[quote]SexMachine wrote:
[quote]Varqanir wrote:
So Loppar, would you say that the title of this thread is an accurate representation of current affairs?
Are you, as a Frenchman, personally alarmed at Obama’s Iranian capitulation?
Or is it merely worthy of a shrug and a “tant pis”?
[/quote]
A Frenchman? I would’ve picked him as a Croatian.
[/quote]
Croatian is correct. Ethnic German, but Croatian nevertheless.
Well, the Iran situation is complex. I’ve had the opportunity/luck(?) to live in a lot a places for different periods of time, including Jersey and Teheran so I’m a bit biased on the issue.
Currently I’m very pissed about the US policy in Ukraine, aka “please stop the invas…I mean incursion or we’ll continue to acquiesce with mild verbal complaints”. Middle East is a clusterfuck, and American naivete there is frustrating, regardless of the administration.
Laugh all you want about the French but their foreign policy is consistent. With only a shadow of their “great power” status and a background in colonial brutality, they’ve managed to hold some influence in sub-Saharan Africa meddling constantly in internal affairs of other countries without gaining the opprobrium. That pasty socialist Hollande was practically mobbed by French flag waving Malians. Why? Because they know who to back, and they usually stick to their choice.
When was the last time something like that happened to an US president abroad? Clinton in Albania?
Obama’s foreign policy approach was…bizzare. I think the administration simply got lost in different multi-faceted conflicts, which is inexcusable.
“We are backing the Free Syrian Army. What? These guys aren’t the good guys? Al what? Who are these Hezb something guys? Aren’t they with Iran. Which means that they’re bad. But I don’t like Netanyahu, and he says Hezbollah is worse the Al something sunni militia?” And so on.
Also, being nominally allied with two medieval theocracies that are waging the war against you doesn’t help.
When Jon Stewart can rip your ME foreign policy in two minutes you’ve got a problem.
Iran is actually a natural US ally in the Middle East, which was shown in the current ad hoc alliance in Iraq. Yes, they are a brutal dictatorship that has no qualms about killing their own people. Yes, they are an enemy of Israel. However, they behave just like the USSR did, even the oppressive atmosphere is very similar. However, the guys running are rational and interested in their self preservation. USSR collapsed one December with a whimper. The “Evil Empire” didn’t launch their nukes in one last gambit. They knew the game was up.
Even Assad the mass murder constantly gasses his own people, but does not dare to attack Israel, for all his antisemitic rhetoric. Why? Because he knows he would be dead soon. And he is still alive, something many people would’t bet on three years ago. Which means that he’s got a developed sense of self preservation, like most dictators. Just like the Iranians. So no, these guys are not going to bomb anyone.
Back to the original question - I don’t think Obama capitulated. Iran did. Sure, the Iranians managed to wriggle out some last-minute concessions from tired and distracted Kerry, but it’s a defeat for them nevertheless. Where is Ahmadinejad’s claim now that they’ll never renounce nuclear weapon development?
The whole Iranian political apparatus had to get behind the deal to sell it to the conservatives. And most of the anti-american rants is part of the regular political discourse. Like Kruschev’s “we will bury you” and “glory to the people, death to capitalism”.
Iranians are the most pro-American of all islamic countries, I’ve been into excluding maybe Lebanese and to some degree Albanians.
You want to get really, really frigthened? Cross the Hormuz from Iran, vist Qatar, Bahrain and Saudi Arabia. Even UAE. Now these people are scary. Vain, ignorant, IRRATIONAL and crazy. Not necessarily insane crazy, but medieval crazy.
And they have A LOT of money and are using it further their interests. And the most frightening thing is that the US is listening to them, in Yemen for example. So you are waging a war with your enemy against his enemies?
The same thing with Pakistan in Afghanistan, where ISI personnel were planning attacks against ISAF troops using their taliban proxies in the same building where the Pakistani government officials were receiving the US Secretary of State to discuss “fighting the taliban”.
Rant over.