[quote]Regular Gonzalez wrote:
Powell also ran 10.85 in 2001 at age 18.
Based on their progression I would say that Bolt has the best genetics, followed by Powell and then Gay.
I think that eventually Bolt will hold the records for both the 100 and 200.
It’s scary that he is only 21. At the 2008 olympics Bolt will be 25 and should be reaching the peak of his powers. It’s not inconceivable that he could win gold in the 100, 200 and 400.
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Crazy talk! MJ’s 200m record will stand for 50 years. It’s already been 12 and nobody has come within 3 tenths. All that after it took 17 years to break Mennea’s 9.72.
I don’t think we will see anybody pull a hat trick either. It’s just too hard to effectively train for a 400m and 100m at the same time, especially given the elite talent of today’s athletes. I would actually be very surprised if Bolt continues to run the 400m, given his recent success in the 100m. Wariner won’t be overthrown for a few years either, he’s only 24. He should still be dominating in 2012, and will likely have a WR by then, possibly even this summer.
I will concede that he may be the first one to pull the double in the 100 and 200 since Carl Lewis, but not in 2008. Jamaica may be coming on in the 100, but the US still dominates the 200m. Between Gay, Dix, Spearmon, and Carter (we’ll see who actually goes this weekend), there is a good chance for a 1-2-3 finish. At this point I would actually say Gay has the best chance of winning both.