[quote]Mick28 wrote:
You are correct, you never said that. I lumped you in with the other Paulies on this forum- My mistake. You’re not one of the crazy Paulies. You’re in the minority you know.
[/quote]
What you’re witnessing, for good or ill, is desperation and grand enthusiasm on the part of some Ron Paul supproters. Considering the differences between him and the rest of Republican nominees on any given set of issues it’s hardly surprising that Dr. Paul would generate extreme enthusiasm from many individuals.
In fact, I also sense this feeling of enthusiasm for Dr. Paul considering my viewpoints on the issues. However, given the political circumstances one would only injure themselves by feeling too overconfident. Frankly, there doesn’t appear to be enough individuals interested in what I perceive to be liberty-based ideas to lead Dr. Paul’s campaign to a successful conclusion.
There is no such thing as a “sure thing”, for or against. Life sometimes has a strange tendency to spring delightful and deleterious surprises alike. Who knows what the future holds.
Cocnerning Dr. Paul’s character and ideas, I see nothing wrong informing other on what they, as well as I, believe to be a truthful statement, that he’s perhaps the best politician since probably Robert A. Taft. His integrity is, in my opinion, quite impeccable. Does this suggest perfection? Obviously not, no human being is. In fact it would be difficult to state that I agree with Dr. Paul on every point.
Will Ron Paul surprise everyone? That is a difficult question to answer. It would certainly be nice. Is this a likely occurrence? Unfortunately, probably not. However it would be pointless to advocate a given nominee while simultaneously giving up. The results of January 8th will ultimately decide on whether this campaign will be worth pursuing in the future or otherwise.
Washington D.C. is quite afraid of Dr. Paul’s ideas since it would mean an end to “business as usual”, so to speak, in Washington D.C. Certainly, even as president, Ron Paul could not simply make changes unilaterally; an obvious point. However, it would be a good platform for educating others on his ideas. Yet I’m unsure as to what you mean by “conspiring against him.” Could you clarify this statement?
Understood. However, at some point one must realize that things always change, history does not remain static, for humans have the ability to change their minds, create products that might change a given paradigm, and so forth. Whether this is that point in history in relation to the political process in the United States however remains to be seen. The obtaining of a crystal ball is unfortunately out of the reach of all.
Dr. Paul’s poll numbers in the NH primary bid has, over the course of the campaign season, risen from 1%, 2%, 4%, to presently 8%. These increases are obviously doubling with rapidity. However, I can’t confidently see a further doubling to 16% by January 8th.
Interestingly enough Mick, I somewhat tend to agree that obtaining 10% in New Hampshire does present a serious problem for the campaign, given the quasi-libertarian sympathies many within that state adhere to. However, this appears to be more related to name recognition than anything. If his exposer is not increased to the point where enough individuals are aware of not only his existence in the race but become well-versed in his ideas then his chances of winning the primaries will be unlikely.
Many individuals (admittedly, me included) are certainly hoping, whether likely or otherwise, a surprise will materialize. My optimism however will be more realistically placed with increased name recognition. The “money bomb” on November 5th managed to double his numbers in the NH polls from 4% to 8% in a relatively brief period. Naturally, many are hoping another boost might catapult him to 12% or, with a little luck, perhaps even 16% soon after December 16th.
Again, I’m making no predictions other than my own desires and hopes, combined with the what I perceive to be somewhat justifiable optimism regarding his campaign. Yet that “little voice”, so to speak, within me isn’t too encouraging.
Your input is much appreciated Mick.
