[quote]Vicomte wrote:
In a situation where there are only two possibilities about which one knows absolutely nothing, logic dictates they are both equally likely. quote]
I’m not sure I understand your reasoning here. In a situation where there are two possibilities about which one knows absolutely nothing, logic does not dictate anything at all. Logic has nothing to do with your ignorance or lack thereof.
I think what you mean to say is that in a situation where there are only two possibilities about which one knows nothing, then a claim on either side is EQUALLY VALID. Equally valid in the sense that neither belief has anything going for them, so they’re on equal footing.
But that certainly does not imply that there’s a 50-50 chance and they’re equally likely. The nature of the world determines what is likely about it, not the ignorance or wisdom of its inhabitants.
