Winning in Iraq!

[quote]vroom wrote:
How do you know what would or would not be acceptable to most Iraqis? Besides, the current situation is unacceptable to most Iraqis, but they are putting up with it because they have no choice.

I find your thinking quite rigid. Obviously, you can’t take all of them at once, nor do they have to end up as regular soldiers by the end of the process.

Perhaps the conscription service period is a good way to identify those with the appropriate attitudes and skills for further movement into a regular forces scenario. I don’t know, but simply thinking of them as recruits into our modern militaries is not helpful at all.

I’m seeing some pretty strong defeatism in your responses.[/quote]

After having been oppressed by a military and security forces that were dominated by Sunnis under Saddam, Kurds and Shias would be reluctant to reinstating the cadres of the military, even if proper vetting is possible. This is the backgorund to my claim of “unacceptable”

I did not presume that the conscripts were going to become professional soldiers, but you need many professionals to manage a conscription system. My estimate was based on a 1 to 10 ratio, which I admit can be questioned.

Even if such a system could be put in place, it could only deal with one year-class at the time. Taking in 18 year olds leave the 19-30 year olds on the street…

[quote]ExNole wrote:

We don’t need to make all of them soldiers either. It could be easier if a good deal of them were doing a WPA type projects. Just give them a job that isn’t shooting us.[/quote]

This is a useful approach, and I would expect that it has been put in place already. Other sensible moves is to source US purchases, food etc., locally when possible to support the development of the local production system. Is always difficult to go form a system of food handouts to local production but this is vital to the economy.

[quote]TQB wrote:
Even if such a system could be put in place, it could only deal with one year-class at the time. Taking in 18 year olds leave the 19-30 year olds on the street…
[/quote]

I find your thinking rigid and perhaps overly academic. Speaking from a business background, sometimes you just have to make things work and fuck what anyone thinks is possible.

Who is talking about 18 year olds? Anybody who doesn’t have a job can be brought in. Fuck, make them all line up in a huge row and do jumping jacks and calesthenics.

Grab 50-100 at a time, some shovels and rakes, and build a road to nowhere. I don’t give a rats ass if it isn’t easy or if it isn’t fun, cheap or as productive it might be. I don’t care if they feel like prisoners.

If they aren’t being lured or otherwise led into the insurgency it’s a win. We are talking about a war situation, these are not people that have to be treated as our own citizens at this point in time.

When the US is gone, the ability to take these tough measures will no longer be available and the place will splinter unless the people develop an ability to cooperate.

[quote]vroom wrote:
TQB wrote:
Even if such a system could be put in place, it could only deal with one year-class at the time. Taking in 18 year olds leave the 19-30 year olds on the street…

I find your thinking rigid and perhaps overly academic. Speaking from a business background, sometimes you just have to make things work and fuck what anyone thinks is possible.

Who is talking about 18 year olds? Anybody who doesn’t have a job can be brought in. Fuck, make them all line up in a huge row and do jumping jacks and calesthenics.

Grab 50-100 at a time, some shovels and rakes, and build a road to nowhere. I don’t give a rats ass if it isn’t easy or if it isn’t fun, cheap or as productive it might be. I don’t care if they feel like prisoners.

If they aren’t being lured or otherwise led into the insurgency it’s a win. We are talking about a war situation, these are not people that have to be treated as our own citizens at this point in time.

When the US is gone, the ability to take these tough measures will no longer be available and the place will splinter unless the people develop an ability to cooperate.[/quote]

The Germans did exactly that in France during the Second World War through the Service de Travail Obligatoire. Best recruitment tool the Resistance ever had…

I think the difference between your thinking and mine is that you are looking for a solution, an end-point. I frankly do not believe it exists, but that does not mean I do not believe in results. Much can be done, but there is no ending with the black hats lying dead (after a suitable confession during their last breath) while the sheriff rides off into the sunset. That’s OK. Life is messy, you try to move to improve things and when you’r done someone else takes over and keeps trying.

I apologise if I sound dismissive. It’s not my intention, but if the target is set too high, the real successes get unnoticed. There are a lot of people of good will out there, doing what they can. We have to give them credit.

[quote]semper_fi wrote:
Well the way I see it is that the insurgents will eventually lose support because they are killing the very people they try to recruit. These insurgents blow up mosques and kill innocent people on a regular basis. Eventually they will lose all support and you cannot fight a guerilla war in an area where you don’t have the people’s support.[/quote]

You would be correct if we were dealing with a simple ‘insurgency’…we are not.

We are dealing with a power struggle that has huge economic repercussions.

He who controls the country controls the oil and thus has all the power.

The Imans are hiding behind religion so that the civilian population will allow them to take control.

Imagine that…religious leaders hiding behind their religion in order to take control of a country. It has happened countless times before and will continue to happen.

[quote]ZEB wrote:
semper_fi wrote:
Well the way I see it is that the insurgents will eventually lose support because they are killing the very people they try to recruit. These insurgents blow up mosques and kill innocent people on a regular basis. Eventually they will lose all support and you cannot fight a guerilla war in an area where you don’t have the people’s support.

I think this is an excellent observation on your part. And at least one reason why they will fall sooner than later.[/quote]

It is too bad that this is a civil war and not an insurgency.

[quote]TQB wrote:
The Germans did exactly that in France during the Second World War through the Service de Travail Obligatoire. Best recruitment tool the Resistance ever had…
[/quote]

Are you seriously trying to draw a parallel to the German invasion of France and the US invasion of Iraq? Are you suggesting that the US is a bloodthirsty and cruel occupier? You can’t fucking be serious.

Look, I’m quite liberal, and was opposed to the reasons for war, but once you are in, you do have to put in the effort to try to leave the place in a state that it won’t collapse.

I don’t care what any numbnuts politician says, if Iraq collapses into civil war, within five years of the west getting out, then the whole goddamn thing was a complete cluster fuck and loss of lives for no reason except to shake a hornets nest and create trouble for the world for decades.

I think it is worth looking pretty damned hard and creatively to find solutions, no matter which side of the democrat vs republican vs libertarian vs independent debate you fall on.

Unlike the clown politicians and their cheerleaders, I do think it is important to discover common ground where it exists and work together or otherwise cooperate to find good results.

If you are sure it is all doomed to failure, perhaps you should let other people brainstorm about solutions instead of pitchin in to piss and moan about how it’s all doomed anyway. We had a really good lead-in to this subtopic and it’s worth exploring.

So, the question in Iraq is, how do you build teamwork? Answer, find a way to put people on a team, on our team, and get them to learn about working together, trusting each other and respecting the needs of each others communities.

If it’s hopeless, as you say, then we should pull out of Iraq yesterday. If it’s not hopeless, then we need to be doing more about this than hoping someone somewhere catches Lucky the fucking Leprechaun and gets their wish for world peace!

[quote]vroom wrote:
TQB wrote:
The Germans did exactly that in France during the Second World War through the Service de Travail Obligatoire. Best recruitment tool the Resistance ever had…

Are you seriously trying to draw a parallel to the German invasion of France and the US invasion of Iraq? Are you suggesting that the US is a bloodthirsty and cruel occupier? You can’t fucking be serious.
[/quote]

No, I think he’s saying that forced labor for much of the population is, shockingly, not a popular thing.

[quote]
Look, I’m quite liberal, and was opposed to the reasons for war, but once you are in, you do have to put in the effort to try to leave the place in a state that it won’t collapse.

I don’t care what any numbnuts politician says, if Iraq collapses into civil war, within five years of the west getting out, then the whole goddamn thing was a complete cluster fuck and loss of lives for no reason except to shake a hornets nest and create trouble for the world for decades.

I think it is worth looking pretty damned hard and creatively to find solutions, no matter which side of the democrat vs republican vs libertarian vs independent debate you fall on.

Unlike the clown politicians and their cheerleaders, I do think it is important to discover common ground where it exists and work together or otherwise cooperate to find good results.

If you are sure it is all doomed to failure, perhaps you should let other people brainstorm about solutions instead of pitchin in to piss and moan about how it’s all doomed anyway. We had a really good lead-in to this subtopic and it’s worth exploring.

So, the question in Iraq is, how do you build teamwork? Answer, find a way to put people on a team, on our team, and get them to learn about working together, trusting each other and respecting the needs of each others communities.

If it’s hopeless, as you say, then we should pull out of Iraq yesterday. If it’s not hopeless, then we need to be doing more about this than hoping someone somewhere catches Lucky the fucking Leprechaun and gets their wish for world peace![/quote]

Absolutely, and good for you for thinking outside the box, but I think the solutions you’re advocating aren’t realistic.

[quote]GDollars37 wrote:
Absolutely, and good for you for thinking outside the box, but I think the solutions you’re advocating aren’t realistic.[/quote]

You may be right. However, let me tell you something else that is unrealistic.

Thinking Iraq will magically stablize is unrealistic…

So, what’s your idea? Don’t have one? Then work on making my crappy idea better or something. Make a contribution man, step up to the plate, give it a shot, risk being wrong and maybe you’ll actually catch Lucky.

[quote]JeffR wrote:
gdol wrote:

The killing of Zarqawi is great news, but body counts mean nothing in a war like this, and can even be indicative of losing more than winning.

Can’t go there with you. Perhaps you read the report intercepted from al qaeda? Don’t worry, I posted it to start this thread.

Killing, choking off finances, storming safehouses, and generally making it harder for the bad guys to work their mischief DOES MEAN something.

Read about Vietnam, Malaya, Algeria, or any other counter-insurgency campaign sometime, instead of dwelling on half-baked World War II analogies. You win by providing security, not by annihilating the enemy, and that is something we have not done.

First of all, in our previous discussion, you flew off the handle and made many unfounded assumptions. I asked you to explain your position further. You then went on a “I’ve read X books and therefore am a expert” tirade. You assumed that I was ignorant of history. You dismissed my points as irrelevant because I didn’t reference your favorites at the local library.

I let it pass. Not because I have any doubt as to my erudition. It trully wasn’t worth my effort to change your mind. Further, I’m uncomfortable “name dropping.” However, since that seems to be the way you define informed, I’ll play a little.

Here’s the source that I think sums up my feelings the best:

www.au.af.mil/au/awc/awcgate/milreview/sepp.pdf

If you take the time to read this, you will find that the Administration, Coalition, and the Iraqi’s have adopted many of it’s precepts.

In summary, the Good Guys are winning.

JeffR

[/quote]

That’s a very good link. Kalev Sepp is a smart guy, former Green Beret, and is now serving, I think, as counter-insurgency adviser to General Casey in Iraq.

BUT - you either haven’t even read the article or are willfully misrepresenting it. About half the things he lists as unsuccessful counter-insurgency practices in the second chart are things we are currently doing in Iraq.

In Vietnam and Afghanistan for example, “Emphasis was on killing and capturing enemy combatants rather than on engaging the population.” Sound familiar?

From the April 26, 2006 Stars and Strips:

U.S. troops entered Mukhisa and the adjacent town of Abu Kharma on Sunday after hearing that the region is home to foreign fighters, members of Abu Musab al-Zarqawi?s group and financiers behind roadside bomb and mortar attacks, said Lt. Col. Thomas Fisher, battalion commander....

One obstacle his troops face is that the two towns? contact with coalition forces over the past three years has consisted of three raids, in which hundreds of townspeople were arrested only to be released later, Fisher said.

?When you neglect a town and don?t engage the population, the terrorists who are here and the insurgents can tell them anything they want, and they will believe it because there is no one else telling them anything different,? he said.

“In particular, Americans and Soviets employed massive artillery and aerial firepower with the intent to defeat enemy forces by attriting them to a point of collapse, an objective which was never reached.”

Hmm, that sounds like us too:

http://www.d-n-i.net/lind/lind_6_19_06.htm

I sincerely hope we’re winning in Iraq, and I think there has been some slow evolution by the U.S. military, but we’re still behind the curve in a ton of ways.

You seem like you might be a bright guy Jeffy, in spite of some of what you write, so maybe you grasp this. If that’s the case though, you’re even worse, because you’ve decided your loyalty to Bush and the “conservative” Republican Party are more important than the truth. Which is it Jeff?

[quote]BH6 wrote:
I’m curious as to which precepts you believe the Coalition has adopted, and which ones are working? I have had quite a few discussions on this with fellow Marine Officers who have commanded in Iraq.
In my opinion we finally recognized in 2005 that we are fighting an insurgency and have begun to adjust our tactics accordingly. That adjustment is paying off in successful operations such the one conducted against Al-Zarqawi.
[/quote]

Great point. It’s a staggering judgement on our civilian and military leadership that they took two years just to figure out who the enemy in Iraq was.

Are you sure the US military can win this fight? I say this only because of recruiting and retention issues, which aren’t a crisis yet but would almost certainly become one after another three or four years in Iraq.

[quote]Zap Branigan wrote:

Many people try to make this political and blame Rummy/Bush for what is happening on the ground, but it is really the culture of the military and the ability of the individual commanders that have been responsible for the successes and failures.

[/quote]

OK, that’s true in a limited sense, but Bush and his incompetent Secretary of Defense screwed it all up in the first place by not sending enough troops, putting minimal effort into reconstruction plans, and running a war from a best-case scenario. All of these are FAR more important than the ability and impact of individual commanders on the ground.

Okay so Saddam was removed but the case for war was based on lies.

WMD?

No connection to 9/11!

And perhaps the biggest joke - Saddam was a threat.

Why did we support him back in the 80’s when he was more monstrous to his people and a bigger threat?

And what are the cost and effects removing this tyrant by direct
aggresion?

[quote]Zeppelin795 wrote:
Okay so Saddam was removed but the case for war was based on lies.

WMD?

No connection to 9/11!

And perhaps the biggest joke - Saddam was a threat.

Why did we support him back in the 80’s when he was more monstrous to his people and a bigger threat?

And what are the cost and effects removing this tyrant by direct
aggresion?[/quote]

Should we perhaps try to stick to the issue of “what to do now?” in this thread. Not that you do not have a valid point, but that has been rehashed in countless threads…

[quote]GDollars37 wrote:
vroom wrote:
TQB wrote:
The Germans did exactly that in France during the Second World War through the Service de Travail Obligatoire. Best recruitment tool the Resistance ever had…

Are you seriously trying to draw a parallel to the German invasion of France and the US invasion of Iraq? Are you suggesting that the US is a bloodthirsty and cruel occupier? You can’t fucking be serious.

No, I think he’s saying that forced labor for much of the population is, shockingly, not a popular thing.
[/quote]

What the man said…

[quote]TQB wrote:
Slightly off topic, I do not understand why the US is so bad at peace-keeping. It is as if there only is two settings “Off” and “Whoo Hoo, I’m a warrior”. I wrote a piece in April 2003, predicting a quick military victory and a speedy US handover to local politicians. In retrospect my mistake was overestimating US capabilities. I did note the absence of MP’s (and even more desirable civilan police), but the disregard for even basic precautions to maintain order appalled me. I have done peacekeeeping in the Middle East in te 70’s and there, as in other places, once the fighting is over, you have to dial down the threat you present to establish a rapport with the locals.
[/quote]

The role of the military is not that of peace, but that of war. Their job is to kill people and break things. This is why the military is not a good peace keeping force. Everyone in the army is an 11B. In the Marines it is the exact same thing. You are asking people trained to kill and win wars to keep the peace.

Maybe if we were to let the ilitary do what they were trained to do, instead of trying to make friends, the war would be over.

The sad thing about our efforts in Iraq is that they have been tempered by political correctness, and a fear of what the press might say.

It’s much like the kid with a bandaid covering a sore. He is too affraid to just rip it off, so he goes through an entire ordeal not to feel any pain, when the best thing to do is just rip it off and get it over with.

[quote]rainjack wrote:
TQB wrote:
Slightly off topic, I do not understand why the US is so bad at peace-keeping. It is as if there only is two settings “Off” and “Whoo Hoo, I’m a warrior”. I wrote a piece in April 2003, predicting a quick military victory and a speedy US handover to local politicians. In retrospect my mistake was overestimating US capabilities. I did note the absence of MP’s (and even more desirable civilan police), but the disregard for even basic precautions to maintain order appalled me. I have done peacekeeeping in the Middle East in te 70’s and there, as in other places, once the fighting is over, you have to dial down the threat you present to establish a rapport with the locals.

The role of the military is not that of peace, but that of war. Their job is to kill people and break things. This is why the military is not a good peace keeping force. Everyone in the army is an 11B. In the Marines it is the exact same thing. You are asking people trained to kill and win wars to keep the peace.

Maybe if we were to let the ilitary do what they were trained to do, instead of trying to make friends, the war would be over.

The sad thing about our efforts in Iraq is that they have been tempered by political correctness, and a fear of what the press might say.

It’s much like the kid with a bandaid covering a sore. He is too affraid to just rip it off, so he goes through an entire ordeal not to feel any pain, when the best thing to do is just rip it off and get it over with. [/quote]

This is exactly the mentality I am talking about. It is an excellent way to win battles, but a lousy way to win a war.

[quote]TQB wrote:

This is exactly the mentality I am talking about. It is an excellent way to win battles, but a lousy way to win a war.[/quote]

And guess what…they should have thought of that BEFORE we went in there.

[quote]rainjack wrote:
TQB wrote:
Slightly off topic, I do not understand why the US is so bad at peace-keeping. It is as if there only is two settings “Off” and “Whoo Hoo, I’m a warrior”. I wrote a piece in April 2003, predicting a quick military victory and a speedy US handover to local politicians. In retrospect my mistake was overestimating US capabilities. I did note the absence of MP’s (and even more desirable civilan police), but the disregard for even basic precautions to maintain order appalled me. I have done peacekeeeping in the Middle East in te 70’s and there, as in other places, once the fighting is over, you have to dial down the threat you present to establish a rapport with the locals.

The role of the military is not that of peace, but that of war. Their job is to kill people and break things. This is why the military is not a good peace keeping force. Everyone in the army is an 11B. In the Marines it is the exact same thing. You are asking people trained to kill and win wars to keep the peace.

Maybe if we were to let the ilitary do what they were trained to do, instead of trying to make friends, the war would be over.

The sad thing about our efforts in Iraq is that they have been tempered by political correctness, and a fear of what the press might say.

It’s much like the kid with a bandaid covering a sore. He is too affraid to just rip it off, so he goes through an entire ordeal not to feel any pain, when the best thing to do is just rip it off and get it over with. [/quote]

You’re so wrong I don’t even know where to begin. If the military doesn’t do nation-building, who is gonna do it? Make no mistake, it needs to be done in Afghanistan, Iraq, and plenty of other places.

[quote]rainjack wrote:
TQB wrote:
Slightly off topic, I do not understand why the US is so bad at peace-keeping. It is as if there only is two settings “Off” and “Whoo Hoo, I’m a warrior”. I wrote a piece in April 2003, predicting a quick military victory and a speedy US handover to local politicians. In retrospect my mistake was overestimating US capabilities. I did note the absence of MP’s (and even more desirable civilan police), but the disregard for even basic precautions to maintain order appalled me. I have done peacekeeeping in the Middle East in te 70’s and there, as in other places, once the fighting is over, you have to dial down the threat you present to establish a rapport with the locals.

The role of the military is not that of peace, but that of war. Their job is to kill people and break things. This is why the military is not a good peace keeping force. Everyone in the army is an 11B. In the Marines it is the exact same thing. You are asking people trained to kill and win wars to keep the peace.

Maybe if we were to let the ilitary do what they were trained to do, instead of trying to make friends, the war would be over.

The sad thing about our efforts in Iraq is that they have been tempered by political correctness, and a fear of what the press might say.

It’s much like the kid with a bandaid covering a sore. He is too affraid to just rip it off, so he goes through an entire ordeal not to feel any pain, when the best thing to do is just rip it off and get it over with. [/quote]

This is how the allies won WWII, we killed a shit ton of the enemy and broke alot of their shit. I can’t spesk for the other armed services, but I know for a fact that Marines are trained to kill, not make nice with a foreign populace. Period. It’s embedded into the very culture of the Marines. As a recruit, you “attack” everything; the chowline, hygene, fellow Marines with pugil sticks, any problem you might have.
[i]
DI: "Squads 1,2,3,4, attack the chow hall!

Recruits: Attack the chow hall aye sir!

DI: Reeeeaaaaaady!

DI: Kill!

Recruits: Kill, aye sir!

*Recruits then “attack” the chow hall and “kill” their chow.[/i]

This mentality is solidified throughout their training. Whether they are training in hand to hand, on the firing range and “killing” their target, or simply attacking the PX and killing their need for hygene supplies. This has to be the mentality of warriors. Soldiers and Marines trained to kill, IMHO, make poor peacekeepers. Cops make good peace keepers.

And w/r/t the whole premise that we didn’t go into Iraq with a plan to win the peace, did we go into WWII with a plan to “win the peace”? Hell no! We went in with a plan to kick ass.

Now, I realize that Iraq is uniquely different w/r/t the insurgency and the nature of terrorism. Every battle and every war is uniquely different I would imagine. I think Vrooms premise that there are too many able bodied men sitting around unemployed is probably right on.

It reminds me of the saying “idle hands are the tools of the devil”, or the insurgency in this case. Finding meningfull work for these men will go a long way towards progress in this country.

Have a good day everybody. I gotta get outside and start getting ready to “attack” my new driveway project :-]

-Bigflamer