side of history.

It’s rather amusing watching you flail against an Iraqi democracy.

Within the last 48 hours, IRAQ CLAIMED TOTAL VICTORY. The U.S. has given over security to all the major cities.

Even newsweek led off with “The Iraq War One.”

In summary, Jeff R >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>bota.

Wouldn’t now be an ideal time to bomb them? I mean, if you’re in charge in Israel, maybe now bombing would cause their collapse. Sure, it might unite them, so you’d have to rain hell fire down on them but, if you’re going to do a job, do it right the first time (y’know, like Iraq '91).

[quote]orion wrote:
Their threats get shriller and shriller but if they actually put tanks on the street how sure can they be that those young soldiers will obey orders?
[/quote]

To paraphrase you from another thread about the Nazis and the Holocaust:

“They are professional soldiers acting professionally.”

The Republican Guard are the SS of the Iranian Regime.

[quote]Headhunter wrote:
Wouldn’t now be an ideal time to bomb them? I mean, if you’re in charge in Israel, maybe now bombing would cause their collapse. Sure, it might unite them, so you’d have to rain hell fire down on them but, if you’re going to do a job, do it right the first time (y’know, like Iraq '91).[/quote]

Hell no. Let them fight it out and their house of cards will fall like the Soviet Union over unrest in Poland.

[quote]Gambit_Lost wrote:
<<< Nukes really should be the first thing you think of in terms of Iran and our interests with Iran. >>>
[/quote]

IT SHOULD!?!?!?!?

Now I’m scarred for life. First I agree with Lixy (in part anyway) and now this cottonball.

[quote]Aragorn wrote:
<<< First, I agree with you that Mousavi’s major credential is that he is not Ahmedinejad in person. He is not a George Washington type figure or anything remotely near a westernized version of a democratic president. You may very well be correct about him.

However, should he win the day (huge IF), he and most of the other people who remain in power will be forced to recognize the part of the populace that propelled them there and follow up with at least a few things that the reformists could call “increased freedom for all”. It would be political suicide to do anything other than represent them in the short term. Whether that remains the way it would work after a while in power, who knows. But it would be ridiculous to turn around and immediately do anything to offend the part of the population that rioted and got beaten and shot up to get you into office.

Second, as far as the “berlin wall” part of my posts is concerned, this is nowhere near analogous to that time in history. I am acutely aware of the numerous differences. However, that was the only thing I could think of off the top of my head to illustrate that I wished Obama would give open support to the reformists. Sorry for any misunderstandings.[/quote]

Mousavi will continue the nuclear weapons program if his past is any indication and we have nothing to indicate otherwise. He will even continue the lie that it’s only for energy. We also have nothing concrete to indicate that a nuclear arsenal will be much if any safer in his hands than Ahmedinejad’s. I will gladly admit I’m wrong if it turns out to be the case, but I suspect he is the Iranian Obama who will say whatever he has to to manipulate the relevant players into viewing him as a non threat all the while chanting change. A message that is clung to by young people desperate for any taste of liberty.

I see him as making whatever social concessions he deems relatively innocuous in the name of buying time for his greater agenda which is as of yet not entirely clear, but definitely includes nuclear pursuits.

I was referring to people like Sean Hannity and many prominent Republicans who seem to think that anything we say will make a bit of difference. Neda wouldn’t be as dead if Obama would have given one of his magic plastic speeches? They are blaming the CIA already anyway. If we had a real president I may think differently.

BTW, while the world dwells on Iran Kim Jong Il is by far deserving of more immediate attention.

Look, I admire these people’s courage. I just wonder if they’re being led into into a false hope that is nowhere on the horizon even if they get everything they say they want which is very very unlikely anyhow. If Mousavi were to come into power and perceive that power threatened there is no reason to believe he wouldn’t rig the next election rather than graciously concede defeat which leads us to another point. What if Ahmedinejad actually won this election and in the next one wins again only above board if Mousavi were to allow that? That would throw a large dark shadow over this entire state of affairs.

Also, what kind of relationship would he have with Khomeini? Not only does that whole outfit have to go, but there also has to be right one in it’s place. That’s not even considering the millions of Iranians who DID undeniably vote for Ahmedinejad even if he really did lose. Think of the type of people who vote for a guy like that. Are those fanatics just going to declare Allah’s kingdom will have to wait for another day? I don’t know. This is far from simple any way you cut it.

[quote]Sifu wrote:
PB Andy wrote:
Sifu wrote:
Obama is not going to come out strongly against Ahmadinejad/Khamenei because he is way too heavily invested in them politically. A big part of Obama’s presidential campaign was he would talk to Ahmadinejad. If Ahmadinejad is replaced by someone more negotiable Obama loses the opportunity to score politically.

Additionally Obama doesn’t want to offend Ahmadinejad before he talks with him because it may make it impossible for Obama to get anything out of the talks so Obama will lose a chance to score politically.

What it comes down to is the freedom of the Iranian people is inconsequential compared to Obama’s political career. Having a talk with Ahmadinejad is going to do more for Obama than the Iranian people sorting the matter out themselves.

What the fuck? Are you joking or are you really that stupid?

Did you listen to Obama’s first comments on the uprising where he was quite favorable to the supreme leader and Ahmadinejad? Are you aware of the deals that Obama is trying to make with the Iranians right now or are you just ignorantly spouting off at people who criticize your hero?[/quote]

Nice (wrong) assumption on the hero thing. This has nothing to do with you criticizing Obama, it has to do with a retarded ass neo-con statement. It sounds like you’re grabbing for scraps . Simply put, Obama doesn’t want to favor any side because the end state is that he wants good relations with Iran for the better good of us and the Middle East. If he goes out and publicly supports Mousavi and Ahmadinejad ends up on top, we’re screwed. If he supports Ahmadinejad (hypothetically speaking), and Mousavi’s on top, we’re screwed.

[quote]Gambit_Lost wrote:
Aragorn wrote:
Gambit_Lost wrote:

Neocons want action because neocons want to use American force to eliminate the nukes. They believe that if the hardliners are able to take over, or if they do crush the opposition, our hand will be forced. What makes you think the neocons are wrong?

I’ll get to the rest of your post later when I have more time and the inclination to try and articulate my thoughts in detail. For now, we’ll just say I don’t give a shit about the nukes. Well, I do, but I wasn’t even thinking about the nukes when I wrote my posts in this thread. I do NOT want to use force if it can be avoided. Normalizing relations would be my ideal, but that requires people in power other than those currently holding the reins, and a public that favors increased freedoms and a more friendly relationship to the US.

And “normal” as in not so openly hostile, not as in best friend type relations.

Nukes really should be the first thing you think of in terms of Iran and our interests with Iran. All actions should be taken with their ramifications towards Iran’s nuclear capacities/program. This should be the very first thing that goes through your mind when you think about this type of stuff.

How do you think we should work towards normalization? How do you think Obama giving a “berlin wall” speech will push towards normalization?!? To my mind, your ends are completely at odds with your means.

[/quote]

Lay off the Tom Clancy, boss.

I normally have this forum turned off but wanted to see if there was a discussion on the situation abroad, because:

A) I am Iranian

B) All my relatives are there (my immediate family is here with me, in CA)

C) We get Iranian satellite so we see what’s televised in Iran, but we also see radio/TV shows broadcast from Canada and US, intended for Iranians in Iran as well as abroad

D) My father is over there right now. Went on business a month ago, actually went to the polls and voted for Mousavi, and is now safely on a ranch in the middle of nowhere. Was holed up in an apartment until a few days ago in Esfahan to avoid running into police.

What blows my mind is that this will be the first revolution that is broadcasted by our most viral media outlets: Twitter, Facebook, YouTube, etc. We are seeing live footage before media sources can actually report on it.

Some things that I have not yet heard from foreign media, but that I know to be true:

  1. The government has brought police from Arab countries, namely Lebanon and Palestine, where people feel indebted to Iran’s government for past support. The Iranian police have remained mostly non-violent (minus some religious Basiji police), and the government fears the police/military joining the people. This happened during the '79 revolution so the government of Iran fears it now.

Also, some neighbors of our relatives in Tehran were raided by police for giving sanctuary to some protestors. The police raided the home, arrested and beat people, smashed up cars and were distinctly speaking Arabic.

  1. The government is dumping boiling water from helicopters and acid on protestors.

  2. A banking official in Iran called in to one of the foreign broadcast Iranian radio/tv shows (the Canadian and Los Angeles-broadcast shows) to say that some of the clerics have withdrawn their accounts, shaved their beards and are trying to flee the country. This COULD be a rumor, but it’s extremely plausible.

The official also said that, very soon, the banks may decide unilaterally to freeze all government assets and possibly wire them to Iranians abroad.

This also happened during the '79 revolution.

  1. Tuesday (today) is the 20th year anniversary of the day that Khamenei took power by way of FRAUD. Khomeini has elected Montazeri, who was a populist and very modern cleric. Khamenei had Montazeri kidnapped, jailed and probably tortured. Montazeri has now publicly supported Mousavi, the reformist candidate.

Mousavi is calling for massive protests today and they could be the worst protests thus far.

  1. Some of the Iranian police (called “ko-mi-te”) have laid down their weapons and joined the protestors.

  2. The Ahmadinejad supporters are mostly paid out-of-towners, paid by the government, to show the foreign media that Ahmadinejad is at all popular. He is not.

  3. Mousavi announced that he will come to the Tuesday protests dressed in the white garb that is traditionally used to bury the dead. In the even that he is killed today, he wants his supporters to bury him right there. This is a brilliant move by Mousavi because it will really put pressure on the government.

  4. People are singling out Ahmadinejad’s main bodyguard who has been reported to wear street clothing, go in the middle of protestors and start tasing people. The bodyguard now has a contract on his life because the protestors want to send a message. Good for them.

There is a photo of a girl kicking police whose bikes were knocked over by protestors. One woman from abroad called into a radio show and begged for the girl to respond, telling the girl that, whatever jewelry and money the woman has in Tehran is set aside for the girl.

Despite all this amazing uprising of the people, there can’t be a revolution unless Ahmadinejad or Khamenei (ideally, both) is assassinated.

As much video as I have seen, it’s still really difficult to watch.

[quote]Tiribulus wrote:
That’s not even considering the millions of Iranians who DID undeniably vote for Ahmedinejad even if he really did lose. Think of the type of people who vote for a guy like that. Are those fanatics just going to declare Allah’s kingdom will have to wait for another day? I don’t know. This is far from simple any way you cut it.

[/quote]

That is an interesting point, but you have to remember that Ahmadinejad’s popularity with the working class is due in LARGE part to some of the social welfare programs he has actually set up, one of which was universal health care. He is not popular because he’s a “hard liner” and more conservative. Some people (unfortunately) see him in a positive light because he has done things for the poor, of which there are many in Iran.

There are reports that somewhere outside of Qom boxes of original paper ballots have been found, charred. Supposedly there were millions of votes and that might account for the discrepancy in ballot numbers tallied.

Those mother fuckers.

[quote]Tiribulus wrote:
My concern with Iran is their potential forced exportation of their way of life. [/quote]

So…you’re willing to gloss over thousands of petro-dollar Wahabi mosques built around the world, and get more concerned about the “potential” of Iran.

Please make sense. The US forcefully exports its way of life.

As barbaric as it is, it is not even remotely comparable to Saudi Arabia.

Because, obviously, that’s a reasonable scenario.

A country surrounded by US military bases on just about every front is a threat to you?

And I suppose Nicaragua was a threat in the Reagan era too?

You’re many many many many many times more a threat to them than they are to you.

Believe it or not, different societies have different conceptions of what constitutes a “free society”.

And Iranians, in their majority, want state censorship, strong drug legislation and discrimination against homosexuals. Just like the Chinese. Just like the Poles. Just like the Americans. It’s then just a matter of degrees.

Iran isn’t the US. When their president farts, it doesn’t affect the world. So I don’t see how anything that happens over there can be better or worse for Americans. I’d understand if we were talking about oil or gas companies, but I suppose the “us” refers to the famous “We the people”.

As for Iranians themselves, Moussavi would be a huge improvement. Yes, THAT much better than the current state of affairs. He promised to fight for more civil liberties.

That, and he’s not advocating more repression, censorship. etc.

Actually, rich folks (whose liberties are ensured regardless of whose in power) like to think he may be an agent of Khomeini put there to drain votes away from more viable reformists.

Hence, his popularity.

If you weren’t so ego-centered, you might actually have understood the argument.

Good.

Because she actually died fighting for a cause. As cynical as you might be, you just can’t ignore that.

But I’m afraid her fate will put off more people than it will inspire.

[quote]Gkhan wrote:
orion wrote:
Their threats get shriller and shriller but if they actually put tanks on the street how sure can they be that those young soldiers will obey orders?

To paraphrase you from another thread about the Nazis and the Holocaust:

“They are professional soldiers acting professionally.”

The Republican Guard are the SS of the Iranian Regime.[/quote]

More like the SA.

[quote]Jeff R wrote:

bota,

You bore me.

Please show me some proof that ANY Iraqi was forced, coerced, or even prompted to vote for “Washington’s choice.”

In order for that to be true, the February 2009 election would have had to have been Bush’s and obama’s choice.

Not likely.

How about the HUNDREDS of others voted in during, say, February, 2009?

Does your little mind really believe that Washington bought/coerced all of those people?

In your nat-like mind, do you seriously believe that the elections in iran were MORE democratic that Iraq’s elections?

Nope, you’ve always been on the wrong side of history.

It’s rather amusing watching you flail against an Iraqi democracy.

Within the last 48 hours, IRAQ CLAIMED TOTAL VICTORY. The U.S. has given over security to all the major cities.

Even newsweek led off with “The Iraq War One.”

In summary, Jeff R >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>bota.[/quote]

Well, you are right.

Iraq is a democracy just like the US.

You can vote for the people the establishments lets you vote for, even if their approval rate is -20%.

I noticed that you did not address any other point, especially not why it preferable to have democracies in that region but for my mental hygiene it is probably better that way.

[quote]PonceDeLeon wrote:

  1. The government has brought police from Arab countries, namely Lebanon and Palestine, where people feel indebted to Iran’s government for past support. The Iranian police have remained mostly non-violent (minus some religious Basiji police), and the government fears the police/military joining the people. This happened during the '79 revolution so the government of Iran fears it now.

  2. The government is dumping boiling water from helicopters and acid on protestors.

  3. A banking official in Iran called in to one of the foreign broadcast Iranian radio/tv shows (the Canadian and Los Angeles-broadcast shows) to say that some of the clerics have withdrawn their accounts, shaved their beards and are trying to flee the country. This COULD be a rumor, but it’s extremely plausible.

The official also said that, very soon, the banks may decide unilaterally to freeze all government assets and possibly wire them to Iranians abroad.

This also happened during the '79 revolution.

  1. Tuesday (today) is the 20th year anniversary of the day that Khamenei took power by way of FRAUD. Khomeini has elected Montazeri, who was a populist and very modern cleric. Khamenei had Montazeri kidnapped, jailed and probably tortured. Montazeri has now publicly supported Mousavi, the reformist candidate.

Mousavi is calling for massive protests today and they could be the worst protests thus far.

  1. Some of the Iranian police (called “ko-mi-te”) have laid down their weapons and joined the protestors.

  2. The Ahmadinejad supporters are mostly paid out-of-towners, paid by the government, to show the foreign media that Ahmadinejad is at all popular. He is not.

  3. Mousavi announced that he will come to the Tuesday protests dressed in the white garb that is traditionally used to bury the dead. In the even that he is killed today, he wants his supporters to bury him right there. This is a brilliant move by Mousavi because it will really put pressure on the government.

  4. People are singling out Ahmadinejad’s main bodyguard who has been reported to wear street clothing, go in the middle of protestors and start tasing people. The bodyguard now has a contract on his life because the protestors want to send a message. Good for them.

There is a photo of a girl kicking police whose bikes were knocked over by protestors. One woman from abroad called into a radio show and begged for the girl to respond, telling the girl that, whatever jewelry and money the woman has in Tehran is set aside for the girl.

Despite all this amazing uprising of the people, there can’t be a revolution unless Ahmadinejad or Khamenei (ideally, both) is assassinated.

As much video as I have seen, it’s still really difficult to watch.[/quote]

And your Dad went there? If you ever see him again, take away his travel visa.

I knew that country was a snake pit.

[quote]Headhunter wrote:
Wouldn’t now be an ideal time to bomb them? I mean, if you’re in charge in Israel, maybe now bombing would cause their collapse. Sure, it might unite them, so you’d have to rain hell fire down on them but, if you’re going to do a job, do it right the first time (y’know, like Iraq '91).[/quote]

HELLS NO!!!

seriously…

[quote]PonceDeLeon wrote:
Gambit_Lost wrote:
Aragorn wrote:
Gambit_Lost wrote:

Neocons want action because neocons want to use American force to eliminate the nukes. They believe that if the hardliners are able to take over, or if they do crush the opposition, our hand will be forced. What makes you think the neocons are wrong?

I’ll get to the rest of your post later when I have more time and the inclination to try and articulate my thoughts in detail. For now, we’ll just say I don’t give a shit about the nukes. Well, I do, but I wasn’t even thinking about the nukes when I wrote my posts in this thread. I do NOT want to use force if it can be avoided. Normalizing relations would be my ideal, but that requires people in power other than those currently holding the reins, and a public that favors increased freedoms and a more friendly relationship to the US.

And “normal” as in not so openly hostile, not as in best friend type relations.

Nukes really should be the first thing you think of in terms of Iran and our interests with Iran. All actions should be taken with their ramifications towards Iran’s nuclear capacities/program. This should be the very first thing that goes through your mind when you think about this type of stuff.

How do you think we should work towards normalization? How do you think Obama giving a “berlin wall” speech will push towards normalization?!? To my mind, your ends are completely at odds with your means.

Lay off the Tom Clancy, boss.

I normally have this forum turned off but wanted to see if there was a discussion on the situation abroad, because:

A) I am Iranian

B) All my relatives are there (my immediate family is here with me, in CA)

C) We get Iranian satellite so we see what’s televised in Iran, but we also see radio/TV shows broadcast from Canada and US, intended for Iranians in Iran as well as abroad

D) My father is over there right now. Went on business a month ago, actually went to the polls and voted for Mousavi, and is now safely on a ranch in the middle of nowhere. Was holed up in an apartment until a few days ago in Esfahan to avoid running into police.

What blows my mind is that this will be the first revolution that is broadcasted by our most viral media outlets: Twitter, Facebook, YouTube, etc. We are seeing live footage before media sources can actually report on it.

Some things that I have not yet heard from foreign media, but that I know to be true:

  1. The government has brought police from Arab countries, namely Lebanon and Palestine, where people feel indebted to Iran’s government for past support. The Iranian police have remained mostly non-violent (minus some religious Basiji police), and the government fears the police/military joining the people. This happened during the '79 revolution so the government of Iran fears it now.

Also, some neighbors of our relatives in Tehran were raided by police for giving sanctuary to some protestors. The police raided the home, arrested and beat people, smashed up cars and were distinctly speaking Arabic.

  1. The government is dumping boiling water from helicopters and acid on protestors.

  2. A banking official in Iran called in to one of the foreign broadcast Iranian radio/tv shows (the Canadian and Los Angeles-broadcast shows) to say that some of the clerics have withdrawn their accounts, shaved their beards and are trying to flee the country. This COULD be a rumor, but it’s extremely plausible.

The official also said that, very soon, the banks may decide unilaterally to freeze all government assets and possibly wire them to Iranians abroad.

This also happened during the '79 revolution.

  1. Tuesday (today) is the 20th year anniversary of the day that Khamenei took power by way of FRAUD. Khomeini has elected Montazeri, who was a populist and very modern cleric. Khamenei had Montazeri kidnapped, jailed and probably tortured. Montazeri has now publicly supported Mousavi, the reformist candidate.

Mousavi is calling for massive protests today and they could be the worst protests thus far.

  1. Some of the Iranian police (called “ko-mi-te”) have laid down their weapons and joined the protestors.

  2. The Ahmadinejad supporters are mostly paid out-of-towners, paid by the government, to show the foreign media that Ahmadinejad is at all popular. He is not.

  3. Mousavi announced that he will come to the Tuesday protests dressed in the white garb that is traditionally used to bury the dead. In the even that he is killed today, he wants his supporters to bury him right there. This is a brilliant move by Mousavi because it will really put pressure on the government.

  4. People are singling out Ahmadinejad’s main bodyguard who has been reported to wear street clothing, go in the middle of protestors and start tasing people. The bodyguard now has a contract on his life because the protestors want to send a message. Good for them.

There is a photo of a girl kicking police whose bikes were knocked over by protestors. One woman from abroad called into a radio show and begged for the girl to respond, telling the girl that, whatever jewelry and money the woman has in Tehran is set aside for the girl.

Despite all this amazing uprising of the people, there can’t be a revolution unless Ahmadinejad or Khamenei (ideally, both) is assassinated.

As much video as I have seen, it’s still really difficult to watch.[/quote]

Thanks for that in depth update Ponce, I hope shit turns out positively for your family and countrymen. Even though there is some tragedy occuring right now, it is truly amazing to see a people who are not so devoid of any spirit that they will still take to the streets and demand what is rightfully thiers.

V

[quote]lixy wrote:
Tiribulus wrote:
My concern with Iran is their potential forced exportation of their way of life.

So…you’re willing to gloss over thousands of petro-dollar Wahabi mosques built around the world, and get more concerned about the “potential” of Iran.
.[/quote]

Can’t you make a post without bashing the US, the West and the US allies?

[quote]PonceDeLeon wrote:
. . . .[/quote]

Ponce, please keep us updated on this situation. My heart goes out the protestors and the people of Iran fighting to better themselves.

[quote]lixy wrote:
But I’m afraid her fate will put off more people than it will inspire.[/quote]

Then why did you post a thread about a female protester killed by Israelis?

Isn’t that the same thing? Or is it only a crime and an inspiration when the oppressors are Jews?

They are calling the woman the Joan of Arc of Iran, so I’m afraid you are wrong once again.

[quote]PonceDeLeon wrote:
Gambit_Lost wrote:
Aragorn wrote:
Gambit_Lost wrote:

Neocons want action because neocons want to use American force to eliminate the nukes. They believe that if the hardliners are able to take over, or if they do crush the opposition, our hand will be forced. What makes you think the neocons are wrong?

I’ll get to the rest of your post later when I have more time and the inclination to try and articulate my thoughts in detail. For now, we’ll just say I don’t give a shit about the nukes. Well, I do, but I wasn’t even thinking about the nukes when I wrote my posts in this thread. I do NOT want to use force if it can be avoided. Normalizing relations would be my ideal, but that requires people in power other than those currently holding the reins, and a public that favors increased freedoms and a more friendly relationship to the US.

And “normal” as in not so openly hostile, not as in best friend type relations.

Nukes really should be the first thing you think of in terms of Iran and our interests with Iran. All actions should be taken with their ramifications towards Iran’s nuclear capacities/program. This should be the very first thing that goes through your mind when you think about this type of stuff.

How do you think we should work towards normalization? How do you think Obama giving a “berlin wall” speech will push towards normalization?!? To my mind, your ends are completely at odds with your means.

Lay off the Tom Clancy, boss.

I normally have this forum turned off but wanted to see if there was a discussion on the situation abroad, because:

A) I am Iranian

B) All my relatives are there (my immediate family is here with me, in CA)

C) We get Iranian satellite so we see what’s televised in Iran, but we also see radio/TV shows broadcast from Canada and US, intended for Iranians in Iran as well as abroad

D) My father is over there right now. Went on business a month ago, actually went to the polls and voted for Mousavi, and is now safely on a ranch in the middle of nowhere. Was holed up in an apartment until a few days ago in Esfahan to avoid running into police.

What blows my mind is that this will be the first revolution that is broadcasted by our most viral media outlets: Twitter, Facebook, YouTube, etc. We are seeing live footage before media sources can actually report on it.

Some things that I have not yet heard from foreign media, but that I know to be true:

  1. The government has brought police from Arab countries, namely Lebanon and Palestine, where people feel indebted to Iran’s government for past support. The Iranian police have remained mostly non-violent (minus some religious Basiji police), and the government fears the police/military joining the people. This happened during the '79 revolution so the government of Iran fears it now.

Also, some neighbors of our relatives in Tehran were raided by police for giving sanctuary to some protestors. The police raided the home, arrested and beat people, smashed up cars and were distinctly speaking Arabic.

  1. The government is dumping boiling water from helicopters and acid on protestors.

  2. A banking official in Iran called in to one of the foreign broadcast Iranian radio/tv shows (the Canadian and Los Angeles-broadcast shows) to say that some of the clerics have withdrawn their accounts, shaved their beards and are trying to flee the country. This COULD be a rumor, but it’s extremely plausible.

The official also said that, very soon, the banks may decide unilaterally to freeze all government assets and possibly wire them to Iranians abroad.

This also happened during the '79 revolution.

  1. Tuesday (today) is the 20th year anniversary of the day that Khamenei took power by way of FRAUD. Khomeini has elected Montazeri, who was a populist and very modern cleric. Khamenei had Montazeri kidnapped, jailed and probably tortured. Montazeri has now publicly supported Mousavi, the reformist candidate.

Mousavi is calling for massive protests today and they could be the worst protests thus far.

  1. Some of the Iranian police (called “ko-mi-te”) have laid down their weapons and joined the protestors.

  2. The Ahmadinejad supporters are mostly paid out-of-towners, paid by the government, to show the foreign media that Ahmadinejad is at all popular. He is not.

  3. Mousavi announced that he will come to the Tuesday protests dressed in the white garb that is traditionally used to bury the dead. In the even that he is killed today, he wants his supporters to bury him right there. This is a brilliant move by Mousavi because it will really put pressure on the government.

  4. People are singling out Ahmadinejad’s main bodyguard who has been reported to wear street clothing, go in the middle of protestors and start tasing people. The bodyguard now has a contract on his life because the protestors want to send a message. Good for them.

There is a photo of a girl kicking police whose bikes were knocked over by protestors. One woman from abroad called into a radio show and begged for the girl to respond, telling the girl that, whatever jewelry and money the woman has in Tehran is set aside for the girl.

Despite all this amazing uprising of the people, there can’t be a revolution unless Ahmadinejad or Khamenei (ideally, both) is assassinated.

As much video as I have seen, it’s still really difficult to watch.[/quote]

I support your relatives and your countrymen’s fight. Having descended from oppressive regimes myself, I am loving that the Iranian people have risen up against tyranny and oppression. It’s time for the militant islamic theocracies to be put on notice that people aren’t going to take their shit and it time they go. I hope to see Ahmenathingy and the ayatollah swinging from a rope.

It is my opinion that people actually do not like being shit on and pushed down…