Ron Paul On The Record

[quote]orion wrote:
Zap Branigan wrote:
orion wrote:

“Lack of gold” is such an amazingly stupid argument, because one dollar can equal 1 ounce of gold, 1/10 ounce of gold, 1/100 ounce of gold and so on.

All you have to do is set the rate in a way that there are enough dollar bills to go around, which is hardly a problem.

And then you have to revalue the gold rate or mine more gold when the population grows as it has been growing for hundreds/thousands of years. You have to be able to have more money in the system when system (population) grows.

Money is simply a method to account for labor, real property, raw materials etc. This will continue to grow until we outgrow the planet.

And that is your insurmountable problem?

Instead of losing one zero every few decades as in the case of inflation we`d have to add a zero for conveniance every few decades?

And the problem is?

[/quote]

So you want a gold standard that is revalued at will? Then it becomes meaningless. Just use paper money!

Or are you going to pretend that money can only be revalued once every few decades?

[quote]Zap Branigan wrote:
So you want a gold standard that is revalued at will? Then it becomes meaningless. Just use paper money!

Or are you going to pretend that money can only be revalued once every few decades?

[/quote]
Every commodity is revalued at the “will of the market”. This doesn’t exclude gold, for example.

[quote]orion wrote:
And that is your insurmountable problem?

Instead of losing one zero every few decades as in the case of inflation we`d have to add a zero for conveniance every few decades?

And the problem is?
[/quote]

I think there are a lot of different people out there that are trying to scapegoat current modern monetary systems.

Unless things have changed a lot, money is “created” through banks making a loan.

Banks are generally forced to keep some ratio of assets to loans to ensure solvency. Interest rates are used to change how expensive getting a loan is, which can put a damper on a runaway economy, or open up investment demand when the economy is stunted.

Assuming a currency is reasonably controlled with respect to counterfeiting, it doesn’t seem to matter whether the currency is backed by anything or not. The market is perfectly capable of dealing with easy money or trade imbalances through inflation and currency exchange rates.

Our problem is not how the monetary system works, our problem is how the government taxes and spends!

Again, I like a lot of what Ron Paul is saying, but there is no “pure” ideology that I expect to be perfect. In personal affairs I suspect libertarian viewpoints are pretty much ideal. In national affairs and large scale economic issues I think libertarianism is not going to be ideal.

However, my view on national affairs is not due to a desire for a large government, a desire for income taxes, or a desire to provide entitlement style benefits for the public. So, again, the libertarian message does resonate with me at least with respect to massively shrinking and controlling federal power and spending.

Even so, he still comes across as bat-shit crazy from time to time… :wink:

[quote]Zap Branigan wrote:
orion wrote:
Zap Branigan wrote:
orion wrote:

“Lack of gold” is such an amazingly stupid argument, because one dollar can equal 1 ounce of gold, 1/10 ounce of gold, 1/100 ounce of gold and so on.

All you have to do is set the rate in a way that there are enough dollar bills to go around, which is hardly a problem.

And then you have to revalue the gold rate or mine more gold when the population grows as it has been growing for hundreds/thousands of years. You have to be able to have more money in the system when system (population) grows.

Money is simply a method to account for labor, real property, raw materials etc. This will continue to grow until we outgrow the planet.

And that is your insurmountable problem?

Instead of losing one zero every few decades as in the case of inflation we`d have to add a zero for conveniance every few decades?

And the problem is?

So you want a gold standard that is revalued at will? Then it becomes meaningless. Just use paper money!

Or are you going to pretend that money can only be revalued once every few decades?

[/quote]

No.

Let us say one dollar equals (is a receipt for) I ounce of gold.

Goods and services become cheaper over time ,so given a more or less stable money supply, prices would drop over time.

Sooner or later the prices become ridiculous like 1/1000 dollar, 1/10000 dollar and so on.

You can react to than by printing such receipts, OR you can say every 30 years or so 10 new dollars are worth one old dollar.

The new receipts (dollars) would simply be for 1/10 of an ounce now, thereby making it easier to count with the new receipts.

There is no real revaluation, only the numbers of the receipts chance for handling purposes.

France had the old and the new franc side by side for a few years, there was no problem.

Even if you were right and we just said “hey let us all add a zero to our goods and services” and tenfold the money supply this “helicopter drop” inflation does not influence the economy one bit, it puts noone at an advantage or disadvantage.

OUR kind of inflation is different, it has a source, it flows in a certain direction and some people benefit at the expense of others.

[quote]Zap Branigan wrote:
orion wrote:
Zap Branigan wrote:
orion wrote:

“Lack of gold” is such an amazingly stupid argument, because one dollar can equal 1 ounce of gold, 1/10 ounce of gold, 1/100 ounce of gold and so on.

All you have to do is set the rate in a way that there are enough dollar bills to go around, which is hardly a problem.

And then you have to revalue the gold rate or mine more gold when the population grows as it has been growing for hundreds/thousands of years. You have to be able to have more money in the system when system (population) grows.

Money is simply a method to account for labor, real property, raw materials etc. This will continue to grow until we outgrow the planet.

And that is your insurmountable problem?

Instead of losing one zero every few decades as in the case of inflation we`d have to add a zero for conveniance every few decades?

And the problem is?

So you want a gold standard that is revalued at will? Then it becomes meaningless. Just use paper money!

Or are you going to pretend that money can only be revalued once every few decades?

[/quote]

Ah, I think I got you wrong there.

No, gold is a commodity , let it be traded like everything else.

[quote]LIFTICVSMAXIMVS wrote:
Zap Branigan wrote:
So you want a gold standard that is revalued at will? Then it becomes meaningless. Just use paper money!

Or are you going to pretend that money can only be revalued once every few decades?

Every commodity is revalued at the “will of the market”. This doesn’t exclude gold, for example.[/quote]

The market does not set the price of gold under the gold standard, the government does either directly or indirectly.

The government sits on the pile of gold and manipulates the price just as they manipulate the supply of money.

As long as someone prints the money and holds the gold the gold standard is manipulated and not free market. This is what the gold standard advocates avoid discussing.

Tying the value of someone’s labor and possessions to a pile of metal in Fort Knox is as meaningless as tying it to paper printed and guaranteed by the government.

[quote]orion wrote:
…No, gold is a commodity , let it be traded like everything else.
[/quote]

How?

[quote]LIFTICVSMAXIMVS wrote:
Headhunter wrote:
The incentives for fiat money are simply too powerful. There are too many people who gain by its use.

I think this is two separate arguments. To my mind, those that benefit from fiat currency are those with first access to it–i.e., those with collateral and good credit.

The middle-class pays their income back to the fed as interest; thus we can aptly call credit a form of “taxpayer subsidized corporate debt”.[/quote]

The biggest beneficiaries are the big banks: They can pyramid fiat money with fractional reserves and they have a blank cheque from the issuing agency (the Fed) to loan with little regard for risk. The Monetary Control Act of 1980 allows the Fed to monetize any debt any where.

This is why these banks love war. The profits from loans is immense and without risk.

Pressure groups are also big beneficiaries, esp old people. For ex, my wife’s grandfather began collecting Social Security in 1966. He collected at least 10 times what he paid in. He was also very wealthy; his SS cheque was literally chumpchange. Yet, he ‘earned it’. Such a Ponzi scheme could only be stretched out this long with fiat money. Man, watch out when that sumbitch collapses…

[quote]vroom wrote:
orion wrote:
And that is your insurmountable problem?

Instead of losing one zero every few decades as in the case of inflation we`d have to add a zero for conveniance every few decades?

And the problem is?

I think there are a lot of different people out there that are trying to scapegoat current modern monetary systems.

Unless things have changed a lot, money is “created” through banks making a loan.

Banks are generally forced to keep some ratio of assets to loans to ensure solvency. Interest rates are used to change how expensive getting a loan is, which can put a damper on a runaway economy, or open up investment demand when the economy is stunted.

Assuming a currency is reasonably controlled with respect to counterfeiting, it doesn’t seem to matter whether the currency is backed by anything or not. The market is perfectly capable of dealing with easy money or trade imbalances through inflation and currency exchange rates.

Our problem is not how the monetary system works, our problem is how the government taxes and spends!

Again, I like a lot of what Ron Paul is saying, but there is no “pure” ideology that I expect to be perfect. In personal affairs I suspect libertarian viewpoints are pretty much ideal. In national affairs and large scale economic issues I think libertarianism is not going to be ideal.

However, my view on national affairs is not due to a desire for a large government, a desire for income taxes, or a desire to provide entitlement style benefits for the public. So, again, the libertarian message does resonate with me at least with respect to massively shrinking and controlling federal power and spending.

Even so, he still comes across as bat-shit crazy from time to time… ;)[/quote]

First of all, the system you are describing is less than 100 years old.

So far there were dozens of hyperinflations and every fiat currency we know of ended in hyperinflation.

Our current money sytem IS a giant conspiracy (yeah the things that could never, ever exist in a world where everybody knows how money is created) that requires you to pay back the money your government loaned to benefit banks and giant companies first (more accurately their owners) while your are hit by inflation while those mentioned before have allready profited.

So, you are fucked twice.

You are required to pay back, with interest, the new money your government helped create to fuck you with infation.

Yes, we tend to “scapegoat” the monetary system.

The rest is trickier, but at least you have an idea what you are talking about.

The van Mises institute has a few excellent films on fractional reserve which is called fraudulent in every other business and the idea that economic cycles could be controlled via money supply is so Keynesian it is practically Marxist.

On the contrary the mis- allocation of scarce resources because of artificially cheap credit is the reason ´for the bigger bust that is to follow.

Think about it, why would the government know what the right money supply is?

They cannot even plan agriculture without mass starvations.

[quote]Zap Branigan wrote:
orion wrote:
…No, gold is a commodity , let it be traded like everything else.

How?

[/quote]

Like it is traded now.

If gold was NOT a commodity people wanted it would be useless as a currency.

Woohoo, some conversation with “meat” in it!

[quote]orion wrote:
First of all, the system you are describing is less than 100 years old.

So far there were dozens of hyperinflations and every fiat currency we know of ended in hyperinflation.[/quote]

Well, perhaps you should define your terms a bit. Has mismanagement led to periods of high inflation from time to time? Yes. Have some countries basically devalued their currency to laughability from time to time? Yes.

So, I won’t argue that it can’t be screwed up, just like gold reserves could be “fudged” or coins could be created with cheaper metals, it’s all been tried. I don’t think it matters what the system is, there are going to be those that try to cheat it.

[quote]
Our current money sytem IS a giant conspiracy (yeah the things that could never, ever exist in a world where everybody knows how money is created) that requires you to pay back the money your government loaned to benefit banks and giant companies first (more accurately their owners) while your are hit by inflation while those mentioned before have already profited.

So, you are fucked twice.[/quote]

The current system puts a market, driven by profitability, in front of the monetary system. It also creates a system that allows the creation of new liquidity and capital to help enable smoothness of transactions. It is indeed very good for the business and investment world in terms of making money available for expansion – which is something the entire world has been chasing and valuing quite highly.

As for being fucked twice, I don’t agree at this point. You certainly don’t have to borrow money if you don’t want to. Also, since employee labor also exists in a market, your wages generally increase along with inflation. If not, get a better job or rise up through the corporate hierarchy. There are a lot of options available to all players in these markets.

[quote]
You are required to pay back, with interest, the new money your government helped create to fuck you with infation.[/quote]

Perhaps you could clarify this statement. Are you suggesting that the borrower is the government? Again, I realize the government borrows money to finance it’s operations, but I am already on record stating I don’t like large government spending and I certainly don’t like government deficit spending.

The monetary system itself is not at fault for a government running itself into debt. Let’s put the fault where it really lies. The government spends too damned much. The populace does nothing to hold it accountable for doing so. These are problems. The abuse of the monetary system, in this system or another, is a choice that is being made.

[quote]
Yes, we tend to “scapegoat” the monetary system.

The rest is trickier, but at least you have an idea what you are talking about.

The van Mises institute has a few excellent films on fractional reserve which is called fraudulent in every other business and the idea that economic cycles could be controlled via money supply is so Keynesian it is practically Marxist.[/quote]

Even so, western democracies tend to increase interest rates, making it more expensive for capital investment, to help restrict inflationary forces… while at the same time lowering interest rates when inflationary forces are not out of hand in order to foster growth.

Too bad it’s such a shitty idea when everybody is doing it.

[quote]
On the contrary the mis- allocation of scarce resources because of artificially cheap credit is the reason ´for the bigger bust that is to follow.

Think about it, why would the government know what the right money supply is?

They cannot even plan agriculture without mass starvations. [/quote]

And yet this is where the government can actually responsibly employ deficit spending to help keep the economy from collapsing during a natural downturn. Again, I think the big problem is incredibly unwise deficit spending that is in fact slowly tying the hands of the government and making it unable to operate effectively.

With a big and irresponsibly created debt load the government will have a harder time reacting during an economic downturn and it will place a huge burden on the populace in terms of taxes collected in order to service debt instead of provide services.

This is a huge problem that Ross Perot and his voodoo stick (ah, good times) were trying to address. People actually got serious about curbing spending, for a while, and really, I don’t see a lot of problems with the current monetary systems except through massive abuse.

However, I’m more than willing to be enlightened as to what the problems are, though it will probably be difficult to achieve that… :wink:

[quote]vroom wrote:
Woohoo, some conversation with “meat” in it!
…[/quote]

Good post.

[quote]vroom wrote:
I don’t think it matters what the system is, there are going to be those that try to cheat it.
[/quote]
Keeping the currencies competitive against different standards would help that.

Funny how trends in the valuation of the dollar was pretty much stable until the Federal Reserve came along. Why has the value of the dollar always gone down and not fluctuated around a certain average?

Pay has not risen as fast as inflation. I am not citing cause here just noting that the correlation of the Federal reserve and inflation happen about the same time period (1914).

25 Yr Average cost since 1800(that is to say what cost $1 in 1800 cost the below amount the subsequent years).
Cost at 1800: 1
Cost at 1826: .65
Cost at 1850: .49
Cost at 1875: .66
Cost at 1900: .49
Cost at 1925: 1
Cost at 1950: 1.40
Cost at 1975: 2.89
Cost at 2000: 9.76

Notice how it took off once credit became the prime backer of currency (1975)?

The government is one of the major borrowers. Don’t get me wrong credit is a good thing as long that is not what the value of our currency is based on (which it is). When money is printed only a few people get access to it yet everyone who pays income tax is paying the interest back to the federal reserve. Thus inflation.

[quote]vroom wrote:
Woohoo, some conversation with “meat” in it!

orion wrote:
First of all, the system you are describing is less than 100 years old.

So far there were dozens of hyperinflations and every fiat currency we know of ended in hyperinflation.

Well, perhaps you should define your terms a bit. Has mismanagement led to periods of high inflation from time to time? Yes. Have some countries basically devalued their currency to laughability from time to time? Yes.

So, I won’t argue that it can’t be screwed up, just like gold reserves could be “fudged” or coins could be created with cheaper metals, it’s all been tried. I don’t think it matters what the system is, there are going to be those that try to cheat it.

Our current money sytem IS a giant conspiracy (yeah the things that could never, ever exist in a world where everybody knows how money is created) that requires you to pay back the money your government loaned to benefit banks and giant companies first (more accurately their owners) while your are hit by inflation while those mentioned before have already profited.

So, you are fucked twice.

The current system puts a market, driven by profitability, in front of the monetary system. It also creates a system that allows the creation of new liquidity and capital to help enable smoothness of transactions. It is indeed very good for the business and investment world in terms of making money available for expansion – which is something the entire world has been chasing and valuing quite highly.

As for being fucked twice, I don’t agree at this point. You certainly don’t have to borrow money if you don’t want to. Also, since employee labor also exists in a market, your wages generally increase along with inflation. If not, get a better job or rise up through the corporate hierarchy. There are a lot of options available to all players in these markets.

You are required to pay back, with interest, the new money your government helped create to fuck you with infation.

Perhaps you could clarify this statement. Are you suggesting that the borrower is the government? Again, I realize the government borrows money to finance it’s operations, but I am already on record stating I don’t like large government spending and I certainly don’t like government deficit spending.

The monetary system itself is not at fault for a government running itself into debt. Let’s put the fault where it really lies. The government spends too damned much. The populace does nothing to hold it accountable for doing so. These are problems. The abuse of the monetary system, in this system or another, is a choice that is being made.

Yes, we tend to “scapegoat” the monetary system.

The rest is trickier, but at least you have an idea what you are talking about.

The van Mises institute has a few excellent films on fractional reserve which is called fraudulent in every other business and the idea that economic cycles could be controlled via money supply is so Keynesian it is practically Marxist.

Even so, western democracies tend to increase interest rates, making it more expensive for capital investment, to help restrict inflationary forces… while at the same time lowering interest rates when inflationary forces are not out of hand in order to foster growth.

Too bad it’s such a shitty idea when everybody is doing it.

On the contrary the mis- allocation of scarce resources because of artificially cheap credit is the reason ´for the bigger bust that is to follow.

Think about it, why would the government know what the right money supply is?

They cannot even plan agriculture without mass starvations.

And yet this is where the government can actually responsibly employ deficit spending to help keep the economy from collapsing during a natural downturn. Again, I think the big problem is incredibly unwise deficit spending that is in fact slowly tying the hands of the government and making it unable to operate effectively.

With a big and irresponsibly created debt load the government will have a harder time reacting during an economic downturn and it will place a huge burden on the populace in terms of taxes collected in order to service debt instead of provide services.

This is a huge problem that Ross Perot and his voodoo stick (ah, good times) were trying to address. People actually got serious about curbing spending, for a while, and really, I don’t see a lot of problems with the current monetary systems except through massive abuse.

However, I’m more than willing to be enlightened as to what the problems are, though it will probably be difficult to achieve that… ;)[/quote]

Ok, that´s a lot.

Let`s break it down:

Gold money could by tampered with, by shaving, clipping whatever.

Right now your money is shaved and clipped each year, it is called “inflation”.

If your money is a receipt for gold stored, not giving you the exact amount back is a fraud and a crime.

So yes this can happen, like at every butchers that has his thump on the scales.

Now it is systematic, then it would be a crime.

The question is, do you want your government to go after the criminals or should your government BE the criminal?

To: Our system brings liquidity into the market.

What does this even mean? You can only invest what you have saved before OR you can steal via inflation and invest that.

However, inflation therefore discourages savings, encourages stealing via inflation and corrupts whole segments of society with easy money.

Bottom line is, you can only spend what you, or other people you have robbed have saved before. Creating new money does not magically increase the amount of capital stock and that is the only thing that makes teh GNP grow.

As to fucked twice:

Would you only borrow money and invest it.

Then you would only be fucked 1 1/2! Right now government makes debts, inflates share prices and other bubbles and YOU, who benefits very little from those bubbles will be taxed to pay back your governments debts with interest.

If you are against a big spending government the gold standard should excite you, because without the ability to create money out of thin air or to devalue their debts each year via inflation their would only one way left for the government:

Raise taxes.

They would actually have to say: “Want to have this or that? Fine it will cost you xxxx$”

Wanna bet why they do not do that?

Economic cycles:

Again, this whole managing economic cycles is a myth. Small economic corrections are perfectly normal and big ones are created by the injection of surplus money.

Think about it, if you make credit cheaper people invest in things and buy stuff they would not have bought otherwise.

That is the whole idea behind it.

This cheap supply of money cannot hold on forever or you have an hyperinflation OR you must cut back the very production capability you built before in this artificial boom.

So, these government interventions make these boom, bust cycles worse, not better.

Ross Perot and “voodoo economics”:

I think that means the Laffer curve, that showed if you lower taxes you can actually earn more in taxes as a governmet.

That actually works.

[quote]orion wrote:
Let`s break it down:

Gold money could by tampered with, by shaving, clipping whatever.

Right now your money is shaved and clipped each year, it is called “inflation”.

If your money is a receipt for gold stored, not giving you the exact amount back is a fraud and a crime.

So yes this can happen, like at every butchers that has his thump on the scales.

Now it is systematic, then it would be a crime.

The question is, do you want your government to go after the criminals or should your government BE the criminal?
[/quote]

I am not as concerned about inflation in this way. What inflation does is cause us to invest our money instead of stuff it in a mattress. Heck, if you want to, you can convert your money to gold and then stuff it in your mattress… inflation problem solved.

Nobody is stopping you.

The fact that people “invest” in assets that are quickly devalued, like cars, clothes, televisions, and other consumer goods is simply a choice that people make. They don’t have to make wise choices and it is a symptom of freedom that they often choose instant gratification over long term investments and wealth acquisition.

Again, I see flaws in the way people are playing the game, not the game itself. The job of the government is to try to make sure we are all playing the same game under the same rules.

Okay, we may have to get into economic theory to discuss something like this, but let me ask you a question. Is the capital sitting around in industries always operating at 100%? Generally, except during extreme growth periods, there is plenty of slack in the system.

Putting this “slack” to work creating new equipment (capital) to be used to produce other goods or provide other services increases the pool of available products and services. Allowing a business to borrow money and create new capital during periods of less than total utilization of prior industry investments absolutely makes possible a higher total GNP when it too is put to work.

Similarly, on a personal level, if I have the ability to use credit, I too can spend or invest a larger sum. Basically, we have all been given a long stick that we can use to leverage our financial abilities. Yes, surely, many people quickly dig themselves a hole and suffer the consequences, but again, it isn’t necessary to do this.

I think this is getting a little fuzzy here.

The bubbles you speak of, like the dot com era, are caused by heavy demand… perhaps even wild speculation. It’s a market! The very same inflation you rally against is part of pushing up the values of stocks and shares… assuming the company stock you are buying at some point represents real assets.

Again, tangible assets can be purchased by anyone, or any company, in order to hedge against inflation any time they wish.

I really think you need to completely separate the actions of government within the current economic system and the general public. The public, and businesses, have limited credit and are explicitly managed via a market which will work to maximize profits for lenders – which limits the willingness to take bad risks.

As for government, again, the issue isn’t the system, but that government is not acting responsibly and the citizens don’t care. Sure, government is doing bad things, and it has effects on the populace, but it isn’t inherent in the system, it is just the way to abuse this particular system.

I agree, it’s a huge problem, and it needs to be addressed. Prior to this war the US was taking steps to address the issue. Here in Canada, our debt is actually shrinking, though of course people could again start to mismanage things.

I am sure that some believe it is a myth but that is certainly not a consensus opinion in the economic world. It is very hard to argue that fiscal and monetary policies will have no impact on the economy! I suspect people believe that such policies can help moderate the swings of the classic boom and bust cycle.

As for saying that cheap money cannot hold on forever, there is no reason to eliminate the concept of credit. Heck, outside of government abuse, the public is well able to access credit to enhance their living conditions as they see fit.

Companies that serve this need, such as credit card companies, are making profits, and the public is paying off their debts. Sure, there are defaults, but this is just built right in. Credit is not the boogeyman, though it is certainly possible for people to completely misuse and mismanage their use of this tool. Heck, if we like, we can even buy stock in these profitable companies too.

More importantly, who are you and I to determine that one person or a bank cannot lend another person money? Who are you and I to say what people should or should not be buying if they want it? How on Earth can you make the determination that people are buying things inappropriately when they have credit, as opposed to raising their living standards in whatever manner they wish?

Hell, this is getting into the whole concept of letting people (as opposed to government) exercise self-determination. People will make use of credit, or not, as their own preferences dictates, how could a libertarian argue otherwise?

Again, government is a whole other ball of wax, and I do think they should be separated if you want to castigate the basis of modern monetary institutions.

Heh, Ross Perot carried around a little presentation stick (perhaps even one that looked like it had a claw at the end, but that could have been a comedic representation) and waved it at various charts while sputtering incomprehensibly about various financial burdens and problems.

It was all very entertaining and paved the way for Bush and his own brand of linguistic genius.

[quote]vroom wrote:
orion wrote:
Let`s break it down:

Gold money could by tampered with, by shaving, clipping whatever.

Right now your money is shaved and clipped each year, it is called “inflation”.

If your money is a receipt for gold stored, not giving you the exact amount back is a fraud and a crime.

So yes this can happen, like at every butchers that has his thump on the scales.

Now it is systematic, then it would be a crime.

The question is, do you want your government to go after the criminals or should your government BE the criminal?

I am not as concerned about inflation in this way. What inflation does is cause us to invest our money instead of stuff it in a mattress. Heck, if you want to, you can convert your money to gold and then stuff it in your mattress… inflation problem solved.

Nobody is stopping you.

The fact that people “invest” in assets that are quickly devalued, like cars, clothes, televisions, and other consumer goods is simply a choice that people make. They don’t have to make wise choices and it is a symptom of freedom that they often choose instant gratification over long term investments and wealth acquisition.

Again, I see flaws in the way people are playing the game, not the game itself. The job of the government is to try to make sure we are all playing the same game under the same rules.
[/quote]

But that is exactly what the government does not.

Using plain, common sense it must occur to you that it cannot be a good thing if the biggest debtor can print his own money. In fact the biggest debtor is making you pay for the money he borrowed which is close enough.

By letting money trickle into the system from one direction the people closer to the source and people and institutions with large debts constantly profit becuase they get to spend the new money at old prices and their real debt constantly shrinks.

People on a fixed income with not enough surplus to invest however pay the new prices with their old rents and wages AND labour is taxed more heavily than income from investing money so they pay more than their share to pay off the debt.

The end result is a constant re-distribution of wealth from the poor to the rich.

So, the rules are not the same for everone.

Inflation forces us to invest:

Maybe, but how do you know this is a good thing? To store your money under your mattress is a legitimate choice, if enough people do it, they will have a perfectly good reason for it.

What can any kind of government interference bring except market distortions?

If people really wanted or needed the stuff they´d buy it anyway, if they don`t the artificial state sponsored bubble will burst sooner or later.

[quote]vroom wrote:
orion wrote:

Okay, we may have to get into economic theory to discuss something like this, but let me ask you a question. Is the capital sitting around in industries always operating at 100%? Generally, except during extreme growth periods, there is plenty of slack in the system.

Putting this “slack” to work creating new equipment (capital) to be used to produce other goods or provide other services increases the pool of available products and services. Allowing a business to borrow money and create new capital during periods of less than total utilization of prior industry investments absolutely makes possible a higher total GNP when it too is put to work.

Similarly, on a personal level, if I have the ability to use credit, I too can spend or invest a larger sum. Basically, we have all been given a long stick that we can use to leverage our financial abilities. Yes, surely, many people quickly dig themselves a hole and suffer the consequences, but again, it isn’t necessary to do this.
.[/quote]

I am not against credit and you make it sounds as if a was.

I am against artificially cheap money be it via inflation or by tampering with the interest rats a fiat money makes possible becuause it leads to market distortions and makes the boom/bust swings much worse.

So credit good, but at interest rates that are determined by the market, not the FED.

[quote]vroom wrote:
orion wrote:

The bubbles you speak of, like the dot com era, are caused by heavy demand… perhaps even wild speculation. It’s a market! The very same inflation you rally against is part of pushing up the values of stocks and shares… assuming the company stock you are buying at some point represents real assets.

Again, tangible assets can be purchased by anyone, or any company, in order to hedge against inflation any time they wish.

I really think you need to completely separate the actions of government within the current economic system and the general public. The public, and businesses, have limited credit and are explicitly managed via a market which will work to maximize profits for lenders – which limits the willingness to take bad risks.

As for government, again, the issue isn’t the system, but that government is not acting responsibly and the citizens don’t care. Sure, government is doing bad things, and it has effects on the populace, but it isn’t inherent in the system, it is just the way to abuse this particular system.

I agree, it’s a huge problem, and it needs to be addressed. Prior to this war the US was taking steps to address the issue. Here in Canada, our debt is actually shrinking, though of course people could again start to mismanage things.

.[/quote]

Yes the dot com era was caused by wild demand… fueled by cheap money.

In fact, right now, all stocks are probably held high and growing by cheap money. Normally this should lead to an inflation in the US but 70% of all dollars are abroad and are constanly losing in value, the Chinese keep their currency cheap to be able to export to the US and real wages develop sideways in the US, so basically a few rich American are fucking the whole world via printing dollars and the American middle class has not caught on yet.

Demand is never enough, you need money to make your dreams come true.

You cannot separate the actions of a government from the monetary system.

As long as you can promise everything and finance it with inflation and debt the government will do it.

As long as you can go to war and finace it with inflation or debt the governmnet will do it.

If they cannot do this becuause the money supply was limited they´d have to immediately tell us what it will cost in taxes.

Politicians are wankers, all of them, the only way to limit their spending is ultimate transparency, to hope for their responsibility is a pipe dream.

[quote]vroom wrote:
orion wrote:
I am sure that some believe it is a myth but that is certainly not a consensus opinion in the economic world. It is very hard to argue that fiscal and monetary policies will have no impact on the economy! I suspect people believe that such policies can help moderate the swings of the classic boom and bust cycle.

As for saying that cheap money cannot hold on forever, there is no reason to eliminate the concept of credit. Heck, outside of government abuse, the public is well able to access credit to enhance their living conditions as they see fit.

Companies that serve this need, such as credit card companies, are making profits, and the public is paying off their debts. Sure, there are defaults, but this is just built right in. Credit is not the boogeyman, though it is certainly possible for people to completely misuse and mismanage their use of this tool. Heck, if we like, we can even buy stock in these profitable companies too.

More importantly, who are you and I to determine that one person or a bank cannot lend another person money? Who are you and I to say what people should or should not be buying if they want it? How on Earth can you make the determination that people are buying things inappropriately when they have credit, as opposed to raising their living standards in whatever manner they wish?

Hell, this is getting into the whole concept of letting people (as opposed to government) exercise self-determination. People will make use of credit, or not, as their own preferences dictates, how could a libertarian argue otherwise?

Again, government is a whole other ball of wax, and I do think they should be separated if you want to castigate the basis of modern monetary institutions.
.[/quote]

See, above I am not against credit I am against credit that is held artificially cheap by robbing the poor.

There is a difference.

And yes the Austrian boom/bust theory is not undisputed, there are still Keynesians out there who preach government intervention even though Keynesianism was dead after it produced the phenomenon of stagflation.

Anyone challenging the Austrian theory should be able to explain to us why producing things the market does not want (because otherwise someone would build it) with money that was extracted from the economy at gunpoint is something other than a giant waste of resources.

[quote]orion wrote:
So, the rules are not the same for everone.
[/quote]

The rules are the same for everybody but the government, which surely you saw as the intent of my statement.

The rules have always been different for government as they issue the money to the populace.

However, in todays day and age, all the government has to do is act responsibly… the fact that it is not is not an issue with the current system (it’s an issue available within all systems).

[quote]
What can any kind of government interference bring except market distortions?

If people really wanted or needed the stuff they´d buy it anyway, if they don`t the artificial state sponsored bubble will burst sooner or later.[/quote]

This is a silly argument. The mere fact that people are making purchasing decisions would indicate that they need it. Or, on the other hand, perhaps we should all live in a cardboard box and eat only potatoes.

Who are you, or I, to determine what it is that people should do with their money. They make the choices they make based on their own reasons.

There is no bubble and there is no need for it to burst… however, there is a credit system, which is profitable to the companies that issue credit, and I see no reason for the market to stop making a profit.

Finally, all markets have rules, and it is the government that to some degree defines and enforces the rules. You are arguing against markets as much as for them with your statements, which is a bit contradictory.

Again, if you want to talk about a bubble, you are going to have to distinguish government from populace. Sure, the mad deficit spending today may represent a big blip that is going to cause pain when it is stopped.

Please, if you want to critique government spending and monetary mismanagement, point firmly in that direction and resist the desire to lump the actions of the populace into the same “problem” mindset.