America Is Falling With the Dollar


http://onlinejournal.com/artman/publish/article_2616.shtml

The American empire is falling with the dollar
By Paul Craig Roberts
Online Journal Guest Writer

Nov 8, 2007, 01:00

The US dollar is still officially the world’s reserve currency, but it cannot purchase the services of Brazilian super model Gisele Bundchen. Gisele required the $30 million she earned during the first half of this year to be paid in euros.

Gisele is not alone in her forecast of the dollar’s fate. The First Post (UK) reports that Jim Rogers, a former partner of billionaire George Soros, is selling his home and all possessions in order to convert all his wealth into Chinese yuan.

Meanwhile, American economists continue to preach that offshoring is good for the US economy and that Bush’s war spending is keeping the economy going. The practitioners of supply and demand have yet to figure out that the dollar’s supply is sinking the dollar’s price and along with it American power.

The macho super patriots who support the Bush regime still haven’t caught on that US superpower status rests on the dollar being the reserve currency, not on a military unable to occupy Baghdad. If the dollar were not the world currency, the US would have to earn enough foreign currencies to pay for its 737 oversees bases, an impossibility considering America’s $800 billion trade deficit.

When the dollar ceases to be the reserve currency, foreigners will cease to finance the US trade and budget deficits, and the American Empire along with its wars will disappear overnight. Perhaps Bush will be able to get a World Bank loan, or maybe one from the “Chavez bank,” to bring the troops home from Iraq and Afghanistan.

Foreign leaders, observing that offshoring and war are accelerating America’s relative economic decline, no longer treat the US with the deference to which Washington is accustomed. Ecuador’s president, Rafael Correa, recently refused Washington’s demand to renew the lease on the Manta air base in Ecuador. He told Washington that the US could have a base in Ecuador if Ecuador could have a military base in the US.

When Venezuelan president Hugo Chavez addressed the UN, he crossed himself as he stood at the podium. Referring to President Bush, Chavez said, “Yesterday the devil came here, and it smells of sulfur still today.” Bush, said Chavez, was standing “right here, talking as if he owned the world.”

In his state of the nation message last year, Russian president Vladimir Putin said that Bush’s blathering about democracy was nothing but a cloak for the pursuit of American self-interests at the expense of other peoples. “We are aware what is going on in the world. Comrade wolf knows whom to eat, and he eats without listening, and he’s clearly not going to listen to anyone.” In May 2007, Putin criticized the neocon regime in Washington for “disrespect for human life” and “claims to global exclusiveness, just as it was in the time of the Third Reich.”

Even America’s British allies regard President Bush as a threat to world peace and the second most dangerous man alive. Bush is edged out in polls by Osama bin Laden, but is regarded as more dangerous than Iran’s demonized president and North Korea’s Kim Jong-il.

President Bush has achieved his dismal world standing despite spending $1.6 billion of hard-pressed Americans’ tax money on public relations between 2003 and 2006.

Clearly, America’s leader and America’s currency are poorly regarded. Is there a solution?

Perhaps the answer lies in those 737 overseas bases. If those bases were brought home and shared among the 50 states, each state would gain 15 new military bases.

Imagine what this would mean: The end of the housing slump. A reduction in the trade deficit. And the end of the war on terror.

Who would dare attack a country with 15 new military bases in every state in addition to the existing ones? Wherever a terrorist turned, he would find himself surrounded by soldiers.

All of the dollars currently spent abroad to support 737 overseas bases would be spent at home. Income for foreigners would become income for Americans, and the trade deficit would shrink.

The impact of the 737 military base payrolls on the US economy would end the housing crisis and bring back the 140,000 highly paid financial services jobs, the loss of which this year has cost the US $42 billion in consumer income. Foreclosures and bankruptcies would plummet.

If this isn’t enough to turn the dollar around, President Bush’s pledge not to appoint an attorney general if Michael Mukasey is not confirmed offers more promise. If the Democrats will defeat Mukasey’s nomination, there are other superfluous cabinet departments that can be closed down in addition to the US Department of Torture and Indefinite Detention.

The American empire is being unwound on the battlefields of Iraq and Afghanistan. The year is two months from being over, but already in 2007, despite the touted “surge,” deaths of US soldiers are the highest of any year of the war.

The Taliban are the ones who are surging. They have taken control of a third district in Western Afghanistan. Turkey and the Kurds are on the verge of turning northern Iraq into a new war zone, another demonstration of American impotence.

Bush’s wars have endangered America’s puppet regimes. Bush’s Pakistani puppet, Musharraf, is fighting for his life. By resorting to “emergency rule” and oppressive measures, Musharraf has intensified his opposition. When Musharraf falls, thanks to Bush, the Islamists will have nukes.

American generals used to say that the wars Bush started in the Middle East would take 10 years to win. On Oct. 31, General John Abizaid, former commander of US forces in the Middle East, put paid to that optimistic forecast. Speaking at Carnegie Mellon University, Gen. Abizaid said it would be 50 years before US troops can leave the Middle East.

There is no possibility of the US remaining in the Middle East for a half century. The dollar and US power are already on their last legs, unbeknownst to Democratic leaders Pelosi and Reid who are preparing yet another blank check for Bush’s latest request for $200 billion in supplementary war funding.

There isn’t any money with which to fund Bush’s lost war. It will have to be borrowed from China.

The Romans brought on their own demise, but it took them centuries. Bush has finished America in a mere seven years.

Even as Gisele throws off the dollar’s hegemony, Brazil, Venezuela, Ecuador, Bolivia, Argentina, Uruguay, Paraguay, and Columbia are declaring independence from the IMF and World Bank, instruments of US financial hegemony, by creating their own development bank, thus bringing to an end US suzerainty over South America.

An empire that has lost its backyard is finished.
Paul Craig Roberts was Assistant Secretary of the Treasury in the Reagan Administration. He is the author of Supply-Side Revolution : An Insider’s Account of Policymaking in Washington; Alienation and the Soviet Economy and Meltdown: Inside the Soviet Economy, and is the co-author with Lawrence M. Stratton of The Tyranny of Good Intentions : How Prosecutors and Bureaucrats Are Trampling the Constitution in the Name of Justice. Click here for Peter Brimelow�??s Forbes Magazine interview with Roberts about the recent epidemic of prosecutorial misconduct.

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I think we’re evolving away from the republic into an administered pseudo-republic, with primarily moneyed people running the show.

The goal of debasing the currency is to cause a constitutional crisis/economic crisis. Its only during such catastrophes that the structure of the society can be radically changed.

[center]The Dollar Crisis

by Llewellyn H. Rockwell, Jr.[/center]

No matter how many warnings have been issued, an economic crisis always takes a country by surprise. The most urgent task is to somehow prevent policymakers from doing evil things to “correct” the crisis. Every form of intervention can only make matters worse. The best policy is to adopt a laissez-faire policy through regulatory cuts, sound money, and eliminating legal restrictions on trade. The liquidation must be allowed to happen on its own to provide a suitable foundation for a future recovery.

How can we help this happen? One way is to make sure that the right books are front and center. We might start by reviewing the great event that still inspires today’s most fallacious countercyclical policies: the Great Depression.

It turns out that Ludwig von Mises was the great prophet of the event, with a series of essays on the nature of the business cycle and the urgency of sound money. After the Depression hit, he urged a free-market policy for the world. These wonderful essays are collected in The Causes of the Economic Crisis. It was a tragedy that it took so long for them to appear in English. What they show is that he, not Keynes, was the person who had it all figured out.

When I speak of a laissez-faire policy, many people’s first reaction is: that’s what Herbert Hoover did! But the truth is quite the opposite. Hoover was actually the first New Dealer. He tried to reflate the economy and attempted ill-fated jobs and spending programs. In fact, FDR’s presidential campaign of 1932 argued that Hoover was a big spender who was driving up the debt and making matters worse through his intervention!

Never heard that before? Have a look at Murray Rothbard’s America’s Great Depression, which remains the best overall account of why the stock market crash happened and what Hoover did to make everything worse. Murray shows that the depression was not a crisis of capitalism but the result of a disastrously loose monetary policy in the 1920s. A special treat of this book is how Rothbard takes you through the theoretical underpinnings of the crisis, and shows precisely how the central bank distorts the structure of production and unbalances the relationship between consumption and investment.

Along the same lines, we need to understand that the Great Depression was hardly the first such crisis. In 1920 there was another, but it was resolved rather quickly because the government stayed out of the way. Moreover, banking panics occurred often in the 19th century, and always because of the same factor: fractional-reserve banking backed by a lender of last resort. Counterfeiting comes to nothing but trouble. Rothbard reviews the whole of this history, complete with an accounting of every crooked banker and every power-mad politician, in A History of Money and Banking in the United States.

How serious do you want to get with your theoretical understanding? Do you find yourself tripped up by inflationists throwing intellectual curveballs? Maybe you should sit down with the great treatise on money and banking in our time: Money, Bank Credit, and Economic Cycles by Jesus Huerta de Soto.

Yes, it is long. Yes, it has apparatus. But the scholarship is wholly necessary for proving his radical thesis that fractional-reserve banking constitutes an intervention in the market economy and is the foundational reason for the business cycle. Through a close examination of microeconomic law and economy, he finds a link to macroeconomic effects. What we do in the micro-sphere echoes in the macro-sphere.

De Soto goes back to Roman law to show that bank deposits are rightly treated like other forms of property subject to the usual standards of fraud. He demonstrates how this standard was widely accepted until a change in outlook in the high Middle Ages, when special interests prevailed on legal regimes to have deposits treated as loans, with disastrous effects. The debate on this subject has been around for many decades, but no one has shed more light on this subject than De Soto. I fully expect that this book will continue to be mandatory reading for any banking scholar for decades ahead.

It is the thesis of L. Albert Hahn, another forgotten anti-Keynesian, that all excess money creates illusions of prosperity. He was once an advocate of Keynesian-style economic management, but he saw the error then wrote this fabulous and passionate attack on the whole theoretical and political apparatus. Mises was a big advocate of this book: The Economics of Illusion.

It doesn’t say good things about our world where people in college read the Keynesians, are taught that they were right about free markets, but meanwhile truly great economists like Hahn are forgotten �?? forgotten so much, in fact, that this book has been out of print for many decades. The Mises Institute has made it available again. Isn’t it time we revise our sense of what ideas deserve study, and what ideas deserve to truly drop down the memory hole?

Hahn was not alone among the great economic thinkers of this age. The New York Times employed one as its top editorialist: Henry Hazlitt. He warned constantly about the dangers of the dollar creation. His first great book against the Marshall Plan foreign aid was Will Dollars Save the World?

Then he turned his fire on the Bretton Woods agreement, and he was shot down for it �?? forced out. But who was right? The agreement broke down because it didn’t allow dollar convertibility for American citizens.

Here you can read his analysis of not only Bretton Woods but the whole inflation issue: What You Should Know about Inflation. Here he lays out the entire issue: what is money, what it does, what government does to money, how the economy responds, what it means for your life, and what to do about it. Hazlitt of course advocated the gold standard.

Since Ron Paul has raised the issue of the gold standard, and is being treated like some kind of visitor from Mars for having mentioned the subject at all, we need to know more about the true American heritage of the gold standard. This is why I’m personally very fired up that the Mises Institute has brought back William Gouge’s Short History of Money and Banking which I first read while working for Ron in his congressional office.

It seems even the Taj Mahal isn’t accepting dollars anymore…

I beg to differ.

The US dollar is still a useful currency.

Hopefully, the next batches will be softer, though.

[quote]pookie wrote:
I beg to differ.

The US dollar is still a useful currency.

Hopefully, the next batches will be softer, though.
[/quote]

Canada better hope the US dollar makes a rebound with the majority of it’s economy relying on US MNCs and subsidiaries.

[quote]texasguy2 wrote:
pookie wrote:
I beg to differ.

The US dollar is still a useful currency.

Hopefully, the next batches will be softer, though.

Canada better hope the US dollar makes a rebound with the majority of it’s economy relying on US MNCs and subsidiaries. [/quote]

Canada here, you can bet your ass we’re hopeful. Our consumer price index has dropped substantially in the past two months. It has to do with the strong CAD and a lot of people cross border/on line shopping. The savings really are terrific; we�??re still getting gauged by Canadian retailers.

Free markets are a double edged sword and global economy has got all of us closely entwined. Forget China, it’s the US economy that is still the heart of global trade. Check out world�??s major indices, there’s a global recession on the way. Time to seriously buckle down. If you’re a long term investor great buying opportunities are about to begin.

TKO

Ps Don’t take it from me though. Check out the Financials getting wrecked, most near 52 week lows. That’s what smart money is buying. Who? Some guy nicknamed the Oracle of Omaha, that’s who.

‘Hint: money flows into most funds after good performance, and goes out when bad performance follows.’

  • John C. Bogle The Little Book of Common Sense

[quote]texasguy2 wrote:
pookie wrote:
I beg to differ.

The US dollar is still a useful currency.

Hopefully, the next batches will be softer, though.

Canada better hope the US dollar makes a rebound with the majority of it’s economy relying on US MNCs and subsidiaries. [/quote]

Wow. You’re just as well informed about Canada as you are about everything else.

Impressive.

[quote]pookie wrote:
texasguy2 wrote:
pookie wrote:
I beg to differ.

The US dollar is still a useful currency.

Hopefully, the next batches will be softer, though.

Canada better hope the US dollar makes a rebound with the majority of it’s economy relying on US MNCs and subsidiaries.

Wow. You’re just as well informed about Canada as you are about everything else.

Impressive.
[/quote]

No problem. Give the next McDonalds you pass a wink for me.