IMO, people who hope to be back to normal come May are a bit over optimistic. I think June is more realistic, but even that date may get pushed out.
I am hoping the people who think we will be back to normal in May are right.
I don’t understand this. So far, what occurred in China and Italy don’t show the need for this type of reaction.
Check this out lol.
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Have a busy workday ahead so I won’t link to reports and articles, but you can look those up yourself. Lot of info on the threads on here… Buried in the bullshit arguments.
China’s numbers are very much in dispute.
We have been very lenient compared to what China and Italy did in terms of lockdown.
Italy (mostly the northern region which has been fully locked off from the rest of the country for weeks) has a very high infection and death rate and they have been triaging patients with ventilators… Aka deciding who gets the life saving care, and who gets left to die.
Reports from Spain are that they are triaging vents as well, with at least one hospital not giving vents to anyone 65 and older.
NYC is using refrigerated semi trucks to deal with the dead as their morgues are overflowing. And the death rate will continue to grow and won’t peak for another 2 weeks there. We DO NOT want that happening anywhere else in America.
Seattle (where the usa epicenter started out) is dealing “well” so far, in large part because we took social distancing etc far sooner and more seriously than the rest of the country.
Graph showing rates of infection/death/resource usage by state. Texas seems to be better prepared than most: https://covid19.healthdata.org/
That’s the longest I’ve seen. I understand the need to give an expected worst-case date for businesses to plan for, but really this should be reevaluated every 4 weeks at the most IMO. This model shows expected rates based upon current lockdown measures in each state:
Maryland: https://covid19.healthdata.org/
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Not bad. 
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Since it’s directed toward women, but actually geared toward how to deal with men, it would probably work.
We aren’t the brightest bunch, But we Do respond well to cartoons and giggling more often than not.
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Thank you for the link. However the models are only that, projections based on previous trends with no adjustment for change of action.
Texas’ fatality projection is already 17 higher than actual numbers and it also shows no shelter in place being in effect when most of the large cities are under that declaration.
Models are great for projecting maximum outcomes when no change in external mechanisms are expected. These data should be taken with a grain of salt and then verified with real time data.
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Yes models are not reality. But they do give a general picture of the future based upon the input facts and patterns. FWIW, Texas looks to be in relatively good shape compared to many other states. But I agree the output should be interpreted, not taken as fact.
Hopefully the other parts of my post also give some food for thought as to why restrictive measures to combat CV are deemed necessary by healthcare providers and policy makers.
Various articles regarding gender relations in this time popping up.
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I wouldn’t want to be stuck at home with this chick.
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I think the article makes a fair point. I can’t see a situation where on average men end up doing more child care than women.
I imagine you’d have to be very good at dodging swats from a very drab olive colored purse and conversations about why it’s bad enough that people are ill, but it’s even worse for… (insert protected population here).
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I think that is correct.
47 million?!
Got an update on this today:
I received a company-wide email from our CEO this morning announcing the expected workforce reduction “program,” which will consist of furloughs and putting people on part-time status. It’s expected to last from 3-6 months. Getting furloughed would be pretty shitty. I’d rather get laid off because at least then I would (probably) collect severance.
Anyhow, an hour after receiving the email, I had a call from my Director to notify me that I will not be affected. That’s quite a relief. 3 kids, mortgage, etc, and I earn 2/3 of our household income. Fortunately I got the news before I even really had time to worry about it. Further, I was told that I’m going to be shared by two departments (my current and former), so if we go through another round of this I will have some demonstrated versatility to offer.
Some happy news amidst all this chaos, at least for today.
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At the beginning of the month I got a new job, in which I make 3 times what I was making at December 2018.I was on cloud 9
The whole COVID situation really was a slap in the face, and now I feel really insecure about my financial stability
I’m pretty fortunate, our contracts with clients last the next 4 years and the funding is secure. The only downside is if my industry is no longer considered essential. The downside would be I have to lay everyone off. I’d still have a job, but the moment my industry can work again, I’d be fucked for manpower.
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Ha ha, I dunno. I imagine we’re going to see a lot of stay-at-home dads popping up too. I don’t expect any sort of return to anything like what we’ve had in the past at all, but who knows?
I do however think it will be interesting to see how this event shapes our future. I just hope it is all for the better. I’m optimistic right now. If it turns really shitty, well, at least it will be interesting for future fans of history like me.
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At 4:30 today the Governor announced that the State of Maine will go into lockdown on Thursday, with what seemed to be fairly significant force of law behind the enforcement. I suppose we will see in the coming days and weeks if any kind of lockdown arrests get made.
It seemed like LEO’s have a lot of leeway now, although I can’t say right now what the boundaries are. Knowing as many as I do at the local and local-federal level, I can only imagine they’re going to use their best judgement.
I’ve already been following this protocol for two weeks, so no big change for me. This will last through the month of April.
I’m all on board with this, but my friend who works at Bath Iron Works is telling me that it is business as usual there. I can’t say if he’s exaggerating or not, but if so, this is concerning to me. It is a large ongoing congregation in confined spaces. It is a very large shipyard on the Maine coast that produces ships for the Navy.
This seems highly incongruous with what the rest of our state is doing effective Thursday.
Right now my biggest personal problem is resisting the urge to break quarantine for obvious reasons. Grandpa had to deal with the Nazis.
I’ve got this.
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