[quote]
ALDurr wrote:
Wow, now just imagine if all of those predatory pratices weren’t allowed to go on for the last several years. Of course, that would actually be like doing your job and taking care of the majority of the american public instead of just the top 1%. It also wouldn’t allow GWB to look like the great savior of the common man, would it?
It must be great when you can have the solution to problems that were created due to you and your cronies inaction. I guess they were too busy starting wars and keeping gays from getting married to actually do something that would directly benefit the american people.
tedro wrote:
So now the entire mortgage mess is GW’s fault, too?
If you want to place blame on any besides the morons taking out loans they can’t afford, and the morons writing up these loans when they know the lendee is likely to default, blame Alan Greenspan. I’m not a big Greenspan fan, but I’ll still blame the former.[/quote]
Success has many fathers but failure is an orphan…
In this case, there’s plenty of blame to go around.
For starters, you have the people who created CDO obligations. They based their calculation of risk on the historical levels of default prior to CDOs - and apparently didn’t adjust their formulas to account for what a loosening of loan standards would entail. Bankers have a lot of incentive to create and sell new products - they get paid huge bonuses based on driving such deals. And then when the problems become obvious, they can disappear, bonii still in pocket.
From a systemic point, you are always going to have problems when you have complex contracts of adhesion (in this case, mortgages) created by high IQ people, which are marketed to, and also by, low IQ people. The average mortgage broker probably had no idea how many of these products worked - but he knew he was compensated for placing people in those loans. The less scrupulous mortgage brokers made stuff up or gave assurances they did not know to be true.
The banks, who knew they were re-selling the mortgages via the CDOs, became much less interested in verifying repayment ability. Why should they care if the income claimed on the application was solid if the loans were being resold to be packaged as CDOs? Each individual loan was immaterial to the package - unfortunately, that disincentive to the banks to verify has proven very material to the package.
And then there were the individuals. I’ve no doubt that certain unsophisticated people - particularly elderly people whose economic education, such as it was, occurred far before the invention of ARMs - trusted unscrupulous loan officers/mortgage brokers and signed documents they did not understand, and also did not do market checks to see whether they were getting the best possible rate. However, for each of those people, it seems there were many speculators in the market signing up for loans while knowingly misrepresenting their incomes (which the banks would not verify), as well as people who were borrowing extra money on their homes solely for the purpose of living above their means (and many of whom also claimed higher incomes than they actually had).
The problem, from the perspective of “doing something,” is trying to figure out how to hold miscreant parties responsible while helping some of the less fortunate who were bilked. I don’t know that there is a good, broadly applicable solution on that end.
Going forward, perhaps mortgages should be regulated like securities, with a disclosure standard. I would require “plain English” summaries of the contractual terms which must not be materially misleading, either in statements or omissions. Unfortunately, I just don’t believe that the majority of people can read and understand a mortgage contract. I would also recommend a national certification of brokers, similar to the tests required of accountants or stockbrokers.