The Rumsfeld Mutiny

[quote]JeffR wrote:
g-doll wrote:

“Does this have anything to do with what we’re talking about? If so, I can’t figure it out, just looks like a typical attempt to smear critics of this bungled war as defeatist through mediocre historical analogy.”

Ok, first of all, did you read the article?
[/quote]

Yes, I did read the article, although I can tell (see below) that you didn’t do me the same courtesy.

I’m well aware of everything that went wrong at Torch, D-Day, and thereafter. It’s a stupid analogy because: a) it’s talking about a conventional war, not a counter-insurgency campaign, which is an entirely different animal, and b) it’s simply used as a rhetorical club to attack anyone with legitimate critiques of this war as defeatist.

I still think you’re well off the original topic, but whatever. No, this is not saying hindsight is 20/20. There was a ton of planning by the State Department and the CIA about how to deal with the postwar situation in Iraq, plus the recent examples of stability operations in the Balkans, all of which was COMPLETELY ignored by the Pentagon, which was in charge of Iraq during and after the conventional war. This stuff, from big (security is goal #1, “search and destroy” against insurgents was proved futile thirty years ago in Vietnam, don’t disband the Iraqi Army) to small (provide enough fucking translators for goodness sake) was readily apparent long before the war was launched.

Who are my pals, Jeff, since you know me so well? I voted for Bush twice, and was and am for the war in Iraq, I am just disgusted with the incompetence of this White House and this Pentagon. So who are my pals then? Non-Kool Aid drinkers maybe?

Yup, I heard General Peter Schoomaker, Army Chief of Staff, make the same argument at a dinner two years ago. And with all due respect to him, it runs counter to almost everything that’s ever been written on the topic. That’s why it sounds suspiciously like an excuse for a bungled occupation and an obstinate Secretary of Defense. Read Krepinevich, Van Creveld, or any of a host of military or civilian writers who know anything about counter-insurgency.

No, I was attacking this article, which uses a bad analogy (historical interpretation, do I need to spell it out for you?) to defend Rumsfeld and co.

Actually, it’s a pretty perceptive columnist for the Asia Times, not the LA Times. I’m gonna go out on a limb here and say you didn’t read the article.

You have no idea what they said behind closed doors, and whether they decided that continuing to defend their country was worth more than taking a futile stand against the ideologues who run the Pentagon.

Who’s my target then Jeff, Bush? Sure, the tree rots from the roots, but if he had someone different in the Pentagon maybe this war would be run with a minimum of competence. W’s “intimately involved with the situation” huh? You know why he probably hasn’t fired Rumsfeld yet? Because Bush has virtually zero knowledge of the military, and has let Rumsfeld (and Cheney) run the entire war. Watch this, the top video, I’m not sure if it’s more funny or sad:

http://www.wonkette.com/politics/funny-videos/

g-doll wrote:

“Yes, I did read the article, although I can tell (see below) that you didn’t do me the same courtesy.”

I did read your article.

“I’m well aware of everything that went wrong at Torch, D-Day, and thereafter. It’s a stupid analogy because: a) it’s talking about a conventional war, not a counter-insurgency campaign, which is an entirely different animal,”

I’m sorry. I simply disagree. For instance, the hedgerow/village/house-to-house fighting/sniping of Normandy has at least a passing resemblance to the Iraqi War.

“and b) it’s simply used as a rhetorical club to attack anyone with legitimate critiques of this war as defeatist.”

There is much defeatist talk. However, I’m specifically asking you to use historical context as you attack Rumsfeld.

“I still think you’re well off the original topic, but whatever.”

You keep brining this up. Here is your opening salvo:

“Major General John Batiste (former commander of the 1st Infantry Division in Iraq) joins General Anthony Zinni (former head of CENTCOMM), Major General Paul Eaton (formerly in charge of training the Iraqi Army), and Lieutenant General Greg Newbold (former director of operations on the Pentagon’s Joint Staff) in calling for Donald Rumsfeld’s resignation, on grounds that he is, in Eaton’s words, “incompetent strategically, operationally, and tactically.””

I submit that the man is NOT incompetent strategically, operationally, or tactically. The Major Combat Operations phase was brillant (aka competence strategically, operationally, and tactically). You use the counter-insurgency as the club to make your statements.

As much as the next guy, I would have loved to see optimistic predictions by Rumsfeld and others come true. You will notice that I did not think the post-war phase would be easy or free of cost. Was Rumsfeld wrong on his predictions? Yes, he was.

Now, to castigate him as incompetent due to these predictions is too harsh. I took the next step by posting Hanson’s discussion. In it, he asks people who would have defined Ike/Marshall as “incompetent strategically, operationally, and tactically” in 1942-1944 to get some perspective. They learned. They adapted.

“No, this is not saying hindsight is 20/20. There was a ton of planning by the State Department and the CIA about how to deal with the postwar situation in Iraq, plus the recent examples of stability operations in the Balkans, all of which was COMPLETELY ignored by the Pentagon, which was in charge of Iraq during and after the conventional war.”

Completely? Please help me with this one. I’m aware that State and CIA have contingency plans for just about everything. Was none of their pre-war planning implemented?

“This stuff, from big (security is goal #1, “search and destroy” against insurgents was proved futile thirty years ago in Vietnam,”

Futile? Please educate me on this.

“don’t disband the Iraqi Army)”

Another 20/20 comment. I remember many were afraid of the Baathist commanders’/troops’ loyal to saddam. Questionable loyalty and very questionable combat training.

I believe the goal was to break apart this apparatus (purge it, if you will of saddam loyalists) and build it back up.

“to small (provide enough fucking translators for goodness sake)”

I’m with you on this one.

“was readily apparent long before the war was launched.”

I agree, there were things that could have been handled better. But, “total imcompetence,” I just cannot follow you there.

“Who are my pals, Jeff, since you know me so well? I voted for Bush twice, and was and am for the war in Iraq,”

Well, we will have to agree to disagree on this one. I’ll bet you voted for al "doomsday: the day after tomorrow "gore and john “I’ll marry you with the right dowry attached” kerry.

I’ve heard democrats claim to be Republicans for the express purpose of “showing discontent within the party.”

“I am just disgusted with the incompetence of this White House and this Pentagon. So who are my pals then? Non-Kool Aid drinkers maybe?”

Again, I simply do not think you are who you say you are.

“Yup, I heard General Peter Schoomaker, Army Chief of Staff, make the same argument at a dinner two years ago. And with all due respect to him, it runs counter to almost everything that’s ever been written on the topic. That’s why it sounds suspiciously like an excuse for a bungled occupation and an obstinate Secretary of Defense.”

That’s quite a leap. Further, I remember clearly MANY people expressing these same fears.

ARE YOU GOING TO TELL ME WITH A STRAIGHT FACE THAT THE dEMOCRATS WOULDN’T HAVE USED THE COST OF ADDITIONAL TROOPS/MORE TARGETS/POTENTIALLY MORE CASUALTIES as a stick for which to attack the Administration? They say they “could have/should have/would have” done this or that, but, they have serious credibility issues in my eyes. Their lack of staying power is clear for all to see.

“Read Krepinevich, Van Creveld, or any of a host of military or civilian writers who know anything about counter-insurgency.”

g-doll, could you stomach more civilian casualties? Remember the libs on this forum updating potential civilian casualties? In fact, here you are trying to make a point using numbers: “And has given those hundreds of lives (and thousands of Iraqi ones to boot) right back”

I must tell you that I have wondered if more aggression may have been called for.

However, I am the first one to admit that I am not on the ground. I try hard to filter out bias from reporting, BUT, I’m not there.

I think you should probably keep that in the front of your mind when you become too critical of the Administration.

“No, I was attacking this article, which uses a bad analogy (historical interpretation, do I need to spell it out for you?) to defend Rumsfeld and co.”

Again, I disagree. I find that some people have a hard time drawing parallels with history if it undermines their current thinking.

Is it really that much of a stress to imagine you calling for Marshall’s head after Torch/Overlord?

Would we have been better off? No chance.

“Actually, it’s a pretty perceptive columnist for the Asia Times, not the LA Times. I’m gonna go out on a limb here and say you didn’t read the article.”

www.atimes.com.

Yes, I added an l.

“You have no idea what they said behind closed doors, and whether they decided that continuing to defend their country was worth more than taking a futile stand against the ideologues who run the Pentagon.”

Nor can YOU say that they didn’t agree lock stock and barrel with the assessment at the time.

See how that works?

Oh, if you are going to try and tell me that people don’t repent past decisions and blame others, save your breath.

“Who’s my target then Jeff, Bush?”

Yes. Of course it is.

“Sure, the tree rots from the roots, but if he had someone different in the Pentagon maybe this war would be run with a minimum of competence.”

Again, major combat operations were brillant. It’s probably fair to say that that gives him “a minimum of competence.”

"W’s “intimately involved with the situation” huh? You know why he probably hasn’t fired Rumsfeld yet? Because Bush has virtually zero knowledge of the military, and has let Rumsfeld (and Cheney) run the entire war. Watch this, the top video, I’m not sure if it’s more funny or sad:

http://www.wonkette.com/politics/funny-videos/"

Certainly not his finest moment. I would have handled it differently.

However, at least the man had the sack to admit he didn’t know. As with his lack of knowledge of the names of world leaders in 2000, I’ll bet he DOES educated himself on that question.

Do I expect the man to know all the details of every operation? Nope.

That was carter. It cannot be done.

Do I expect W. to look into this and answer the question that was asked? Yes, I do.

Again, you are a disgruntled democrat using a rather clumsy and transparent tactic.

However, I have given your point of view thought.

I hope you extend me the same courtesy.

JeffR

[quote]And yes that is exactly what I am saying, if you disagree with the Secdef over the orders you are given you should resign. It’s different then a job. You are in command, not just the guy in charge.

I don’t think we’ll ever see eye to eye on this which is fine.
[/quote]

Hedo,

We might not have the same opinion, but I really was just trying to get more information about what you were saying, so it’s all good.

I don’t know about the resignation thing, as even generals have to follow their orders. I mean, if the president is giving lawful orders, it doesn’t matter whether you agree with them or not, your duty as a patriot is to execute his decisions. That’s the chain of command.

Isn’t it?

I mean, if you meet in private with Rumsfeld and say, we need 50,000 extra men for this, and he says, you can’t have them, then you say “yes sir” and “we’ll do our best, sir”.

Now, on the other hand, if you receive an unlawful order, such as “torture these people” and you disagree, then I suspect it would be much more appropriate to resign. That’s how you say “no sir”.

Isn’t it?

Jerffy,

You complete tool, why don’t you figure out how to use the quoting feature around here.

You’ve been here long enough that if you have even two brain cells you should be able to figure it out…

[quote]vroom wrote:
And yes that is exactly what I am saying, if you disagree with the Secdef over the orders you are given you should resign. It’s different then a job. You are in command, not just the guy in charge.

I don’t think we’ll ever see eye to eye on this which is fine.

Hedo,

We might not have the same opinion, but I really was just trying to get more information about what you were saying, so it’s all good.

I don’t know about the resignation thing, as even generals have to follow their orders. I mean, if the president is giving lawful orders, it doesn’t matter whether you agree with them or not, your duty as a patriot is to execute his decisions. That’s the chain of command.

Isn’t it?

I mean, if you meet in private with Rumsfeld and say, we need 50,000 extra men for this, and he says, you can’t have them, then you say “yes sir” and “we’ll do our best, sir”.

Now, on the other hand, if you receive an unlawful order, such as “torture these people” and you disagree, then I suspect it would be much more appropriate to resign. That’s how you say “no sir”.

Isn’t it?[/quote]

That’s exactly how it is. No man in the military who has made it a career for decades is simply going to resign every time he disagrees with commands. That’s retarded. Presidencies come and go while many in the military remain. If I was about to retire in a couple of years, I would have handled it just like these guys did. I am honestly having a hard time believing hedo’s stance is anything other than the same knee jerk response anytime someone criticizes this administration at all. They can’t claim they are “unpatriotic” this time so they look for some other way to discredit them. It just coulnd’t be that they know what they are talking about.

[quote]vroom wrote:
Jerffy,

You complete tool, why don’t you figure out how to use the quoting feature around here.

You’ve been here long enough that if you have even two brain cells you should be able to figure it out…[/quote]

Therefore, he does not have two brain cells.

[quote]Professor X wrote:
vroom wrote:
And yes that is exactly what I am saying, if you disagree with the Secdef over the orders you are given you should resign. It’s different then a job. You are in command, not just the guy in charge.

I don’t think we’ll ever see eye to eye on this which is fine.

Hedo,

We might not have the same opinion, but I really was just trying to get more information about what you were saying, so it’s all good.

I don’t know about the resignation thing, as even generals have to follow their orders. I mean, if the president is giving lawful orders, it doesn’t matter whether you agree with them or not, your duty as a patriot is to execute his decisions. That’s the chain of command.

Isn’t it?

I mean, if you meet in private with Rumsfeld and say, we need 50,000 extra men for this, and he says, you can’t have them, then you say “yes sir” and “we’ll do our best, sir”.

Now, on the other hand, if you receive an unlawful order, such as “torture these people” and you disagree, then I suspect it would be much more appropriate to resign. That’s how you say “no sir”.

Isn’t it?

That’s exactly how it is. No man in the military who has made it a career for decades is simply going to resign every time he disagrees with commands. That’s retarded. Presidencies come and go while many in the military remain. If I was about to retire in a couple of years, I would have handled it just like these guys did. I am honestly having a hard time believing hedo’s stance is anything other than the same knee jerk response anytime someone criticizes this administration at all. They can’t claim they are “unpatriotic” this time so they look for some other way to discredit them. It just coulnd’t be that they know what they are talking about.[/quote]

I think you have to listen to what the General’s are saying. They now claim it was a substantial difference in how to carry out the mission. They agreed with it at the time but now don’t. Hell some of them actually had input on the plan. Nobody agreed, with reservations, they agreed period. Now they don’t.

I’m not claiming they are unpatriotic, and obviously it is a considered opinion, rather then a knee jerk response. I simply found their coordinated statements and timing suspicious and disagreeable. That’s the statement I have been making. You guys are going off on the tangents not me.

Comparing how a doctor, in a stateside clinic, vs a General at the Division level, would handle a theatre level battefield decision that needs the approval of the SecDef is a silly comparison. Your opinion is based on your experience and biases, so is mine.

I was an officer in a combat unit so I probably have an entirely different perspective on commanding Generals then a stateside physician. That’s not a dig, just a statement of fact. Just because that opinion is different, considered, and based on my experiences doesn’t make it wrong. Probably makes it a little more validated.

Hedo,

What I don’t understand is how you know what they agreed to without reservation? I’m sure, publicly, they all had nothing bad to say while they were serving, but not voicing reservations publicly doesn’t equate to not having them.

You’ve referred to their thoughts and stances a few times. Where is the source material that gives you this type of insight?

One thing that really bothers me is they are saying the invasion of Iraq was a mistake in the first place.

That is a valid opinion and it will be debated for decades but it was not Rummy’s decision.

Rummy is a mean and tough old bird. No question he rubs people the wrong way but to blame him for invading Iraq is stupid.

It just calls into question everything else they say.

I’m guessing this would be in respect to mistaken intelligence, because otherwise, I wouldn’t think they should be commenting on policy decisions either.

However, I suppose once they are retired they are only citizens once again.

They can say what they want. I wish there was a way to cut through the politics to see the truth.

I don’t believe Rummy is perfect and of course mistakes are made but it seems these guys have an axe to grind and they are not separating the real mistakes from the political and personal stuff.

[quote]Zap Branigan wrote:
One thing that really bothers me is they are saying the invasion of Iraq was a mistake in the first place.
[/quote]

The only thing “they” are uniformly saying is that Rumsfeld has done a terrible job. Two out of the four I cited, Zinni and Newbold, think the war was a bad idea, the other two, Batiste and Eaton, haven’t said this.

[quote]Zap Branigan wrote:

The one jackass is saying we should never have gone into Iraq. He should probably have said something three years ago.

…[/quote]

Plenty of jackasses did. They were rediculed.

You were probably one of the rediculers.

But who looks stupid now.

[quote]hedo wrote:
Wreckless wrote:
hedo wrote:
DPH

Actually I wouldn’t pat them on the back if I didn’t like the SecDef. I find the act disagreeable, not just the subject of the comments.

I’ve tried to be pretty clear on that. They may be right but I really don’t think so. Some of these guys, Batista in particular, had ample opportunity to speak up and didn’t. This includes private meetings with Rumsfeld. That’s really it.

Everyone has a personal bias thru which they filter news. Doesn’t invalidate my conclusion anymore then it validates anyone else’s opinion.

“This includes private meetings with Rumsfeld”

But you know what he did and didn’t say in these private meetings? Must not have been very private then.

Yeah. That’s why aides take notes. Batista’s included. He had the opportunity to disagree but didn’t. Why is that so difficult for you to accept. Bias…

[/quote]

I still think it’s very unlikely that you have access to reports of these “private meetings”. But surely you will proove me wrong by providing us with a credible link?

[quote]Zap Branigan wrote:
One thing that really bothers me is they are saying the invasion of Iraq was a mistake in the first place.

That is a valid opinion and it will be debated for decades but it was not Rummy’s decision.[/quote]

YOU WISH! This will not be debated for decades. It’s a hughe fuck-up. It was pretty obvious to anyone with half a brain then. And it’s pretty obvious to those without half a brain by now.

Well, don’t keep us in suspence. Who’s decision was it then? Or perhaps it was Rummy’s turn to be left “out of the loop”?

[quote]Wreckless wrote:
Zap Branigan wrote:
One thing that really bothers me is they are saying the invasion of Iraq was a mistake in the first place.

That is a valid opinion and it will be debated for decades but it was not Rummy’s decision.

YOU WISH! This will not be debated for decades. It’s a hughe fuck-up. It was pretty obvious to anyone with half a brain then. And it’s pretty obvious to those without half a brain by now.
[/quote]

No, the consequences and wisdom of invading Iraq will take years to become clear. The verdict is still out by a lot.

[quote]JeffR wrote:
g-doll wrote:

“I’m well aware of everything that went wrong at Torch, D-Day, and thereafter. It’s a stupid analogy because: a) it’s talking about a conventional war, not a counter-insurgency campaign, which is an entirely different animal,”

I’m sorry. I simply disagree. For instance, the hedgerow/village/house-to-house fighting/sniping of Normandy has at least a passing resemblance to the Iraqi War.
[/quote]

I have “a passing resemblance” to Brad Pitt - we’re both six feet tall and white. There is virtually no comparison to be made between driving the Germans out of France and stability operations in Iraq. You’re trying to draw historical parallels where none exist, and it only demonstrates your ignorance about both military history and the Iraq War.

No one’s disputing the conventional side of the campaign. But that’s virtually irrelevant when we’re talking about the current campaign, which is where most American and Iraqi casualties have come from, and in which we’re bogged down with no victory in sight. And, no disrespect toward anyone who posts here and fought in the initial invasion, and thank you, but Saddam’s army wasn’t exactly the reincarnation of the Waffen SS. It had been crippled by Desert Storm and sanctions, although it sounds like the Iraqis fought a bit harder in 2003 than in 1991.

No, virtually none of it was. Because Rumsfeld’s Pentagon fought a turf war with State and the CIA and Rice didn’t referee, the Pentagon not only chose to start from scratch, but willfully ignored all previous planning.

You seem to know very little about this, so I’d recommend you do some reading on the CPA, and especially on Jay Garner and ORHA in the early days of the war. James Fallows wrote an article in the Atlantic not long after the invasion, called “Blind Into Baghdad,” I’m sure you can find it. If you really want to know why Iraq is such a mess, go read George Packer’s book The Assassins’ Gate (he was and is pro-war, but a liberal, so I imagine you’ll toss his work out as invalid). But Packer’s book is a little longer than a Cheney soundbite, and I kinda doubt you really want to educate yourself on the war.

You’re lecturing me with half-baked World War II analogies and you don’t know the first thing about Vietnam? Search and destroy, Westmoreland, none of that rings a bell? Might want to do a little reading Jeff. Again, I’m skeptical that you truly want to be educated on this. If you do, go read a good history of Vietnam, Andrew Krepinevich’s is probably the best, although I’ve heard good things about John Nagl’s (who is currently fighting in Iraq). Better yet, read a good history of counter-insurgency war, like Marine Colonel (ret.) T.X. Hammes’ “The Sling and the Stone.”

There’s a reason superpowers lose these wars (U.S. in Vietnam, Russia in Afghanistan, France - not a superpower, but a great power - in Vietnam and then Algeria).

You don’t win by killing the enemy, he can replenish his losses and excessive firepower only drives more civilians into becoming insurgents. You win by securing the population (which still hasn’t been done even in Baghdad) and keeping the insurgents away from potential safe areas and sources of recruits. This is done gradually. Oil spot theory. I’d be happy to PM you some reading on this if you’re truly interested.

Virtually every sober pre-war analysis said disbanding the Iraqi army was a terrible idea. The army didn’t even have to be kept armed, the important thing was just to keep paying them so they wouldn’t be angry, unemployed men. Pretty logical.

Yeah, I really care enough about winning a political argument on a BODYBUILDING website to lie about my voting record. You honestly think I have been on this website for four years, and that every previous conservative-sounding post of mine (there are more than a couple) was fabricated in advance so I could criticize Bush as a disaffected Republican? Does that make any sense?

You realize there are a lot of conservatives who are disgusted with Bush, right? George Will, Bruce Bartlett, William F. Buckley - do any of these names mean anything to you? In fact, I’d say any true conservative, meaning a believer in small government and competent national defense, stopped cheerleading for this administration a long time ago. But then, I’m a stealth Democrat you’ve just exposed right Jeff?

[quote]
“Yup, I heard General Peter Schoomaker, Army Chief of Staff, make the same argument at a dinner two years ago. And with all due respect to him, it runs counter to almost everything that’s ever been written on the topic. That’s why it sounds suspiciously like an excuse for a bungled occupation and an obstinate Secretary of Defense.”

That’s quite a leap. Further, I remember clearly MANY people expressing these same fears.

Again, educate yourself, I tried to help you above. All three of the books I noted are written by serving or retired Army and Marine Corps officers, not left-wing intellectuals or something.

If this administration was serious about winning in Iraq (which it manifestly is not, but that’s a whole different post) cost and casualties wouldn’t be obstacles to actually seeking victory.

Do some reading. You don’t win this war by killing civilians to be “harsher.” Unless you’re talking about genocide, you can sometimes defeat an insurgency that way, but I doubt that’s what you meant.

Coming from the guy who’s comparing Fallujah to Normandy.

Do you really believe this?

On what GDollars37 wrote…

LOL!!

I must say, however, as intelligently thought out as that was, this is JeffR we are talking about. You should have pointed your debate at someone worth actually debating with. That would include just about anyone else except lorisco.

g-doll:

Thank you for the time you took to write out your response.

It’s quite evident that we agree on very little.

I am quite interested in the scenario that begins: Rumsfeld is fired tomorrow.

In an ideal g-doll world, what happens next?

Again, thanks.

JeffR

pox:

Thank you very much for following me around.

Your every insult validates me.

I know you have a ton of time on your hands, but, I wanted to let you know I appreciate your attention.

Thanks for the compliments!!!

JeffR