Chemical Weapons Were Found in Iraq

[quote]angry chicken wrote:

[quote]Bismark wrote:

[quote]angry chicken wrote:

Looks like all of the Left wing Democrats who have been constantly shouting, “we went to war for NO REASON, cuz they didn’t find the WMD’s” can shut the fuck up now.

Turns out they found THOUSANDS of chemical weapons warheads.

Perhaps Colin Powell can show his face again…

The turd in the punch bowl is that ISIS now controls most of the territory where the stockpile of weapons was found. I heard on the radio this morning that there is security footage of ISIS militants over running a warehouse that had some of these weapons. Ooooops…

Two questions:

  1. Why the fuck did the Pentagon keep this a secret when we openly declared this was the REASON for going to war?

  2. Why the fuck are they telling us about it now?

[/quote]

From the article, “The United States had gone to war declaring it must destroy an ACTIVE weapons of mass destruction program. Instead, American troops gradually found and ultimately suffered from the remnants of LONG-ABANDONED programs, built in CLOSE COLLABORATION with the West.” (Capitalization added for emphasis)
[/quote]I’m pretty sure that the average American would have been pretty happy to have found a bunch of chemical warheads - regardless of how old they were. I know I would have hated Bush a little less if that were to have been made public. At least I would have felt as if they didn’t LIE about it. They may not have gotten it “right”, but at least it would have been better than a big fat nothing.[quote]

Even if Iraq had an active chemical weapons program, this would not be a sufficient reason to use military force. The Iraq war was preventative, as opposed to preemptive. One is not equipped to discuss the merits of the war if they do not know the difference between the two. Even if we set the discussion of what constitutes a “just war”, the fact of that matter is that Iraq was neither necessary nor prudent. Foreign policy should be based on Realpolitik, not normative idealism. The decision to invade Iraq is arguably the moment that the war in Afghanistan was lost. You know, the war that actually had something to do with al-Qa’ida.

[/quote]I agree that we “should” have just stuck to Afghanistan. But we didn’t. Hindsight 20 fucking 20.[quote]

I have written ad nauseum that the term “weapons of mass destruction” is a emotive misnomer that lacks analytical rigor. Weapons of mass destruction was frequently employed securitizing speech acts post-9/11 to justify the proliferation of the state security apparatus and the invasion of Iraq.

Unconventional munitions are more accurately described as chemical, biological, nuclear, or radiological(CBRN) weapons. Chemical weapons are not particularly effective weapons. They are highly dependent of geographical and weather conditions, are costly to produce, hazardous to store, and have profound political and security repercussions as their unconventional nature is antithetical to several nearly universal international norms. This is not an uncommonly held position in the intelligence and defense communities.

The “turd in the punch bowl” is that a foreign terrorist organization in the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham was facilitated by the destabilizing effect of American adventurism in Iraq. Who cares if they possess antiquated and ineffectual chemical weapons besides ignorant Joe Citizen?

[/quote]Well, I care. Our border is so porous and our intelligence/security agencies are so weak under this pathetic POTUS I feel that we ARE vulnerable to an attack on American soil. Imagine the pandemonium if the bad guys actually successfully used chemical weapons here… Regardless of how “effective” you say they are, it’s still a weapon of terror. Look at how our lifestyle has changed over the last ten years as a result of box cutters and a few airline tickets… Life would seriously start to suck if they actually used chemical weapons.[quote]

They already possess a prodigious quantity of conventional weapons, which have killed and will continue to kill exponentially more people than the Iraqi chemical phantasms could ever hope to do.

Do you honestly believe that American and international security would not be better served if the Iraq war genie could be put back in the bottle? [/quote]

Do you think the world would be better off if the Hitler genie could be put back in the bottle? How about the Viet Nam genie? While we’re at it, can we give frogs wings so that they don’t bump their ass every time they jump?

Instead of pointing fingers and playing the blame game, how about talking about what to do NOW? Not that this president has the balls to ANYTHING remotely correct. But it is a discussion “worth” having.[/quote]

He’s not pointing fingers and playing the blame game. He’s evaluating the reasons for going to war at the time that we actually went to war, with the results we have achieved after said action. He’s claiming we made a mistake, saying why we made a mistake, evaluating how we made such a mistake, and hopefully using this analysis to avoid future mistakes.

Posting this article as if it’s somehow a legitimate, posthumous justification of a failed war is nothing more than an inversion of the blame game, AC, and you know it.

Without an evaluation of our past courses of action and the end results thereof, we will always be finding ourselves in future situations in which we are saying “fuck playing the blame game, we need to figure out how to address the problem NOW.”

Understanding our previous mistakes IS how we fix the problem now. The shithole that Iraq currently represents is not a very far departure from what Vietnam looked like when we left, what parts of Korea looked like when we pulled out, and quite frankly, what parts of Iraq looked like when we pulled out in 1991.

What do you think we study history for, because the stories are so good?

[quote]jjackkrash wrote:

[quote]Mufasa wrote:
I will ask this Push: the Idealism that has fueled the failures in the Middle East…

Is it the idea that somehow some semblance of “American Democracy” was going to fuel a New Day in the Middle East…and that somehow thousands of years of hatred between groups of Tribal Minded people were suddenly going to disappear as they all held hands and sang “We Are the World” in the streets of Bagdad?

…or were you thinking something else?

Mufasa[/quote]

The ideals fueling the idealism driving Iraq policy pre and post-9/11 are outlined by the policy documents and statements of principles promulgated by the Project for a New American Century.

[/quote]

The “democracy project” is not exclusively a “neoconservative” ideology. It spans both parties and has been the main foreign policy driver of the left and the right for decades. Pre-LBJ US foreign policy was grounded in realism - specifically the Truman Doctrine of “containment”. Reagan shifted the focus to “roll back”. However he(Reagan) replaced realism for idealism - specifically, democracy as the force to roll back Communism. This worked in Central and Eastern Europe, however the mistake foreign policists made was believing that it had universal application.

The idealism of “democracy building” was not and is not confined to the “neoconservative” camp however. The Democratic Party embraced this idealism with equal fervour. For every “neoconservative” think tank advocating democracy building I can point to a “liberal” think tank espousing the same ideology. The “neocons” get far more attention however due to their advocacy of hard power in furtherance of their objectives. The left pursue the same objectives but through soft power - specifically, through NGOs and “education” and promoting “human rights”. The objectives are the same; only the means are different.

With the “neocons” you get realism as the means and idealism as the ends.

With the Democrats you get idealism as the means and the ends.

One of the more influential Democratic think tank is The Center for a New American Security:

It follows in the tradition of the soft power democracy building idealism of the 90’s exemplified by Madeleine Albright. There are literally hundreds of such think tanks and as per their soft power strategy they’re also connected to a plethora of supposedly Non-Governmental Organisations. Many of these NGOs’ funding can be traced back to the public treasury - ie, they’re not “NGOs” but rather front groups for the Democratic Party’s foreign policy hacks. They(Dem foreign policists) also use every conceivable foreign aid and development program as soft power “democracy building” tools. Most people in the west do not see these efforts as political because they’re under the banner of “universal human rights”. However, many in the third world (rightly) see them for what they are: a European, or more specifically an Anglo-American power grab.

[quote]pushharder wrote:
OK, Bistro, I’m bored right now impatiently waiting the Seminoles to play Notre Dame tomorrow night so I will entertain your post for a bit.

No. In fact, you and your puphood have absolutely nothing to do with my expertness or relative lack thereof.

However, my age does allow me some insight you’ll never have if only because I was an adult at the time of the Gulf/Iraq War and don’t have to rely strictly on books and the filtered teaching of progressivist professors. While I was experiencing those wars in real time you were swimming around in your daddy’s nutsack with nary a care in the world.

Savvy?

[quote]

I’ll take that as an indication that you are not only unwilling to have a civil discussion, but that you’re intellectually unequipped to do so. Your cognitive biase prevent you from even considering the position that the Iraq War was the most egregious American foreign policy failure since Vietnam. [/quote]

Here on PWI I’ve explained on many occasions the various reasons for the Iraq War and not just babbled on about WMD’s or their relative lack thereof. Saddam did a whole host of things to provoke both the first (Gulf) and second (Iraq) phases of what fundamentally was one (1) war. WMD’s were not necessary to justify Phase II.

If you’re not aware of all those reasons I’ll take that as an indication that you are intellectually unequipped to participate in this thread despite all the money your pa handed over to the university you attended.

If you won’t consider learning what the other reasons were I’ll take that as evidence of your cognitive bias (notice the correct spelling) against Truth, not to mention Justice and the American Way.

By the way, the Vietnam War foreign policy failure was only – ONLY – the result of political numbskulls. The failures in the Iraq War were not comparable. Egregious backstabbing and downright malignant intrigue powered the Vietnam failures. Unwarranted idealism powered those in Iraq.[/quote]

If Saddam’s crimes justify invasion, why do they only justify invasion in his case? Why aren’t you calling for the invasion and overthrow of ALL tyrants the world over? Why aren’t you demanding a full-scale invasion of Sudan? Or any one of several other rogue African nations?

What justification for invading Iraq is not applicable to other countries whose invasion and overthrow you have NOT called for?

[quote]Mufasa wrote:

[quote]pushharder wrote:

[quote]Mufasa wrote:
JB and Others:

I sure hope that people are not naive enough to think that it’s our Arab “friends” in the Middle East who watch our backs.

(…and no…I don’t believe that the President thinks that either…)

Mufasa[/quote]

You’re faith is strong. Extraordinarily strong. You definitely could be classified as devout.
[/quote]

Not really, Push…

I just don’t (and never will) follow the same narrative that you, SM and many other Conservatives do when it comes to the President.

On this point, we will continue to agree to disagree…and it’s all good, my Friend…

Mufasa
[/quote]

I’d ask that you don’t lump “conservatives” in together. I’m sure push doesn’t subscribe to every position I have on Obama and vice versa.

[quote]theuofh wrote:

[quote]countingbeans wrote:
And “Well shit, turns out this weapons program was abandoned, and it wasn’t the particular threat our intelligence suggested. AT least we prevented any programs that might be currently running” is infinitely better than “well shit.”[/quote]

This is the Catch-22 right here, and the worst case but improbable outcome is generally weighed as it presents the most risk.

The problem comes when you go all in to prevent this worst-case/“well shit” outcome and it leads to bigger problems down the road, i.e. blowback. [/quote]

You, like Battle Caliber™ have completely ignored my point to play partisan “I hate Bush games.”

News flash, I hate Bush too, always have. I thought Iraq was a piss poor move, and still do.

Carry on…

[quote]countingbeans wrote:

[quote]theuofh wrote:

[quote]countingbeans wrote:
And “Well shit, turns out this weapons program was abandoned, and it wasn’t the particular threat our intelligence suggested. AT least we prevented any programs that might be currently running” is infinitely better than “well shit.”[/quote]

This is the Catch-22 right here, and the worst case but improbable outcome is generally weighed as it presents the most risk.

The problem comes when you go all in to prevent this worst-case/“well shit” outcome and it leads to bigger problems down the road, i.e. blowback. [/quote]

You, like Battle Caliber™ have completely ignored my point to play partisan “I hate Bush games.”

News flash, I hate Bush too, always have. I thought Iraq was a piss poor move, and still do.

Carry on…

[/quote]

No one is expressing hatred toward former President Bush. I merely disagree that finding a small number of derelict chemical weapons in Iraq (which has been a well known open source fact for years) somehow makes the Iraq War more palatable. I also disagree that an active chemical weapons program would have justified or made an invasion prudent.

[quote]Chushin wrote:

[quote]Bismark wrote:

[quote]usmccds423 wrote:
Chemical weapons aren’t WMDs? WTF is a WMD then?[/quote]

I posted this on the first page,

"I have written ad nauseum that the term “weapons of mass destruction” is a emotive misnomer that lacks analytical rigor. Weapons of mass destruction was frequently employed in securitizing speech acts post-9/11 to justify the proliferation of the state security apparatus and the invasion of Iraq.

Unconventional munitions are more accurately described as chemical, biological, nuclear, or radiological(CBRN) weapons. Chemical weapons are not particularly effective weapons. They are highly dependent of geographical and weather conditions, are costly to produce, hazardous to store, and have profound political and security repercussions as their unconventional nature is antithetical to several nearly universal international norms. This is not an uncommonly held position in the intelligence and defense communities. "[/quote]

Why you talk so funny?
[/quote]

Why you no contribute to discussion?

[quote]SexMachine wrote:

The “democracy project” is not exclusively a “neoconservative” ideology. It spans both parties and has been the main foreign policy driver of the left and the right for decades. Pre-LBJ US foreign policy was grounded in realism - specifically the Truman Doctrine of “containment”. Reagan shifted the focus to “roll back”. However he(Reagan) replaced realism for idealism - specifically, democracy as the force to roll back Communism. This worked in Central and Eastern Europe, however the mistake foreign policists made was believing that it had universal application.

The idealism of “democracy building” was not and is not confined to the “neoconservative” camp however. The Democratic Party embraced this idealism with equal fervour. For every “neoconservative” think tank advocating democracy building I can point to a “liberal” think tank espousing the same ideology. The “neocons” get far more attention however due to their advocacy of hard power in furtherance of their objectives. The left pursue the same objectives but through soft power - specifically, through NGOs and “education” and promoting “human rights”. The objectives are the same; only the means are different.

With the “neocons” you get realism as the means and idealism as the ends.

With the Democrats you get idealism as the means and the ends.

One of the more influential Democratic think tank is The Center for a New American Security:

It follows in the tradition of the soft power democracy building idealism of the 90’s exemplified by Madeleine Albright. There are literally hundreds of such think tanks and as per their soft power strategy they’re also connected to a plethora of supposedly Non-Governmental Organisations. Many of these NGOs’ funding can be traced back to the public treasury - ie, they’re not “NGOs” but rather front groups for the Democratic Party’s foreign policy hacks. They(Dem foreign policists) also use every conceivable foreign aid and development program as soft power “democracy building” tools. Most people in the west do not see these efforts as political because they’re under the banner of “universal human rights”. However, many in the third world (rightly) see them for what they are: a European, or more specifically an Anglo-American power grab.

[/quote]

The intellectual roots of the “democracy project”, as you call it, can be traced back to Immanuel Kant’s Perpetual Peace. The idea is that representative governments are more pacific in their relations with one another. This is known as the democratic peace theory.

[quote]pushharder wrote:
my age does allow me some insight you’ll never have if only because I was an adult at the time of the Gulf/Iraq War and don’t have to rely strictly on books and the filtered teaching of progressivist professors. While I was experiencing those wars in real time you were swimming around in your daddy’s nutsack with nary a care in the world.
[/quote]

Yep, every last one of the faculty in my program, and especially those who served in the intelligence and defense communities during the historical period under discussion, could be called a “progressivist” by virtue of being an academic. You experienced the Gulf and Iraq wars in real time? Were you deployed during either of those conflicts? Were you a national security policy maker, or an analyst who informed one? Or did you merely stay informed via print, radio, and television?

[quote]

Here on PWI I’ve explained on many occasions the various reasons for the Iraq War and not just babbled on about WMD’s or their relative lack thereof. Saddam did a whole host of things to provoke both the first (Gulf) and second (Iraq) phases of what fundamentally was one (1) war. WMD’s were not necessary to justify Phase II. [/quote]

Saddam Hussein was a bastard. No one is denying that. Does the U.S. have an obligation to wage war against all bastards? Historically, we have installed and/or supported more than a few of our own bastards. Justification does not equal necessity nor prudence.

[quote]
If you’re not aware of all those reasons I’ll take that as an indication that you are intellectually unequipped to participate in this thread despite all the money your pa handed over to the university you attended. [/quote]

The Bush administration cited five main casus belli for the 2003 invasion of Iraq.

  1. Non-compliance with the cease fire agreement negotiated at the end of the Gulf War.
  2. The 1993 attempted assassination of former President George H.W. Bush in Kuwait.
  3. Iraq’s aggression toward coalition aircraft enforcing the no-fly zones.
  4. Iraq’s support for transnational terrorist organizations, most notably al-Qa’ida.
  5. Iraq’s robust CBRN programs, most notably its intent to become a nuclear weapons state.

Of the casus belli, only 1-3 are valid. However, 4 and 5 were the most important for the justification of the invasion of Iraq, and both were proven to be erroneous.

I primarily financed my undergraduate degree and am wholly financing my graduate education, but thanks for asking.

Biases is the plural of bias. You’ve demonstrated multiple. Please define “Truth, Justice, and the American Way” in the context of this discussion and show that I am antithetical to them.

War, as Clausewitz famously taught, is the continuation of politics by other means. Wars are fought to realign politics in a way that benefits the victor and is detrimental to the loser. Consequently, you cannot cogently separate the military and political dimensions of a war. To argue that Vietnam was a military victory but political defeat is contradictory. American entry into Vietnam was justified by the erroneous application of the Munich analogy. Iraq was also erroneously seen as an existential threat to the security of the United States.

[quote]DBCooper wrote:

[quote]pushharder wrote:
OK, Bistro, I’m bored right now impatiently waiting the Seminoles to play Notre Dame tomorrow night so I will entertain your post for a bit.

No. In fact, you and your puphood have absolutely nothing to do with my expertness or relative lack thereof.

However, my age does allow me some insight you’ll never have if only because I was an adult at the time of the Gulf/Iraq War and don’t have to rely strictly on books and the filtered teaching of progressivist professors. While I was experiencing those wars in real time you were swimming around in your daddy’s nutsack with nary a care in the world.

Savvy?

[quote]

I’ll take that as an indication that you are not only unwilling to have a civil discussion, but that you’re intellectually unequipped to do so. Your cognitive biase prevent you from even considering the position that the Iraq War was the most egregious American foreign policy failure since Vietnam. [/quote]

Here on PWI I’ve explained on many occasions the various reasons for the Iraq War and not just babbled on about WMD’s or their relative lack thereof. Saddam did a whole host of things to provoke both the first (Gulf) and second (Iraq) phases of what fundamentally was one (1) war. WMD’s were not necessary to justify Phase II.

If you’re not aware of all those reasons I’ll take that as an indication that you are intellectually unequipped to participate in this thread despite all the money your pa handed over to the university you attended.

If you won’t consider learning what the other reasons were I’ll take that as evidence of your cognitive bias (notice the correct spelling) against Truth, not to mention Justice and the American Way.

By the way, the Vietnam War foreign policy failure was only – ONLY – the result of political numbskulls. The failures in the Iraq War were not comparable. Egregious backstabbing and downright malignant intrigue powered the Vietnam failures. Unwarranted idealism powered those in Iraq.[/quote]

If Saddam’s crimes justify invasion, why do they only justify invasion in his case? Why aren’t you calling for the invasion and overthrow of ALL tyrants the world over? Why aren’t you demanding a full-scale invasion of Sudan? Or any one of several other rogue African nations?

What justification for invading Iraq is not applicable to other countries whose invasion and overthrow you have NOT called for? [/quote]

Whether he realizes it or not, Push views international relations through a normative lens. He is concerned with questions of “what ought to be” as opposed to positivist questions of “what is”. Morality removes the restrictions from political action and leads to folly. Realpolitik tempers policy.

[quote]pushharder wrote:

Then realpolitik says Iraq had to be repulsed in 1991 and…10 years later. To do otherwise would have been folly. [/quote]

Realpolitik (don’t forget that nouns in German are capitalized) refers to politics or diplomacy based primarily on power and on practical and material factors and considerations, rather than ideological notions or moralistic or ethical premises. International politics is a realm decidedly ruled by consequentialism.

The Gulf War is easily vindicated. No one is debating that, so I’m unsure why you continue to write as if it’s a point of contention.

The Iraq War, however, cost the U.S. dearly in blood and treasure. Nearly 5,000 American Soldiers, Marines, Airmen, and Sailors have been killed in action and nearly 33,000 wounded, many grievously. Moderate analysis estimates that the war will ultimately cost in excess of $3,000,000,000,000. That’s over three trillion, or three million million dollars.

Then there are the more abstract costs to American grand strategy, which are numerous. The most egregious cost was that the invasion very likely lost the war in Afghanistan. You know, the place that actually had something to do with al-Qa’ida and the September 11th attacks.

How has U.S. power, both latent and material, been enhanced or even maintained by the war?

Would a weak and recalcitrant Iraq that had not been invaded have cost the U.S. so dearly materially, economically, or strategically?

The fact that you point to the violation of international law as a sufficient casus belli for the Iraq War is perplexing given your enmity toward the U.N. The Iraq war could be justified through ideological notions, or through moral or ethical premises, sure. But though calculating, hardheaded analysis? No way. The invasion was neither necessary, nor prudent, as Iraq was not an existential threat to American security or to its vital interests. The war was not preemptive in any sense of the word. In the end, justifications means nothing, only consequences. The road to hell is paved with good intentions.

[quote]Bismark wrote:

…as Iraq was not an existential threat to American security or to its vital interests… [/quote]

American security is indeed related to the economy, probably more so than anything else outside of nuclear war/terrorist attacks, and Iraqi belligerence causing oil prices to become volatile was turning a big knob in a very complicated system.

Agree or disagree?

[quote]theuofh wrote:

[quote]Bismark wrote:

…as Iraq was not an existential threat to American security or to its vital interests… [/quote]

American security is indeed related to the economy, probably more so than anything else outside of nuclear war/terrorist attacks, and Iraqi belligerence causing oil prices to become volatile was turning a big knob in a very complicated system.

Agree or disagree? [/quote]

I don’t disagree that the national economy and national security are highly interdependent. Latent power, which includes a state’s population and wealth, serves as the basis of its material power. Since you bring up economic concerns, let me answer your question through the lens of the cost-benefit principle.

-A firm (in this case, a state) should take an action if, and only if, the extra benefits from taking the action are at least as great as the extra costs.

Were the extra benefits of the Iraq war at least as great as the extra costs?

Fuck no, unless you believe that U.S. economic interests benefited in excess of $3,000,000,000,000 as a result of the invasion. No, that isn’t a typo; moderate analysis estimates that the costs of the war will ultimately exceed three trillion dollars. This doesn’t even include the more abstract costs in terms of lives lost and the damage to American grand strategy.